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mpx1204 trendhoo runeusdt 2h 04.06

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TREND FOLOWING 2 hours @mpx1204
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [33d4b646]

🛡️ TRENDHOO RUNEUSDT 2H 04.06

Trading Pair
RUNE
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-4.87% Updated 13 hours ago
Total Return Primary
2711.6%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
82.47%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.258
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.73%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
582
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 27, 2022
1,302
Days
582
Trades
Last Trade
Feb 18, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2022-07-27 22:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.53
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.30
  • Calmar: -0.53
  • Longest DD Days: 227.00
  • Volatility: 5.70
  • Skew: -1.52
  • Kurtosis: 8.90
  • Expected Daily: 0.02
  • Expected Monthly: 0.47
  • Expected Yearly: 5.83
  • Kelly Criterion: 16.37
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.63
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.12
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-02-18 09:05:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 31
  • Number Winning Trades 480
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 102
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.53
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.25
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.27
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.25
  • Tail Ratio: 0.78
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 7.76
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.60
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.03
  • Serenity Index: 1.25

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+4.40%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.70%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+2.36%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+0.31%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.24%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-4.87%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+58.89%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+108.88%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+80.69%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+169.81%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
82.2%
Total Trades
583
Cumulative
-1.60%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
1,527.53%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
+16.14%
Simple P&L
+0.23%
+22.36%
Simple P&L
-3.28%
+53.53%
Simple P&L
+2.63%
+23.68%
Simple P&L
-3.38%
+71.32%
Simple P&L
+3.78%
+1.24%
Simple P&L
2023
-4.54%
+48.10%
Simple P&L
-3.79%
+4.30%
Simple P&L
-1.53%
+46.42%
Simple P&L
+2.87%
+7.23%
Simple P&L
+1.84%
+50.09%
Simple P&L
+0.22%
+73.17%
Simple P&L
-0.04%
+2.91%
Simple P&L
+0.17%
+74.01%
Simple P&L
-0.69%
+23.42%
Simple P&L
-0.39%
+55.59%
Simple P&L
-1.38%
+50.39%
Simple P&L
-1.85%
+25.04%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.47%
+58.23%
Simple P&L
-5.33%
+6.02%
Simple P&L
+1.76%
+29.80%
Simple P&L
+3.56%
+108.46%
Simple P&L
-0.32%
+32.32%
Simple P&L
-5.90%
+61.85%
Simple P&L
+6.64%
+37.59%
Simple P&L
-0.76%
+57.59%
Simple P&L
+5.45%
+9.20%
Simple P&L
+5.97%
+7.82%
Simple P&L
-2.85%
-7.77%
Simple P&L
-2.93%
+71.14%
Simple P&L
2025
+4.67%
+30.47%
Simple P&L
+0.28%
+106.85%
Simple P&L
-0.63%
+0.49%
Simple P&L
-0.99%
+21.16%
Simple P&L
+5.89%
+33.92%
Simple P&L
-5.48%
+29.89%
Simple P&L
+5.04%
+3.81%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

