MACD Liquidity Spectrum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [0a2f72aa]
🛡️ MACDLIQUIDITYSPECTRUM SOLUSDT 1H 30.4
@mrdavetrading
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 11 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-07-14 07:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.47
- Sortino Ratio: 1.20
- Calmar: -2.77
- Longest DD Days: 58.00
- Volatility: 97.61
- Skew: 0.11
- Kurtosis: -1.38
- Expected Daily: 0.96
- Expected Monthly: 22.20
- Expected Yearly: 1,008.85
- Kelly Criterion: 10.39
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.73
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.85
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-14 05:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 163
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 151
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.77
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.25
- Payoff Ratio: 1.14
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.25
- Tail Ratio: 1.27
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.14
- Serenity Index: 31.27
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Net Profit | 1077.84% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 102.78% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.473 |
Profit Factor | 1.238 |
Maximum Drawdown | -37.53% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 97.89% |
Percent Profitable | 51.92% |
The strategy delivers a strong net profit of 1077.84% with a respectable annualized return of 102.78%. While the Sharpe Ratio of 0.473 is slightly below the preferred threshold for crypto above 0.5, the Maximum Drawdown of -37.53% remains within acceptable limits. The Profit Factor of 1.238 suggests that the strategy makes a reasonable gain for every dollar lost.
Strategy Viability
While the strategy's profitability and maximum drawdown are commendable, the slightly lower Sharpe Ratio indicates that the risk-adjusted returns could be optimized. Given its decent performance in a volatile environment as evident from the high annualized volatility, it might perform best under similar market conditions which are quite frequent in the crypto markets.
Risk Management
The risk management approach shows promise with a maximum drawdown of -37.53%. Nevertheless, the high volatility points out that there is considerable room for managing the daily fluctuations better. Recommendations include:
- Adopting less leverage could significantly reduce the maximum drawdown.
- Exploring adaptive stop-loss mechanisms to protect against volatile swings.
- Implementing improved portfolio diversification to minimize unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and risk-exposure further, consider the following:
- Fine-tune parameter settings to better account for varying market conditions while keeping the risk-to-reward balance steady.
- Incorporate a wider array of technical indicators that can refine entry and exit points to maximize gains.
- Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure robustness under different scenarios.
- Integrate sophisticated risk management tools such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) assessments and stress tests to mitigate potential adverse impacts.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy shows a promising net profit and manageable drawdown. Despite a Sharpe Ratio slightly below the desirable mark for crypto trading, it presents solid profitability and recovery metrics amidst high volatility.
Recommendation: Proceed with refining and optimizing the strategy's parameters, especially reducing leverage to decrease drawdown risk. Additional forward-testing and integrating improved risk management techniques could solidify its robustness across diverse market conditions, ensuring it becomes a more formidable trading strategy.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | 25.60% | -0.31% | 20.51% | 30.01% | -20.07% | 1.93% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | -13.19% | 20.38% | -4.43% | -3.38% | -9.72% | 1.29% | 31.04% | 4.32% | -7.29% | 12.11% | 22.83% | 32.59% |
2022 | -3.28% | 13.55% | 29.35% | 13.26% | 16.39% | 9.34% | 5.84% | 6.28% | -1.06% | -1.16% | 12.15% | 18.51% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.92% | 3.83% | 3.82% | -7.62% | 26.96% | 8.90% |
Live Trades Stats
SOL
Base Currency
56
Number of Trades
-15.39%
Cumulative Returns
42.86%
Win Rate
2024-04-30
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-1.69%
30 Days
-15.69%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,419,362.01 USD | 1,419.36 | 1,108,290.12 USD | 1,108.29 | 311,071.89 USD | 311.07 |
Gross Profit | 3,736,902.46 | 3,736.90 | 2,361,347.54 | 2,361.35 | 1,375,554.92 | 1,375.55 |
Gross Loss | 2,317,540.45 | 2,317.54 | 1,253,057.42 | 1,253.06 | 1,064,483.03 | 1,064.48 |
Max Run-up | 1,720,881.08 | 94.86 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 305,119.23 | 37.53 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 371,937.52 | 371.94 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.666 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.317 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.612 | 1.884 | 1.292 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 47,080 | 47,080 | 46,122 | |||
Open PL | −18,691.98 | −1.23 | ||||
Commission Paid | 88,805.18 | 50,622.08 | 38,183.10 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 258 | 133 | 125 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 139 | 75 | 64 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 119 | 58 | 61 | |||
Percent Profitable | 53.88 | 56.39 | 51.20 | |||
Avg Trade | 5,501.40 | 1.03 | 8,333.01 | 1.34 | 2,488.58 | 0.71 |
Avg Winning Trade | 26,884.19 | 6.05 | 31,484.63 | 6.19 | 21,493.05 | 5.88 |
Avg Losing Trade | 19,475.13 | 4.82 | 21,604.44 | 4.93 | 17,450.54 | 4.72 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.38 | 1.457 | 1.232 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 127,115.93 | 6.51 | 109,977.08 | 6.46 | 127,115.93 | 6.51 |
Largest Losing Trade | 132,722.06 | 5.15 | 93,495.91 | 5.13 | 132,722.06 | 5.15 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 27 | 25 | 30 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 27 | 27 | 28 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 27 | 22 | 31 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,082,190.62 USD | 1,082.19 | 710,585.36 USD | 710.59 | 371,605.26 USD | 371.61 |
Gross Profit | 5,622,986.46 | 5,622.99 | 3,348,058.92 | 3,348.06 | 2,274,927.54 | 2,274.93 |
Gross Loss | 4,540,795.83 | 4,540.80 | 2,637,473.55 | 2,637.47 | 1,903,322.28 | 1,903.32 |
Max Run-up | 1,720,881.08 | 94.86 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 665,718.64 | 37.53 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 613,335.52 | 613.34 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.474 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.204 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.238 | 1.269 | 1.195 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 47,080 | 47,080 | 46,122 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 150,628.98 | 86,400.79 | 64,228.19 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 314 | 160 | 154 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 163 | 86 | 77 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 151 | 74 | 77 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.91 | 53.75 | 50.00 | |||
Avg Trade | 3,446.47 | 0.81 | 4,441.16 | 1.04 | 2,413.02 | 0.56 |
Avg Winning Trade | 34,496.85 | 6.00 | 38,930.92 | 6.15 | 29,544.51 | 5.84 |
Avg Losing Trade | 30,071.50 | 4.80 | 35,641.53 | 4.90 | 24,718.47 | 4.71 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.147 | 1.092 | 1.195 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 156,513.65 | 6.51 | 156,513.65 | 6.46 | 142,209.18 | 6.51 |
Largest Losing Trade | 134,107.54 | 5.15 | 134,107.54 | 5.13 | 132,722.06 | 5.15 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 30 | 28 | 31 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 30 | 29 | 30 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 29 | 26 | 32 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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