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Trendhoo NEAR 30MIN

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🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [98d8a23f]

🛡️ TRENDHOO NEAR 30MIN @Gentle_sir

TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes

by DaviddTech - February 14, 2024
0
  • icon 1
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 2 hours ago

2498.73%

Net Profit

59.03%

Win Rate

310

Total Closed Trades

1.6

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

1903.15% 🔥

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-03 20:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.70
  • Sortino Ratio: 9.98
  • Calmar: -7.78
  • Longest DD Days: 42.00
  • Volatility: 82.04
  • Skew: -0.25
  • Kurtosis: -1.26
  • Expected Daily: 1.20
  • Expected Monthly: 28.53
  • Expected Yearly: 1,931.69
  • Kelly Criterion: 22.06
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.37
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.94
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-09 15:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 183
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 127
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -7.78
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.60
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.11
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.60
  • Tail Ratio: 1.14
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.07
  • Serenity Index: 218.03

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 2498.73%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 158.34%
Sharpe Ratio 0.698
Profit Factor 1.6
Maximum Drawdown -21.49%
Volatility (Annualized) 82.04%

The strategy delivers robust returns, boasting a cumulative return of 2498.73% and an annualized return of 158.34%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.698 indicates satisfactory risk-adjusted returns, exceeding the threshold of 0.5. Additionally, the maximum drawdown of -21.49% is comfortably below the 40% benchmark, indicating solid drawdown management. The Profit Factor of 1.6 is encouraging, reflecting a profitable strategy overall.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading within the observed conditions. It exceeds industry benchmarks in return and risk-adjusted performance while maintaining drawdowns within acceptable limits. However, given the high annualized volatility of 82.04%, the strategy's performance may vary significantly under different market conditions. Close monitoring and adaptability to changing market metrics are advisable.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates solid risk management as evidenced by its Gain/Pain ratio of 1.6 and zero margin calls, highlighting effective capital management. However, the high volatility suggests further refinement in daily risk management could be beneficial. Suggestions for enhancing risk management include:

  • Utilizing less leverage to reduce drawdowns and impact of adverse market moves.
  • Implementing dynamic position sizing to calibrate risk exposure in alignment with market volatility.
  • Incorporating trailing stop-loss mechanisms to secure profits during favorable runs.

Improvement Suggestions

To further boost the strategy's performance and resilience, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize existing parameters to fine-tune trade timing and improve return consistency.
  • Expand the strategy to include a wider variety of financial indicators to enhance entry and exit decisions.
  • Perform out-of-sample and forward-testing to confirm robustness across diverse market conditions.
  • Explore advanced risk management methodologies such as integrating Value-at-Risk (VaR) models or applying stress tests.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy showcases strong performance with commendable returns and excellent drawdown management. While volatility remains a point of focus, the range of metrics provided outlines a predominantly promising strategy profile with room for strategic enhancements.

Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to bolster structure and resilience, ensuring adaptability under varying market climates for sustained success.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20210.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.75%
20220.00%1.60%18.07%-1.56%0.00%3.64%19.81%6.87%12.14%4.96%13.28%12.39%
202315.01%7.21%21.53%6.33%12.34%18.67%8.33%-1.21%4.94%16.85%-3.05%13.27%
2024-0.59%0.13%2.77%-2.44%11.83%9.53%44.96%6.12%0.57%-1.11%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

NEAR

Base Currency

114

Number of Trades

147.53%

Cumulative Returns

60.53%

Win Rate

2024-02-14

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

5.48%

30 Days

47.79%

60 Days

31.81%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit595584.94595.58226777.74226.78368807.2368.81
Gross Profit1908131.051908.13869640.02869.641038491.031038.49
Gross Loss1312546.111312.55642862.28642.86669683.83669.68
Commission Paid60750.0328159.2432590.79
Buy & Hold Return-62264.37-62.26
Max Equity Run-up633753.2886.7
Max Drawdown117606.8121.49
Max Contracts Held873866.0823347.0873866.0
Total Closed Trades196.087.0109.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades114.047.067.0
Number Losing Trades82.040.042.0
Percent Profitable58.1654.0261.47
Avg P&l3038.70.952606.640.673383.551.17
Avg Winning Trade16737.994.618502.984.7715499.874.48
Avg Losing Trade16006.664.1316071.564.1515944.854.11
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0461.1510.972
Largest Winning Trade47830.5547830.5537733.74
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.116.116.02
Largest Losing Trade46497.9546497.9543068.27
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.645.635.64
Avg # Bars In Trades61.051.068.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades57.047.063.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades66.056.077.0
Sharpe Ratio1.016
Sortino Ratio8.998
Profit Factor1.4541.3531.551
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit2498732.252498.731219822.851219.821278909.41278.91
Gross Profit6660684.866660.683433251.723433.253227433.143227.43
Gross Loss4161952.614161.952213428.872213.431948523.741948.52
Commission Paid183697.2195880.9487816.27
Buy & Hold Return-67219.91-67.22
Max Equity Run-up2595903.6896.39
Max Drawdown383646.3521.49
Max Contracts Held1688722.01688722.01646907.0
Total Closed Trades310.0147.0163.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades183.080.0103.0
Number Losing Trades127.067.060.0
Percent Profitable59.0354.4263.19
Avg P&l8060.431.058298.110.687846.071.38
Avg Winning Trade36397.194.7842915.654.931334.34.68
Avg Losing Trade32771.284.3333036.254.3532475.44.3
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.1111.2990.965
Largest Winning Trade199841.35199841.35163179.41
Largest Winning Trade Percent6.116.116.02
Largest Losing Trade180804.55152269.57180804.55
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.645.635.64
Avg # Bars In Trades59.053.064.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades54.048.059.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades66.059.075.0
Sharpe Ratio0.698
Sortino Ratio9.983
Profit Factor1.61.5511.656
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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