583

Number of Trades

-1.6%

Cumulative Returns

82.16%

Win Rate

2024-06-04

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

58.89%

30 Days

80.69%

60 Days

108.88%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital500
Open P&l2.030.01
Net Profit13557.992711.64595.83919.178962.151792.43
Gross Profit66133.6113226.7223028.154605.6343105.468621.09
Gross Loss52575.6210515.1218432.323686.4634143.36828.66
Expected Payoff23.311.2451.8
Commission Paid2802.261762.261040.01
Buy & Hold Return-421.75-84.35
Buy & Hold % Gain-84.35
Strategy Outperformance13979.74
Max Contracts Held3793034142.037930.0
Annualized Return (cagr)120.2973.25100.58
Return On Initial Capital2711.6919.171792.43
Account Size Required8060.99
Return On Account Size Required168.1957.01111.18
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)46 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1752.5350.5
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)6045.371209.07
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)17910.1997.29
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3582.04
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)61 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2159.12431.82
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.680.571.11
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)7994.841598.97
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)8060.9948.71
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1612.2
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss560.24189.91382.05
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.551.883.92
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.613.136.87
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades582.0409.0173.0
Number Winning Trades480.0358.0122.0
Number Losing Trades102.051.051.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable82.4787.5370.52
Avg P&l23.32.6211.241.2851.85.81
Avg Winning Trade137.784.0864.321.9353.3210.49
Avg Losing Trade515.454.23361.423.06669.485.39
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.2670.1780.528
Largest Winning Trade1689.67433.491689.67
Largest Winning Trade Percent23.6310.0123.63
Largest Losing Trade2420.052420.052345.78
Largest Losing Trade Percent16.28.0316.2
Avg # Bars In Trades16.04.044.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades15.03.050.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades18.07.030.0
Sharpe Ratio0.534
Sortino Ratio1.303
Profit Factor1.2581.2491.262
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital500
Open P&l2.030.01
Net Profit13557.992711.64595.83919.178962.151792.43
Gross Profit66133.6113226.7223028.154605.6343105.468621.09
Gross Loss52575.6210515.1218432.323686.4634143.36828.66
Expected Payoff23.311.2451.8
Commission Paid2802.261762.261040.01
Buy & Hold Return-421.75-84.35
Buy & Hold % Gain-84.35
Strategy Outperformance13979.74
Max Contracts Held3793034142.037930.0
Annualized Return (cagr)120.2973.25100.58
Return On Initial Capital2711.6919.171792.43
Account Size Required8060.99
Return On Account Size Required168.1957.01111.18
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)46 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1752.5350.5
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)6045.371209.07
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)17910.1997.29
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)3582.04
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)61 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)2159.12431.82
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.680.571.11
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)7994.841598.97
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)8060.9948.71
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1612.2
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss560.24189.91382.05
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.551.883.92
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss4.613.136.87
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades582.0409.0173.0
Number Winning Trades480.0358.0122.0
Number Losing Trades102.051.051.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable82.4787.5370.52
Avg P&l23.32.6211.241.2851.85.81
Avg Winning Trade137.784.0864.321.9353.3210.49
Avg Losing Trade515.454.23361.423.06669.485.39
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.2670.1780.528
Largest Winning Trade1689.67433.491689.67
Largest Winning Trade Percent23.6310.0123.63
Largest Losing Trade2420.052420.052345.78
Largest Losing Trade Percent16.28.0316.2
Avg # Bars In Trades16.04.044.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades15.03.050.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades18.07.030.0
Sharpe Ratio0.534
Sortino Ratio1.303
Profit Factor1.2581.2491.262
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 2793.74%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 122.44%
Sharpe Ratio 0.537
Profit Factor 1.27
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) -48.71%
Volatility (Annualized) 5.7%

The strategy exhibits impressive returns with a cumulative gain of 2793.74% and an annualized return of 122.44%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.537 indicates good risk-adjusted returns for a crypto trading strategy. However, the maximum drawdown of -48.71% suggests there may be periods of significant equity declines, which might be concerning for risk-averse investors.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to have potential viability for real-world trading, especially in the context of high-risk environments like cryptocurrency markets. The substantial gains and Sharpe ratio above 0.5 are particularly encouraging. That said, the strategy's effectiveness relies heavily on the ability to manage drawdowns effectively.

Analyzing the conditions where it shines, such as those with lower volatility, will be critical to predicting future performance, especially if such market conditions are forecasted to persist.

Risk Management

The reported risk management approach indicates room for improvements, especially given the drawdown levels:

  • Implementing less leverage to reduce maximum drawdown.
  • Applying stricter stop-loss orders to minimize potential losses during adverse market movements.
  • Utilizing dynamic position sizing to adapt exposure according to underlying asset volatility.
  • Exploring diversified asset allocation to moderate any unexpected risk surges.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's overall performance and mitigate risks, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the strategy's parameters to find a better balance between returns and drawdowns.
  • Incorporate additional market indicators to refine entry and exit signals.
  • Perform stress testing across varying market conditions to ensure strategy robustness.
  • Conduct out-of-sample testing and walk-forward analysis to strengthen confidence in the strategy's sustainability.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates a strong return performance with acceptable risk-adjusted metrics, despite high drawdowns that present an area of concern. With refinement, particularly in risk management, the strategy holds promise for delivering substantial long-term benefits.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to enhance risk control and validate strategy resilience across a spectrum of market environments.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
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0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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