🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [4a42bc43]
🛡️ MCGINLEY GALA 45MIN @jarrad6045
TREND FOLOWING
45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2022-04-17 23:15:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.34
- Sortino Ratio: 0.76
- Calmar: -0.68
- Longest DD Days: 50.00
- Volatility: 2.87
- Skew: -0.16
- Kurtosis: 0.04
- Expected Daily: 0.02
- Expected Monthly: 0.49
- Expected Yearly: 6.07
- Kelly Criterion: 19.04
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.26
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.37
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-13 13:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 6
- Number Winning Trades 79
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 53
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.68
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.46
- Payoff Ratio: 0.95
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.46
- Tail Ratio: 1.29
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.80
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.70
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.81
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 338.78% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 1.13% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.351 |
Profit Factor | 1.42 |
Maximum Drawdown | 45.17% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 2.86% |
The strategy showcases a robust cumulative return of 338.78%, which is impressive against a challenging market environment. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.351, while below the desirable threshold, indicates some potential for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 45.17% slightly exceeds the comfort zone, suggesting areas for refining risk management. The strategy maintains a good win rate of 60.31%.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, there are prospects for optimizing this strategy for real-world trading. The strategy's ability to deliver positive returns highlights its potential, yet the elevated max drawdown warrants careful consideration. Identifying and capitalizing on favorable market conditions could further enhance performance, especially if current trends persist.
Risk Management
The strategy’s risk management has room for improvement as evidenced by the maximum drawdown. Here are some suggestions to strengthen risk management practices:
- Reducing leverage can significantly bring down the maximum drawdown, providing a smoother equity curve.
- Introducing dynamic stop-loss mechanisms could help in mitigating substantial losses during market downturns.
- Diversifying the portfolio to include a variety of assets might decrease exposure to specific market volatilities.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s effectiveness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize and recalibrate strategy parameters to reduce drawdown while potentially enhancing returns.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points for trades.
- Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample testing to confirm robustness across varying market scenarios.
- Utilize advanced risk management tools like Value-at-Risk (VaR) to better manage potential risks.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong potential with its significant returns, although risk metrics require attention. The identified areas for improvement suggest that the strategy can be optimized for better performance and reliability. By advancing the risk management framework and conducting further testing, its robustness in diverse market conditions can be ensured.
Recommendation: Proceed with refining and optimizing the strategy. Focus on decreasing leverage to reduce drawdown and enhance risk management to build a resilient trading approach.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.79% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.74% | -6.63% | 9.10% | 10.45% | 16.72% | 13.63% |
2023 | -13.30% | 11.68% | 5.99% | -28.22% | 14.58% | 16.30% | 7.86% | -5.38% | 52.26% | 20.44% | 0.00% | -2.27% |
2024 | -13.26% | -5.68% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.62% | -7.33% | 10.07% | 11.46% | 16.17% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
GALA
Base Currency
23
Number of Trades
64.84%
Cumulative Returns
56.52%
Win Rate
2024-03-28
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
2.99%
30 Days
52%
60 Days
26%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1392.03 | 139.2 | 195.69 | 19.57 | 1196.34 | 119.63 |
Gross Profit | 7569.04 | 756.9 | 1216.37 | 121.64 | 6352.67 | 635.27 |
Gross Loss | 6177.01 | 617.7 | 1020.68 | 102.07 | 5156.34 | 515.63 |
Commission Paid | 377.44 | 44.46 | 332.98 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -656.15 | -65.61 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 2542.37 | 72.5 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1054.37 | 43.89 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1096059.0 | 593028.0 | 1096059.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 109.0 | 11.0 | 98.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 66.0 | 4.0 | 62.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 43.0 | 7.0 | 36.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 60.55 | 36.36 | 63.27 | |||
Avg P&l | 12.77 | 0.5 | 17.79 | 0.19 | 12.21 | 0.53 |
Avg Winning Trade | 114.68 | 2.8 | 304.09 | 5.58 | 102.46 | 2.62 |
Avg Losing Trade | 143.65 | 3.03 | 145.81 | 2.89 | 143.23 | 3.06 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.798 | 2.086 | 0.715 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 449.81 | 449.81 | 346.83 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.57 | 6.57 | 4.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 463.4 | 387.82 | 463.4 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.55 | 3.32 | 3.55 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 26.0 | 18.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 16.0 | 22.0 | 16.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 22.0 | 28.0 | 21.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.299 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.661 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.225 | 1.192 | 1.232 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 3123.59 | 312.36 | -253.91 | -25.39 | 3377.5 | 337.75 |
Gross Profit | 11586.94 | 1158.69 | 2346.44 | 234.64 | 9240.5 | 924.05 |
Gross Loss | 8463.35 | 846.33 | 2600.35 | 260.03 | 5863.0 | 586.3 |
Commission Paid | 530.33 | 99.39 | 430.94 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -929.56 | -92.96 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3546.59 | 78.62 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1556.62 | 45.17 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1119309.0 | 858072.0 | 1119309.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 132.0 | 22.0 | 110.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 79.0 | 8.0 | 71.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 53.0 | 14.0 | 39.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 59.85 | 36.36 | 64.55 | |||
Avg P&l | 23.66 | 0.54 | -11.54 | 0.16 | 30.7 | 0.61 |
Avg Winning Trade | 146.67 | 2.96 | 293.31 | 5.77 | 130.15 | 2.65 |
Avg Losing Trade | 159.69 | 3.08 | 185.74 | 3.05 | 150.33 | 3.09 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.918 | 1.579 | 0.866 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 449.81 | 449.81 | 422.29 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.57 | 6.57 | 4.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 484.87 | 484.87 | 463.4 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.55 | 3.34 | 3.55 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 25.0 | 18.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 16.0 | 24.0 | 15.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 24.0 | 25.0 | 23.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.338 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.758 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.369 | 0.902 | 1.576 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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