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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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michieln trendhoo mantleusdt 37m 29.07.2025

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TREND FOLOWING 30 minutes @michieln
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [8573c2c8]

🛡️ TRENDHOO MANTLEUSDT 37M 29.07.2025

Trading Pair
MNT
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - August 12, 2025
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +8.25% Updated 13 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1071.02%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
38.2%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.55
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.08%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
699
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 3, 2024
801
Days
699
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 14, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2024-01-03 04:15:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.63
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.85
  • Calmar: -2.89
  • Longest DD Days: 95.00
  • Volatility: 0.30
  • Skew: 2.84
  • Kurtosis: 16.36
  • Expected Daily: 0.00
  • Expected Monthly: 0.05
  • Expected Yearly: 0.56
  • Kelly Criterion: 14.30
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.02
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.03
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-14 01:26:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 267
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 432
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.89
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.60
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.57
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.60
  • Tail Ratio: 2.48
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.87
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 10.12
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 14.82

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-0.07%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+0.65%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+3.40%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-0.53%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+2.45%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+9.12%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+9.51%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+15.23%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+24.58%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-18.10%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
38.3%
Total Trades
700
Cumulative
-0.68%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
246.73%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2024
-0.93%
+42.58%
Simple P&L
-3.48%
+15.25%
Simple P&L
+1.06%
-17.80%
Simple P&L
+2.49%
-7.57%
Simple P&L
-1.03%
+13.46%
Simple P&L
+0.92%
+20.47%
Simple P&L
+0.76%
+25.16%
Simple P&L
+1.32%
+29.84%
Simple P&L
+1.93%
-5.11%
Simple P&L
+0.93%
-17.54%
Simple P&L
+0.40%
+22.02%
Simple P&L
-1.59%
-9.78%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.93%
+4.88%
Simple P&L
-1.71%
+28.97%
Simple P&L
-0.74%
+15.41%
Simple P&L
-0.07%
+1.10%
Simple P&L
+1.18%
+15.21%
Simple P&L
-0.05%
+13.66%
Simple P&L
-0.41%
+36.69%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+19.98%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

700

Number of Trades

-0.68%

Cumulative Returns

38.29%

Win Rate

2025-07-29

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

9.51%

30 Days

24.58%

60 Days

15.23%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital145
Open P&l2.80.16
Net Profit1552.981071.02844.59582.48708.39488.55
Gross Profit4377.123018.72093.671443.912283.441574.79
Gross Loss2824.131947.681249.08861.441575.051086.24
Expected Payoff2.222.432.02
Commission Paid285.48140.2145.28
Buy & Hold Return9.046.23
Buy & Hold % Gain6.23
Strategy Outperformance1543.94
Max Contracts Held43754375.03854.0
Annualized Return (cagr)205.91139.35123.77
Return On Initial Capital1071.02582.48488.55
Account Size Required249.5
Return On Account Size Required622.43338.51283.92
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)10 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)70.7748.81
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)315.72217.74
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1605.7791.72
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1107.43
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)36.3325.06
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown6.243.42.85
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)247.44170.65
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)249.518.74
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)172.07
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1610.372823.54734.57
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.326.146.36
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.412.396.12
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades699.0348.0351.0
Number Winning Trades267.0131.0136.0
Number Losing Trades432.0217.0215.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable38.237.6438.75
Avg P&l2.220.352.430.52.020.2
Avg Winning Trade16.394.1315.984.5216.793.75
Avg Losing Trade6.541.985.761.927.332.04
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.5082.7772.292
Largest Winning Trade145.25128.45145.25
Largest Winning Trade Percent44.8244.8224.81
Largest Losing Trade96.4429.9196.44
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.336.377.33
Avg # Bars In Trades35.031.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades60.051.068.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades19.018.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.634
Sortino Ratio2.849
Profit Factor1.551.6761.45
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital145
Open P&l2.80.16
Net Profit1552.981071.02844.59582.48708.39488.55
Gross Profit4377.123018.72093.671443.912283.441574.79
Gross Loss2824.131947.681249.08861.441575.051086.24
Expected Payoff2.222.432.02
Commission Paid285.48140.2145.28
Buy & Hold Return9.046.23
Buy & Hold % Gain6.23
Strategy Outperformance1543.94
Max Contracts Held43754375.03854.0
Annualized Return (cagr)205.91139.35123.77
Return On Initial Capital1071.02582.48488.55
Account Size Required249.5
Return On Account Size Required622.43338.51283.92
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)10 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)70.7748.81
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)315.72217.74
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1605.7791.72
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1107.43
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)7 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)36.3325.06
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown6.243.42.85
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)247.44170.65
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)249.518.74
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)172.07
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1610.372823.54734.57
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.326.146.36
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.412.396.12
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades699.0348.0351.0
Number Winning Trades267.0131.0136.0
Number Losing Trades432.0217.0215.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable38.237.6438.75
Avg P&l2.220.352.430.52.020.2
Avg Winning Trade16.394.1315.984.5216.793.75
Avg Losing Trade6.541.985.761.927.332.04
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.5082.7772.292
Largest Winning Trade145.25128.45145.25
Largest Winning Trade Percent44.8244.8224.81
Largest Losing Trade96.4429.9196.44
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.336.377.33
Avg # Bars In Trades35.031.039.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades60.051.068.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades19.018.021.0
Sharpe Ratio0.634
Sortino Ratio2.849
Profit Factor1.551.6761.45
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 983.61%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 197.93%
Sharpe Ratio 0.617
Profit Factor 1.512
Maximum Drawdown -170.65%
Volatility (Annualized) 29%
Percent Profitable 38.13%

The strategy exhibits notable returns with a cumulative gain of 983.61% and a robust annualized return of 197.93%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.617 indicates solid risk-adjusted returns, above the typical threshold of 0.5 in crypto trading, suggesting a viable performance. The profit factor of 1.512 is positive, indicating net profitability. However, the maximum drawdown of -170.65% is a significant red flag, suggesting potential areas for improvement in risk management.

Strategy Viability

Based on the provided data, this strategy shows potential viability for real-world trading, especially concerning its impressive returns and profitability metrics. However, the extreme maximum drawdown suggests the need for careful market exposure control, possibly aligning it with less volatile market conditions to improve performance. The strategy outperforms many industry benchmarks on returns but must be adjusted to reduce risks to be considered truly resilient.

Risk Management

The current risk management framework reveals gaps, particularly the high drawdown figure. Improving this aspect is crucial for strategy sustainability. Suggested enhancements include:

  • Implementing strict leverage controls to mitigate drawdowns, as excessive leverage significantly contributes to risk.
  • Developing an adaptive position sizing model based on real-time volatility assessments.
  • Integrating dynamic stop-loss mechanisms to limit losses effectively.

Improvement Suggestions

To elevate the strategy's effectiveness and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Reduce leverage to minimize the impact of adverse market conditions and decrease drawdowns.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals, improving overall trade execution.
  • Conduct comprehensive sensitivity analysis to understand parameter impacts and optimize trading signals.
  • Explore machine learning techniques to dynamically adjust strategy parameters in response to changing market dynamics.

Final Opinion

In summary, this trading strategy showcases significant return potential and solid risk-adjusted performance as indicated by the Sharpe ratio. However, the high maximum drawdown reflects a critical area that requires strategic intervention. Despite this challenge, there is room for optimism as adjusting leverage and implementing more sophisticated risk controls can substantially enhance performance resilience.

Recommendation: Proceed with cautious optimism, focusing on revamping risk management practices and validating the strategy's robustness under various scenarios. Implement suggested improvements to maximize returns while maintaining acceptable risk levels.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
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Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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