🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [c696ef7a]
🛡️ SUPERFVMA+ZLV5 BTCUSDT 2H 04.06
@mrdavetrading
⌛2 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-03 10:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.43
- Sortino Ratio: 1.11
- Calmar: -1.87
- Longest DD Days: 98.00
- Volatility: 43.40
- Skew: -0.52
- Kurtosis: -1.16
- Expected Daily: 0.44
- Expected Monthly: 9.60
- Expected Yearly: 200.57
- Kelly Criterion: 11.18
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.61
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.77
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-15 18:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 362
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 265
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.87
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.24
- Payoff Ratio: 0.91
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.24
- Tail Ratio: 0.79
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.52
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.12
- Serenity Index: 48.01
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics merit close examination:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1115.63% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 68.86% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.424 |
Profit Factor | 1.255 |
Maximum Drawdown | 37.96% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 43.40% |
The strategy shows commendable returns with a cumulative gain of 1115.63% and an annualized return of 68.86%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.424, while below the preferred threshold of 0.5, still indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of 37.96% is within acceptable levels for crypto strategies, providing reassurance regarding downside risk.
Strategy Viability
The data suggests potential viability for real-world trading, primarily because the strategy achieves substantial returns. Although the Sharpe ratio slightly underperforms versus benchmarks, the strategy benefits from solid gains and an acceptable drawdown level. It's crucial to ascertain under which market conditions the strategy excels, particularly to see if such conditions are anticipated to continue.
Risk Management
The strategy displays a reasonable approach to risk management, with no margin calls and a coherent drawdown management. Nevertheless, to refine the risk framework:
- Implement less leverage to reduce maximum drawdowns further.
- Enhance position sizing techniques based on current market volatility to manage risks more dynamically.
- Incorporate stop-loss strategies to swiftly mitigate potential losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's robustness and performance, consider these recommendations:
- Optimize parameters to improve the Sharpe ratio, potentially by integrating additional indicators or refining existing ones.
- Investigate out-of-sample testing to confirm the robustness and adaptability across varied market conditions.
- Explore advanced risk management strategies, such as Value-at-Risk calculations and stress testing, to gauge potential impacts under extreme scenarios.
- Increase the winning-trade ratio and address the outlier-loss ratio to enhance performance consistency.
Final Opinion
The strategy presents a promising profile with its significant returns and controlled drawdown. Yet, the slight underperformance in risk-adjusted metrics indicates room for improvement. The recommendations provided aim to refine the strategy and bolster its adaptability against varied market dynamics.
Recommendation: Proceed with additional optimization and comprehensive testing of the strategy. By implementing the recommended adjustments, particularly in risk management, the strategy can achieve enhanced robustness and effectiveness.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | -1.93% | 26.32% | 0.75% | -13.42% | -0.97% | -11.20% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 14.26% | -7.81% | 14.29% | -6.80% | 7.93% | 4.46% | 4.59% | -3.29% | 1.41% | 21.22% | 9.60% | 2.41% |
2022 | 8.57% | 23.74% | 3.67% | 6.66% | 13.39% | -5.88% | 4.87% | -1.94% | -4.31% | 2.71% | 5.06% | 11.10% |
2021 | 11.40% | 33.93% | -3.72% | 3.95% | 1.26% | 4.35% | 20.26% | -3.42% | 8.67% | 12.19% | -3.85% | -7.08% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 21.16% | -4.61% | -3.72% | 7.42% | -0.42% | -14.16% | 17.99% | 19.24% | 13.98% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
73
Number of Trades
1.22%
Cumulative Returns
47.95%
Win Rate
2024-06-04
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-4.02%
30 Days
7.97%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,136,483.94 USD | 1,136.48 | 1,116,319.12 USD | 1,116.32 | 20,164.81 USD | 20.16 |
Gross Profit | 4,407,351.99 | 4,407.35 | 3,448,235.72 | 3,448.24 | 959,116.27 | 959.12 |
Gross Loss | 3,270,868.06 | 3,270.87 | 2,331,916.59 | 2,331.92 | 938,951.46 | 938.95 |
Max Run-up | 1,483,486.20 | 93.69 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 365,895.37 | 25.63 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 944,902.51 | 944.90 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.493 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.451 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.347 | 1.479 | 1.021 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 39 | 37 | 39 | |||
Open PL | 9,965.53 | 0.81 | ||||
Commission Paid | 234,786.32 | 178,500.05 | 56,286.27 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 556 | 423 | 133 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 327 | 252 | 75 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 229 | 171 | 58 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.81 | 59.57 | 56.39 | |||
Avg Trade | 2,044.04 | 0.49 | 2,639.05 | 0.56 | 151.62 | 0.26 |
Avg Winning Trade | 13,478.14 | 2.66 | 13,683.48 | 2.68 | 12,788.22 | 2.57 |
Avg Losing Trade | 14,283.27 | 2.62 | 13,636.94 | 2.58 | 16,188.82 | 2.73 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.944 | 1.003 | 0.79 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 41,964.72 | 5.42 | 41,964.72 | 5.42 | 34,991.30 | 3.36 |
Largest Losing Trade | 80,486.98 | 9.81 | 53,150.34 | 9.81 | 80,486.98 | 5.41 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 13 | 13 | 13 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 12 | 12 | 14 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 13 | 14 | 11 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,149,727.92 USD | 1,149.73 | 1,136,761.68 USD | 1,136.76 | 12,966.25 USD | 12.97 |
Gross Profit | 5,525,589.68 | 5,525.59 | 4,339,666.85 | 4,339.67 | 1,185,922.82 | 1,185.92 |
Gross Loss | 4,375,861.75 | 4,375.86 | 3,202,905.18 | 3,202.91 | 1,172,956.58 | 1,172.96 |
Max Run-up | 1,483,486.20 | 93.69 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 589,451.11 | 37.96 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,369,715.23 | 1,369.72 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.43 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.109 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.263 | 1.355 | 1.011 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 39 | 37 | 39 | |||
Open PL | 3,246.93 | 0.26 | ||||
Commission Paid | 302,263.56 | 231,182.42 | 71,081.14 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 627 | 479 | 148 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 362 | 280 | 82 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 265 | 199 | 66 | |||
Percent Profitable | 57.74 | 58.46 | 55.41 | |||
Avg Trade | 1,833.70 | 0.44 | 2,373.20 | 0.50 | 87.61 | 0.24 |
Avg Winning Trade | 15,264.06 | 2.66 | 15,498.81 | 2.69 | 14,462.47 | 2.59 |
Avg Losing Trade | 16,512.69 | 2.61 | 16,095.00 | 2.58 | 17,772.07 | 2.68 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.924 | 0.963 | 0.814 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 50,615.01 | 5.42 | 50,615.01 | 5.42 | 40,795.23 | 3.36 |
Largest Losing Trade | 80,486.98 | 9.81 | 61,699.31 | 9.81 | 80,486.98 | 5.41 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 13 | 13 | 13 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 12 | 12 | 14 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 14 | 15 | 12 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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