🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [98d8a23f]
🛡️ TRENDHOO NEAR 30MIN @Gentle_sir
TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-03 20:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.70
- Sortino Ratio: 9.98
- Calmar: -7.78
- Longest DD Days: 42.00
- Volatility: 82.04
- Skew: -0.25
- Kurtosis: -1.26
- Expected Daily: 1.20
- Expected Monthly: 28.53
- Expected Yearly: 1,931.69
- Kelly Criterion: 22.06
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.37
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.94
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-09 15:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 183
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 127
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -7.78
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.60
- Payoff Ratio: 1.11
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.60
- Tail Ratio: 1.14
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.07
- Serenity Index: 218.03
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 2498.73% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 158.34% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.698 |
Profit Factor | 1.6 |
Maximum Drawdown | -21.49% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 82.04% |
The strategy delivers robust returns, boasting a cumulative return of 2498.73% and an annualized return of 158.34%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.698 indicates satisfactory risk-adjusted returns, exceeding the threshold of 0.5. Additionally, the maximum drawdown of -21.49% is comfortably below the 40% benchmark, indicating solid drawdown management. The Profit Factor of 1.6 is encouraging, reflecting a profitable strategy overall.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading within the observed conditions. It exceeds industry benchmarks in return and risk-adjusted performance while maintaining drawdowns within acceptable limits. However, given the high annualized volatility of 82.04%, the strategy's performance may vary significantly under different market conditions. Close monitoring and adaptability to changing market metrics are advisable.
Risk Management
The strategy demonstrates solid risk management as evidenced by its Gain/Pain ratio of 1.6 and zero margin calls, highlighting effective capital management. However, the high volatility suggests further refinement in daily risk management could be beneficial. Suggestions for enhancing risk management include:
- Utilizing less leverage to reduce drawdowns and impact of adverse market moves.
- Implementing dynamic position sizing to calibrate risk exposure in alignment with market volatility.
- Incorporating trailing stop-loss mechanisms to secure profits during favorable runs.
Improvement Suggestions
To further boost the strategy's performance and resilience, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize existing parameters to fine-tune trade timing and improve return consistency.
- Expand the strategy to include a wider variety of financial indicators to enhance entry and exit decisions.
- Perform out-of-sample and forward-testing to confirm robustness across diverse market conditions.
- Explore advanced risk management methodologies such as integrating Value-at-Risk (VaR) models or applying stress tests.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy showcases strong performance with commendable returns and excellent drawdown management. While volatility remains a point of focus, the range of metrics provided outlines a predominantly promising strategy profile with room for strategic enhancements.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to bolster structure and resilience, ensuring adaptability under varying market climates for sustained success.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.75% |
2022 | 0.00% | 1.60% | 18.07% | -1.56% | 0.00% | 3.64% | 19.81% | 6.87% | 12.14% | 4.96% | 13.28% | 12.39% |
2023 | 15.01% | 7.21% | 21.53% | 6.33% | 12.34% | 18.67% | 8.33% | -1.21% | 4.94% | 16.85% | -3.05% | 13.27% |
2024 | -0.59% | 0.13% | 2.77% | -2.44% | 11.83% | 9.53% | 44.96% | 6.12% | 0.57% | -1.11% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
NEAR
Base Currency
114
Number of Trades
147.53%
Cumulative Returns
60.53%
Win Rate
2024-02-14
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
5.48%
30 Days
47.79%
60 Days
31.81%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 595584.94 | 595.58 | 226777.74 | 226.78 | 368807.2 | 368.81 |
Gross Profit | 1908131.05 | 1908.13 | 869640.02 | 869.64 | 1038491.03 | 1038.49 |
Gross Loss | 1312546.11 | 1312.55 | 642862.28 | 642.86 | 669683.83 | 669.68 |
Commission Paid | 60750.03 | 28159.24 | 32590.79 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -62264.37 | -62.26 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 633753.28 | 86.7 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 117606.81 | 21.49 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 873866.0 | 823347.0 | 873866.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 196.0 | 87.0 | 109.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 114.0 | 47.0 | 67.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 82.0 | 40.0 | 42.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.16 | 54.02 | 61.47 | |||
Avg P&l | 3038.7 | 0.95 | 2606.64 | 0.67 | 3383.55 | 1.17 |
Avg Winning Trade | 16737.99 | 4.6 | 18502.98 | 4.77 | 15499.87 | 4.48 |
Avg Losing Trade | 16006.66 | 4.13 | 16071.56 | 4.15 | 15944.85 | 4.11 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.046 | 1.151 | 0.972 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 47830.55 | 47830.55 | 37733.74 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.11 | 6.11 | 6.02 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 46497.95 | 46497.95 | 43068.27 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.64 | 5.63 | 5.64 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 61.0 | 51.0 | 68.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 57.0 | 47.0 | 63.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 66.0 | 56.0 | 77.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 1.016 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 8.998 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.454 | 1.353 | 1.551 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 2498732.25 | 2498.73 | 1219822.85 | 1219.82 | 1278909.4 | 1278.91 |
Gross Profit | 6660684.86 | 6660.68 | 3433251.72 | 3433.25 | 3227433.14 | 3227.43 |
Gross Loss | 4161952.61 | 4161.95 | 2213428.87 | 2213.43 | 1948523.74 | 1948.52 |
Commission Paid | 183697.21 | 95880.94 | 87816.27 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -67219.91 | -67.22 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 2595903.68 | 96.39 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 383646.35 | 21.49 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1688722.0 | 1688722.0 | 1646907.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 310.0 | 147.0 | 163.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 183.0 | 80.0 | 103.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 127.0 | 67.0 | 60.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 59.03 | 54.42 | 63.19 | |||
Avg P&l | 8060.43 | 1.05 | 8298.11 | 0.68 | 7846.07 | 1.38 |
Avg Winning Trade | 36397.19 | 4.78 | 42915.65 | 4.9 | 31334.3 | 4.68 |
Avg Losing Trade | 32771.28 | 4.33 | 33036.25 | 4.35 | 32475.4 | 4.3 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.111 | 1.299 | 0.965 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 199841.35 | 199841.35 | 163179.41 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.11 | 6.11 | 6.02 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 180804.55 | 152269.57 | 180804.55 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.64 | 5.63 | 5.64 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 59.0 | 53.0 | 64.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 54.0 | 48.0 | 59.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 66.0 | 59.0 | 75.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.698 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 9.983 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.6 | 1.551 | 1.656 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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