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DaviddTech
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michieln trendhoo mantleusdt 37m 29.07.2025

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @michieln
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [8573c2c8]

🛡️ TRENDHOO MANTLEUSDT 37M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
MNT
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-0.45% Updated 3 hours ago
Total Return Primary
873.16%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
38.19%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.539
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
141.06%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
673
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 17, 2023
771
Days
673
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 27, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-11-17 23:19:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.55
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.67
  • Calmar: -2.23
  • Longest DD Days: 75.00
  • Volatility: 0.26
  • Skew: 3.37
  • Kurtosis: 18.86
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.04
  • Expected Yearly: 0.47
  • Kelly Criterion: 13.28
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.02
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-27 15:58:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 257
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 416
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.23
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.53
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.49
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.53
  • Tail Ratio: 2.70
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.96
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.94
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 10.86

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+8.86%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-88.14%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-83.69%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-123.90%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+292.62%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-0.78%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-27.19%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-37.15%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-48.53%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+28.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
38.3%
Total Trades
674
Cumulative
874.59%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
223.20%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.94%
-10.35%
Simple P&L
+5.99%
+11.20%
Simple P&L
2024
+84.15%
+46.17%
Simple P&L
-0.57%
+15.25%
Simple P&L
+15.60%
-17.80%
Simple P&L
+25.77%
-7.57%
Simple P&L
-5.04%
+13.46%
Simple P&L
+63.83%
+20.47%
Simple P&L
+129.57%
+25.16%
Simple P&L
+51.55%
+29.84%
Simple P&L
+15.18%
-5.11%
Simple P&L
-54.37%
-17.54%
Simple P&L
+63.40%
+22.02%
Simple P&L
-37.46%
-9.78%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.21%
+4.88%
Simple P&L
+7.84%
+28.97%
Simple P&L
+48.87%
+15.41%
Simple P&L
+4.95%
+1.10%
Simple P&L
+72.81%
+15.21%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

674

Number of Trades

874.59%

Cumulative Returns

38.28%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-27.19%

30 Days

-48.53%

60 Days

-37.15%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital145
Open P&l-0.42-0.03
Net Profit1147.13791.12512.29353.3634.84437.82
Gross Profit2765.041906.921256.9866.831508.141040.1
Gross Loss1617.911115.8744.61513.52873.3602.28
Expected Payoff2.121.872.38
Commission Paid178.6986.9391.76
Buy & Hold Return64.8444.72
Buy & Hold % Gain44.72
Strategy Outperformance1082.28
Max Contracts Held27992799.02745.0
Annualized Return (cagr)261.19142.88168.52
Return On Initial Capital791.12353.3437.82
Account Size Required132.06
Return On Account Size Required868.61387.91480.7
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)54.2237.39
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)219.76151.56
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1167.3389.37
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)805.06
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)6 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)27.9619.28
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown8.683.884.8
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)128.4188.56
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)132.0618.74
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)91.08
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss4917.652196.152726.9
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit5.86.7110.63
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.443.132.67
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades541.0274.0267.0
Number Winning Trades216.0105.0111.0
Number Losing Trades325.0169.0156.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable39.9338.3241.57
Avg P&l2.120.431.870.52.380.35
Avg Winning Trade12.83.8911.974.2913.593.51
Avg Losing Trade4.981.874.411.855.61.89
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.5712.7172.427
Largest Winning Trade160.2684.31160.26
Largest Winning Trade Percent44.8244.8224.81
Largest Losing Trade23.3323.3323.28
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.466.376.46
Avg # Bars In Trades36.031.041.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades60.051.068.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.019.022.0
Sharpe Ratio0.62
Sortino Ratio3.288
Profit Factor1.7091.6881.727
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital145
Open P&l2.930.21
Net Profit1266.08873.16661.27456.05604.81417.11
Gross Profit3615.552493.481764.541216.931851.011276.56
Gross Loss2349.471620.331103.27760.871246.2859.45
Expected Payoff1.881.961.8
Commission Paid233.92116.21117.71
Buy & Hold Return145.88100.61
Buy & Hold % Gain100.61
Strategy Outperformance1120.19
Max Contracts Held27992799.02745.0
Annualized Return (cagr)193.01124.93117.34
Return On Initial Capital873.16456.05417.11
Account Size Required275.27
Return On Account Size Required459.93240.22219.71
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)9 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)57.9839.99
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)219.76151.56
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1523.9191.65
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1050.97
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)33.7123.25
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.612.412.21
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)273188.27
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)275.2718.74
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)189.84
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss3743.912095.51788.46
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.434.788.66
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.442.862.71
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades673.0337.0336.0
Number Winning Trades257.0127.0130.0
Number Losing Trades416.0210.0206.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable38.1937.6938.69
Avg P&l1.880.331.960.551.80.12
Avg Winning Trade14.074.0813.894.6214.243.54
Avg Losing Trade5.651.985.251.926.052.05
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.4912.6452.354
Largest Winning Trade160.2684.31160.26
Largest Winning Trade Percent44.8244.8224.81
Largest Losing Trade33.8231.5633.82
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.336.377.33
Avg # Bars In Trades35.031.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades59.051.068.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.019.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.554
Sortino Ratio2.67
Profit Factor1.5391.5991.485
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that offer a comprehensive overview of the strategy's performance:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 858.35%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 58%
Sharpe Ratio 0.546
Profit Factor 1.54
Maximum Drawdown -18.74%
Volatility (Annualized) 25%

The strategy demonstrates a noteworthy net profit of 858.35% and a substantial annualized return of 58%. With a Sharpe Ratio of 0.546, the risk-adjusted performance appears solid, especially given the typical targets for crypto markets. The maximum drawdown of -18.74% is well within acceptable limits for this asset class, reflecting good downside protection. The Profit Factor of 1.54 indicates that the strategy generates $1.54 for every dollar lost.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy seems to be viable for real-world trading within its current market conditions. It effectively manages risk while delivering significant returns, though it falls slightly below the highest-performance benchmarks. Given the low drawdown and reasonable risk metrics, the strategy appears resilient, but trading conditions must be monitored to ensure continued viability.

Risk Management

The strategy employs a well-structured risk management framework, as seen in the drawdown metrics and lack of margin calls. However, improvements can always be made by:

  • Exploring less leveraged positions to reduce potential drawdowns further.
  • Implementing additional risk controls like stop-loss orders or dynamic position sizing based on volatility.
  • Diversifying the asset portfolio to manage unsystematic risks better.

Improvement Suggestions

To further bolster the strategy's performance, consider the following enhancements:

  • Refine model parameters to maintain high returns while achieving even lower drawdowns.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to optimize entry and exit points.
  • Conduct out-of-sample testing to verify the strategy's durability across different economic scenarios.
  • Evaluate adding a broader array of cryptocurrencies to minimize risk through diversification.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy provides solid performance characterized by notable returns and an acceptable risk profile. Its strong Sharpe Ratio and manageable drawdown highlight effective risk management, although volatility remains a factor to consider. Continued refinement and testing can enhance its robustness and adaptability in varying market conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy while implementing suggested improvements and conducting further tests. Adjust the risk management framework to enhance resilience against market fluctuations, ensuring sustained robustness and profitability.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
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1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Win
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Edge Intact
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
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Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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