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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
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    • Bug & Feature Tracker
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McGinley trend ETHUSDT.P 30MIN

  • Homepage
30 minutes @bavo
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [ff2cc3b8]

🛡️ MCGINLEY TREND ETHUSDT.P 30MIN

Trading Pair
ETH
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - February 14, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 8 minutes ago
Total Return Primary
887.91%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
61.47%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
63.23%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.444
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
297.21%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
475
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 3, 2020
1,762
Days
475
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 22, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-11-03 04:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.37
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.77
  • Calmar: -1.10
  • Longest DD Days: 90.00
  • Volatility: 14.01
  • Skew: -0.25
  • Kurtosis: -0.24
  • Expected Daily: 0.14
  • Expected Monthly: 2.90
  • Expected Yearly: 40.97
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.89
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.29
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.73
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-22 23:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 11
  • Number Winning Trades 292
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 183
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.10
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.44
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.90
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.44
  • Tail Ratio: 1.10
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.93
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.37
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.04
  • Serenity Index: 6.85

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%18.83%38.01%
202125.13%14.71%0.46%-31.60%-25.75%-7.78%7.23%30.88%10.57%4.71%13.85%-8.92%
202241.55%19.18%1.71%3.31%15.86%8.64%24.54%7.14%2.23%-3.12%3.75%-2.86%
20237.29%6.27%-1.59%4.35%-3.50%-2.25%1.28%6.18%1.37%4.57%-1.00%10.71%
20242.76%2.35%-14.34%9.32%5.44%2.41%-0.04%3.66%-1.61%1.18%1.43%-0.07%
20250.23%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

166

Number of Trades

37.91%

Cumulative Returns

60.84%

Win Rate

2024-02-14

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

6.1%

30 Days

15.82%

60 Days

13.36%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit59069.87590.738480.13384.820589.74205.9
Gross Profit186346.961863.4786279.03862.79100067.931000.68
Gross Loss127277.11272.7747798.9477.9979478.2794.78
Commission Paid12331.036057.366273.68
Buy & Hold Return58684.36586.84
Max Equity Run-up64479.990.4
Max Drawdown14610.7763.23
Max Contracts Held134.0130.0134.0
Total Closed Trades309.0149.0160.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades191.099.092.0
Number Losing Trades118.050.068.0
Percent Profitable61.8166.4457.5
Avg P&l191.160.38258.260.51128.690.26
Avg Winning Trade975.641.96871.511.721087.692.22
Avg Losing Trade1078.622.17955.981.881168.82.39
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9050.9120.931
Largest Winning Trade2806.832696.182806.83
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.635.265.63
Largest Losing Trade2643.881836.222643.88
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.853.625.85
Avg # Bars In Trades12.013.012.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades11.012.011.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.016.013.0
Sharpe Ratio0.396
Sortino Ratio0.839
Profit Factor1.4641.8051.259
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit88790.76887.9163053.73630.5425737.03257.37
Gross Profit288772.152887.72131155.481311.55157616.671576.17
Gross Loss199981.391999.8168101.74681.02131879.651318.8
Commission Paid18962.469025.079937.39
Buy & Hold Return104273.921042.74
Max Equity Run-up91945.0793.07
Max Drawdown14610.7763.23
Max Contracts Held134.0130.0134.0
Total Closed Trades475.0222.0253.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades292.0150.0142.0
Number Losing Trades183.072.0111.0
Percent Profitable61.4767.5756.13
Avg P&l186.930.37284.030.56101.730.2
Avg Winning Trade988.951.98874.371.721109.982.26
Avg Losing Trade1092.792.2945.861.861188.12.42
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9050.9240.934
Largest Winning Trade5208.112696.185208.11
Largest Winning Trade Percent10.565.2610.56
Largest Losing Trade2643.882042.142643.88
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.853.935.85
Avg # Bars In Trades13.013.012.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades12.012.012.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades13.015.013.0
Sharpe Ratio0.366
Sortino Ratio0.766
Profit Factor1.4441.9261.195
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the QuantStats report for the trading strategy, the following key performance metrics have been identified:

Metric Value
Net Profit 887.91%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 14.14%
Sharpe Ratio 0.366
Profit Factor 1.444
Maximum Drawdown -63.23%
Volatility 14.01%

The strategy showcases a strong net profit of 887.91%, indicating substantial returns. However, the annualized return (CAGR) of 14.14% is moderate compared to typical industry expectations. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.366, while below the desirable threshold of 0.5 for crypto markets, still indicates some positive risk-adjusted performance, and there's room for improvement. The profit factor of 1.444 is promising, suggesting that the strategy generates about $1.44 for every dollar lost. However, the maximum drawdown of 63.23% is a major concern and suggests a potential need for reducing leverage or enhancing risk management.

Strategy Viability

Based on the current data, the strategy demonstrates potential viability if employed in an environment where high drawdowns are acceptable, or if adjustments are made to mitigate risk. While it has a reasonable win rate (61.47%), the market conditions under which it excels need to be defined and understood. Comparing these metrics to industry benchmarks highlights that while the net profit is admirable, achieving greater risk-adjusted returns should be a focus area. It is essential to recognize the strategy's stronger performance during low volatility periods.

Risk Management

The existing risk management practices need evaluation and refinement. The prominent max drawdown and moderate volatility (14.01%) highlight areas for potential improvement. Recommended strategies to enhance risk management include:

  • Implementing dynamic position sizing to adjust exposure according to market conditions and volatility.
  • Introducing stricter stop-loss mechanisms or trailing stops to limit downside risk.
  • Reducing leverage or reconsidering position sizes to keep drawdowns within acceptable limits.

Improvement Suggestions

To further bolster the strategy's robustness and performance, consider the following enhancements:

  • Reevaluate and optimize key parameters such as entry/exit points to increase profitability and improve the Sharpe Ratio.
  • Incorporate a wider range of technical and market indicators to refine trade selection.
  • Conduct out-of-sample testing on different data sets to ensure adaptability to varying market conditions.
  • Explore stress testing scenarios to assess performance during extreme market shifts.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy exhibits potential with its strong net profit, but it faces challenges in risk-adjusted performance and drawdown management. The current strategy could benefit greatly from careful refinement in risk management practices to mitigate high drawdown risks.

Recommendation: Consider proceeding with modifications to enhance risk controls and optimize parameters. Further testing and validation are crucial to ensure the strategy's robustness across varied market environments before full-scale deployment.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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  • Simply navigate to the top right corner and click "copy" like in the image below.
  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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