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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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methods lonesometrendV5 solusdt 30m 13.08

  • Homepage
30 minutes @methods
● Live

Lonesome Trend [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [6004015a]

🛡️ LONESOMETRENDV5 SOLUSDT 30M 13.08

Trading Pair
SOL
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - September 6, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-2.46% Updated 5 hours ago
Total Return Primary
3244.54%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
44.44%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
51.13%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.335
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
756.79%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
369
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jul 10, 2021
1,505
Days
369
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 22, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-07-10 21:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.70
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.46
  • Calmar: -0.33
  • Longest DD Days: 46.00
  • Volatility: 1.65
  • Skew: 1.83
  • Kurtosis: 7.83
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.18
  • Expected Yearly: 2.22
  • Kelly Criterion: 12.21
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.15
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.19
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-22 11:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 164
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 205
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.33
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.38
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.70
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.38
  • Tail Ratio: 1.23
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.67
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.15
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 0.67

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20210.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-6.04%7.53%11.71%6.73%8.85%11.40%
202210.86%14.89%8.65%7.60%11.23%2.63%-0.44%22.45%13.05%16.38%14.94%8.18%
20233.93%-2.35%5.82%14.51%9.77%23.57%15.82%21.51%1.90%0.25%6.05%18.06%
202416.91%14.12%11.87%18.79%27.88%18.37%15.31%3.06%-12.85%1.32%12.76%6.96%
20251.59%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

81

Number of Trades

-23.41%

Cumulative Returns

28.4%

Win Rate

2024-08-13

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

26.86%

30 Days

41.9%

60 Days

24.36%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l1.570.06
Net Profit2487.752487.752054.382054.38433.37433.37
Gross Profit12134.1612134.168473.178473.173660.983660.98
Gross Loss9646.419646.416418.796418.793227.623227.62
Commission Paid727.62476.81250.81
Buy & Hold Return417.03417.03
Max Equity Run-up5041.3398.22
Max Drawdown2495.1151.13
Max Contracts Held140.0140.0135.0
Total Closed Trades365.0212.0153.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades161.077.084.0
Number Losing Trades204.0135.069.0
Percent Profitable44.1136.3254.9
Avg P&l6.820.59.690.372.830.68
Avg Winning Trade75.373.37110.044.0643.582.74
Avg Losing Trade47.291.7747.551.7346.781.84
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.5942.3140.932
Largest Winning Trade585.74585.74216.1
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.665.65.66
Largest Losing Trade273.64258.58273.64
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.373.372.84
Avg # Bars In Trades16.018.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.021.012.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades15.016.013.0
Sharpe Ratio0.674
Sortino Ratio1.352
Profit Factor1.2581.321.134
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit3244.543244.542614.392614.39630.14630.14
Gross Profit12930.3812930.389072.629072.623857.763857.76
Gross Loss9685.859685.856458.236458.233227.623227.62
Commission Paid744.35488.02256.34
Buy & Hold Return533.44533.44
Max Equity Run-up5041.3398.22
Max Drawdown2495.1151.13
Max Contracts Held140.0140.0135.0
Total Closed Trades369.0215.0154.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades164.079.085.0
Number Losing Trades205.0136.069.0
Percent Profitable44.4436.7455.19
Avg P&l8.790.5312.160.414.090.69
Avg Winning Trade78.843.39114.844.0845.392.75
Avg Losing Trade47.251.7647.491.7346.781.84
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.6692.4180.97
Largest Winning Trade585.74585.74216.1
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.665.65.66
Largest Losing Trade273.64258.58273.64
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.373.372.84
Avg # Bars In Trades16.018.013.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades17.022.013.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades15.016.013.0
Sharpe Ratio0.704
Sortino Ratio1.462
Profit Factor1.3351.4051.195
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 328,609
Gross Profit 1,293,038
Gross Loss 964,430
Sharpe Ratio 0.703
Max Drawdown -5,113
Profit Factor 1.341
% Profitable 44.57%
CAGR 0.79%

The strategy demonstrates solid risk-adjusted performance with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.703, indicating promising returns relative to risk. The Max Drawdown figure of -5,113 highlights substantial room for optimization in risk management, albeit the low negative value makes it manageable. Despite a moderately profitable percentage of 44.57%, the strategy indicates a commendable turnaround in gross profit and loss, which is encouraging.

Strategy Viability

Considering the performance data, this strategy shows potential viability for real-world trading. The indicators suggest that it performs relatively well in turbulent market conditions, given the positive skew and kurtosis numbers. While the expected yearly return might seem modest, the risk-adjusted performance is promising. However, to assure prolonged success, ensuring the market conditions under which this strategy thrives should be understood and continuously evaluated.

Risk Management

The evaluated strategy consists of efficient elements of risk management, as the zero margin calls and controlled average drawdown days suggest. However, the volatility suggests room for improvement in handling daily fluctuations. Some potential risk management enhancements could include:

  • Adopting a dynamic leverage adjustment to lower potential drawdown by using less leverage when volatility spikes.
  • Implementing stop-loss protocols to secure profits and limit losses more effectively.
  • Diversifying the breadbasket of trading pairs for insulation against asset-specific risks.

Improvement Suggestions

To improve the strategy's performance, consider the following suggestions:

  • Adjust parameter tuning within the strategy to reduce drawdowns and optimize returns.
  • Incorporate signals from sentiment analysis to bolster predictive accuracy.
  • Perform out-of-sample backtesting to ensure robustness under a diverse range of market conditions.
  • Evaluate the effectiveness of pairing correlated and non-correlated assets for diversified resilience.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy displays a sound performance with a satisfactory Sharpe Ratio and adequate profit factor. The evidenced drawdown posits a chance for improvement, but with proper risk management adaptation, the strategy's potential can be fully materialized. Notable strengths include high gross profit figures and stable win/loss balance which, combined with robust risk management strategies, could result in fruitful performance.

Recommendation: Continue refining and testing the strategy while implementing the outlined improvements. Ensuring that risk management protocols are adaptive to high volatility environments and optimizing parameter settings will enhance long-term feasibility and success.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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