Vector Candles [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [54beb5ab]
🛡️ VECTORCANDLESV5 BTCUSDT 4H 30.4 @mpx1204
VOLUME BASED
4 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-30 09:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.26
- Sortino Ratio: 2.53
- Calmar: -3.84
- Longest DD Days: 19.00
- Volatility: 647.65
- Skew: 4.22
- Kurtosis: 19.38
- Expected Daily: 10.83
- Expected Monthly: 766.60
- Expected Yearly: 17,938,866,080,092.00
- Kelly Criterion: 22.18
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -10.36
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -11.46
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-01 13:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 3
- Number Winning Trades 25
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 33
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.84
- Gain/Pain (1M): 2.06
- Payoff Ratio: 2.72
- Common Sense Ratio: 2.06
- Tail Ratio: 5.33
- Outlier Win Ratio: 6.46
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.12
- Serenity Index: 25.37
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 4064.69% |
CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) | 113.27% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.255 |
Profit Factor | 2.079 |
Maximum Drawdown | 30.58% |
Volatility | 647.65% |
Percent Profitable | 43.1% |
The strategy demonstrates a substantial net profit with a 4064.69% gain, indicating the potential for significant returns. A CAGR of 113.27% further emphasizes robust growth. Despite a below-target Sharpe Ratio of 0.255, the Profit Factor of 2.079 is a positive indicator, showing more gains than losses. A Maximum Drawdown of 30.58%, being below 40%, suggests a reasonable level of risk within the parameters considered acceptable for Crypto trading.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential viability for real-world trading, especially in environments with higher volatility. It exceeds typical benchmarks for drawdown control. However, the strategy would benefit from improvements in risk-adjusted performance, as the current Sharpe Ratio is lower than the desirable threshold. Additionally, given the market's inherent unpredictability, understanding and identifying the market conditions is crucial for optimal performance.
Risk Management
While the strategy controls drawdown effectively, the high volatility indicates room for improvement in managing daily fluctuations. The following strategies could enhance risk management:
- Reducing leverage can decrease the maximum drawdown further, providing a safer trade environment.
- Incorporating tighter or dynamic stop-losses might effectively limit potential daily losses.
- Enhancing position sizing strategies based on volatility metrics could stabilize performance.
Improvement Suggestions
To further improve this strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Refine the parameters of technical indicators used to capture more reliable trade signals.
- Experiment with different market conditions through forward-testing and out-of-sample testing.
- Incorporate additional risk management techniques like volatility adjustments or stress-tested limits.
- Consider leveraging machine learning models to refine predictive accuracy in trade decision processes.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, the strategy shows promising potential with high returns and a manageable level of drawdown. Its current performance metrics suggest strength in gaining profits despite moderate challenges with risk-adjusted returns. To increase the strategy's robustness, further optimization and enhancement of the risk management process are essential.
Recommendation: Proceed with refining and further testing the strategy while incorporating suggested improvements to achieve greater stability and effectiveness in varied market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 4.66% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.23% | 169.83% | -14.83% | 42.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.56% | -1.11% |
2022 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.76% | 2.20% | -2.18% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.95% | -0.86% | -6.04% | -18.82% |
2023 | 235.09% | -0.15% | 13.73% | -0.49% | 1.25% | 43.12% | -1.72% | 48.29% | -5.33% | -3.12% | 50.41% | 9.98% |
2024 | -1.42% | 0.00% | 74.57% | -0.73% | 2.13% | -4.17% | -0.21% | -4.45% | -11.28% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
20
Number of Trades
-17.54%
Cumulative Returns
40%
Win Rate
2024-04-30
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-10.04%
30 Days
13.5%
60 Days
7.28%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 5142280.95 | 5142.28 | 4845428.42 | 4845.43 | 296852.53 | 296.85 |
Gross Profit | 5883834.48 | 5883.83 | 5060041.48 | 5060.04 | 823792.99 | 823.79 |
Gross Loss | 741553.52 | 741.55 | 214613.07 | 214.61 | 526940.46 | 526.94 |
Commission Paid | 79406.12 | 42615.42 | 36790.7 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 723134.54 | 723.13 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 6237770.31 | 98.42 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 291798.19 | 29.44 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 530.0 | 327.0 | 530.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 38.0 | 23.0 | 15.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 17.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 21.0 | 12.0 | 9.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 44.74 | 47.83 | 40.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 135323.18 | 3.67 | 210670.8 | 5.72 | 19790.17 | 0.53 |
Avg Winning Trade | 346107.91 | 11.01 | 460003.77 | 14.38 | 137298.83 | 4.82 |
Avg Losing Trade | 35312.07 | 2.27 | 17884.42 | 2.22 | 58548.94 | 2.33 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 9.801 | 25.721 | 2.345 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2255823.36 | 2255823.36 | 666857.25 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 38.01 | 38.01 | 12.36 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 193821.63 | 43283.57 | 193821.63 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.39 | 4.05 | 4.39 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 42.0 | 45.0 | 37.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 66.0 | 70.0 | 60.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 22.0 | 22.0 | 22.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.3 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.513 | |||||
Profit Factor | 7.934 | 23.578 | 1.563 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 4064692.39 | 4064.69 | 3055514.98 | 3055.51 | 1009177.41 | 1009.18 |
Gross Profit | 7830980.02 | 7830.98 | 5792145.57 | 5792.15 | 2038834.46 | 2038.83 |
Gross Loss | 3766287.63 | 3766.29 | 2736630.58 | 2736.63 | 1029657.05 | 1029.66 |
Commission Paid | 197180.95 | 129739.93 | 67441.02 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 986018.08 | 986.02 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 6237770.31 | 98.42 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1637507.53 | 30.58 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 530.0 | 327.0 | 530.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 58.0 | 36.0 | 22.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 25.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 33.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 43.1 | 44.44 | 40.91 | |||
Avg P&l | 70080.9 | 2.36 | 84875.42 | 3.36 | 45871.7 | 0.73 |
Avg Winning Trade | 313239.2 | 8.73 | 362009.1 | 10.68 | 226537.16 | 5.28 |
Avg Losing Trade | 114129.93 | 2.47 | 136831.53 | 2.5 | 79204.39 | 2.43 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.745 | 2.646 | 2.86 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 2255823.36 | 2255823.36 | 839941.09 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 38.01 | 38.01 | 12.36 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 624402.41 | 624402.41 | 217798.76 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.39 | 4.05 | 4.39 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 37.0 | 37.0 | 35.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 59.0 | 60.0 | 57.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 20.0 | 19.0 | 21.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.255 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.532 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.079 | 2.117 | 1.98 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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