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michieln trendhoo mantleusdt 37m 29.07.2025

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @michieln
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [8573c2c8]

🛡️ TRENDHOO MANTLEUSDT 37M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
MNT
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-4.54% Updated 10 hours ago
Total Return Primary
898.18%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
38.58%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
18.74%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.607
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
163.11%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
648
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 17, 2023
750
Days
648
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 6, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-11-17 23:19:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.56
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.72
  • Calmar: -3.42
  • Longest DD Days: 75.00
  • Volatility: 0.25
  • Skew: 3.45
  • Kurtosis: 20.20
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.04
  • Expected Yearly: 0.50
  • Kelly Criterion: 14.18
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.02
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-06 14:07:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 250
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 398
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.42
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.58
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.53
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.58
  • Tail Ratio: 2.67
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.96
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.23
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 17.55

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-6.44%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-124.10%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-4.04%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-96.77%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+395.25%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-2.97%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-41.00%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-7.17%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-39.70%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+59.85%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
38.5%
Total Trades
649
Cumulative
896.64%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
240.27%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.94%
-10.35%
Simple P&L
+5.99%
+11.20%
Simple P&L
2024
+84.15%
+46.17%
Simple P&L
-0.57%
+15.25%
Simple P&L
+15.60%
-17.80%
Simple P&L
+25.77%
-7.57%
Simple P&L
-5.04%
+13.46%
Simple P&L
+63.83%
+20.47%
Simple P&L
+129.57%
+25.16%
Simple P&L
+51.55%
+29.84%
Simple P&L
+15.18%
-5.11%
Simple P&L
-54.37%
-17.54%
Simple P&L
+63.40%
+22.02%
Simple P&L
-37.46%
-9.78%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.21%
+4.88%
Simple P&L
+4.96%
+28.97%
Simple P&L
+48.87%
+15.41%
Simple P&L
+4.95%
+1.10%
Simple P&L
+72.81%
+15.21%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

649

Number of Trades

896.64%

Cumulative Returns

38.52%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-41%

30 Days

-39.7%

60 Days

-7.17%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital145
Open P&l-0.42-0.03
Net Profit1147.13791.12512.29353.3634.84437.82
Gross Profit2765.041906.921256.9866.831508.141040.1
Gross Loss1617.911115.8744.61513.52873.3602.28
Commission Paid178.6986.9391.76
Buy & Hold Return64.8444.72
Max Contracts Held27992799.02745.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration9 days
Avg Equity Run-up54.2237.39
Max Equity Run-up1167.3389.37
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration6 days
Avg Equity Drawdown27.9619.28
Max Drawdown132.0618.74
Total Closed Trades541.0274.0267.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades216.0105.0111.0
Number Losing Trades325.0169.0156.0
Percent Profitable39.9338.3241.57
Avg P&l2.120.431.870.52.380.35
Avg Winning Trade12.83.8911.974.2913.593.51
Avg Losing Trade4.981.874.411.855.61.89
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.5712.7172.427
Largest Winning Trade160.2684.31160.26
Largest Winning Trade Percent44.8244.8224.81
Largest Losing Trade23.3323.3323.28
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.466.376.46
Avg # Bars In Trades36.031.041.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades60.051.068.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.019.022.0
Sharpe Ratio0.62
Sortino Ratio3.288
Profit Factor1.7091.6881.727
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital145
Open P&l-2.12-0.15
Net Profit1302.36898.18693.48478.27608.88419.92
Gross Profit3447.242377.41702.551174.181744.681203.23
Gross Loss2144.871479.221009.07695.911135.8783.31
Commission Paid219.49108.6110.9
Buy & Hold Return148.84102.65
Max Contracts Held27992799.02745.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration9 days
Avg Equity Run-up58.1940.13
Max Equity Run-up1523.9191.65
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration7 days
Avg Equity Drawdown31.7521.9
Max Drawdown189.9818.74
Total Closed Trades648.0325.0323.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades250.0123.0127.0
Number Losing Trades398.0202.0196.0
Percent Profitable38.5837.8539.32
Avg P&l2.010.372.130.591.890.16
Avg Winning Trade13.794.0913.844.6813.743.51
Avg Losing Trade5.391.965.01.95.792.02
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.5592.7712.371
Largest Winning Trade160.2684.31160.26
Largest Winning Trade Percent44.8244.8224.81
Largest Losing Trade33.8131.5633.81
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.336.377.33
Avg # Bars In Trades35.031.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades59.051.067.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades20.019.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.56
Sortino Ratio2.719
Profit Factor1.6071.6871.536
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 898.22%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 63%
Sharpe Ratio 0.561
Profit Factor 1.607
Maximum Drawdown -18.74%
Volatility (Annualized) 25%

The strategy exhibits impressive overall performance with a cumulative gain of 898.22% and an annualized return of 63%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.561 is commendable, particularly in the volatile context of cryptocurrency trading, indicating good risk-adjusted returns. Moreover, the maximum drawdown of -18.74% is quite manageable, showing resilience during periods of market volatility. The profit factor of 1.607 suggests profitability over the long term, though there's always room for improvement.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy seems quite viable for real-world trading. It performs robustly under the given market conditions, achieving returns significantly above the benchmark 'Buy & Hold' strategy of 108.67%. The risk-adjusted performance metrics, including the Sharpe ratio, support its potential viability. However, ensuring these market conditions persist is crucial for sustained success.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates adequate risk management, as evidenced by its limited maximum drawdown and a relatively low volatility of 25%. Noteworthy aspects include:

  • Incorporating dynamic position sizing to maximise gains and control losses based on volatility could enhance returns.
  • Additional stop-loss mechanisms might be used to further mitigate risk, especially during downturns.
  • Consider diversifying the asset pool to lower unsystematic risk factors.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness further, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to fine-tune profit generation while keeping drawdowns minimal.
  • Integrate additional technical indicators for refining entry and exit strategies.
  • Conduct extensive out-of-sample testing to verify the strategy's effectiveness across various market conditions.
  • Implement advanced risk management tools such as stress testing to strengthen durability against market swings.
  • Consider decreasing leverage to further reduce the maximum drawdown, leading to improved risk management.

Final Opinion

The strategy highlights strong performance with desirable returns and satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics. While the volatility is well-managed with a low maximum drawdown, opportunities exist to optimize further and broaden its applicability across differing market states.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and refinement. Incorporate proposed enhancements to increase robustness and adjust the risk management framework to handle significant market shifts more effectively. This strategy demonstrates promising potential when executed correctly.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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