🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [898e7e54]
🛡️ MCGINLEY BTC 1H @
TREND FOLOWING
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 57 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-10 23:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.26
- Sortino Ratio: 0.59
- Calmar: -0.86
- Longest DD Days: 137.00
- Volatility: 35.76
- Skew: 0.21
- Kurtosis: -0.37
- Expected Daily: 0.22
- Expected Monthly: 4.82
- Expected Yearly: 76.01
- Kelly Criterion: 7.61
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.02
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.92
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-19 15:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 266
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 269
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.86
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.18
- Payoff Ratio: 1.19
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.18
- Tail Ratio: 1.31
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.42
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.13
- Serenity Index: 4.77
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the QuantStats report, several performance metrics provide insights into the strategy's effectiveness:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Cumulative Net Profit | 198.82% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 24.48% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.27 |
Profit Factor | 1.186 |
Maximum Drawdown | 27.63% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 35.77% |
Percent Profitable | 49.81% |
The strategy achieves a cumulative return of 198.82% with an annualized return of 24.48%. While returns are positive, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.27 indicates room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 27.63% is within acceptable limits, but can potentially be improved to decrease downside risk.
Strategy Viability
The strategy shows potential for real-world trading, particularly due to its positive net profit and manageable drawdown. However, the Sharpe Ratio suggests a need to enhance risk management to improve attractiveness. It is crucial to examine if the market conditions align with the strategy's strengths and to ensure these conditions are likely to persist.
Risk Management
While the strategy contains foundational risk management elements, there is notable room for growth:
- Consider adjusting leverage to further reduce drawdowns and risk exposure.
- Investigate incorporating stop-loss and take-profit levels more effectively to protect against substantial losses.
- Evaluate position sizing strategies to ensure alignment with the strategy's risk tolerance.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s effectiveness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize leverage and other parameters to mitigate drawdown while maintaining strong returns.
- Explore additional technical indicators that could sharpen entry and exit signals.
- Conduct in-depth backtesting across diverse market conditions to test the strategy's robustness and adaptability.
- Integrate a diversified portfolio approach to reduce unsystematic risk.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy offers a promising starting point with a positive net profit and acceptable drawdown. Nevertheless, enhancing risk-adjusted returns through improved risk management and further testing is essential.
Recommendation: Proceed with refining and optimizing the strategy. Implement suggested improvements, and conduct additional testing to ensure its adaptability and robustness in various market environments.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.66% | -6.59% | -0.37% | 0.00% | -1.51% | -3.94% | 0.00% | 7.81% | 2.39% |
2021 | 16.93% | 5.35% | -1.34% | 1.21% | 10.08% | 10.83% | -8.54% | -4.06% | 7.21% | -6.57% | 7.09% | 5.71% |
2022 | 18.04% | 9.71% | 1.67% | 5.23% | 13.81% | 12.98% | -0.33% | 11.53% | 3.23% | -2.37% | 21.67% | 0.02% |
2023 | 0.00% | 0.15% | 0.59% | 7.43% | -3.93% | 2.53% | 0.10% | 1.75% | 1.24% | 0.00% | -1.40% | -1.64% |
2024 | 2.01% | -1.52% | 2.82% | -13.47% | -6.06% | -4.52% | 2.56% | 5.93% | -6.81% | 4.98% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
132
Number of Trades
-23.49%
Cumulative Returns
42.42%
Win Rate
2024-04-10
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-1.6%
30 Days
-13.06%
60 Days
-1.44%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 280754.39 | 280.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 280754.39 | 280.75 |
Gross Profit | 946733.16 | 946.73 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 946733.16 | 946.73 |
Gross Loss | 665978.76 | 665.98 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 665978.76 | 665.98 |
Commission Paid | 81411.16 | 0.0 | 81411.16 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 900085.28 | 900.09 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 322111.62 | 79.03 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 43074.55 | 21.44 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 35.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 403.0 | 0.0 | 403.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 210.0 | 0.0 | 210.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 193.0 | 0.0 | 193.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 52.11 | 52.11 | ||||
Avg P&l | 696.66 | 0.24 | 696.66 | 0.24 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 4508.25 | 1.82 | 4508.25 | 1.82 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 3450.67 | 1.48 | 3450.67 | 1.48 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.306 | 1.306 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 18565.36 | 18565.36 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.48 | 5.48 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 19394.88 | 19394.88 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.52 | 4.52 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.41 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.257 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.422 | 1.422 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 194044.19 | 194.04 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 194044.19 | 194.04 |
Gross Profit | 1265695.52 | 1265.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1265695.52 | 1265.7 |
Gross Loss | 1071651.33 | 1071.65 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1071651.33 | 1071.65 |
Commission Paid | 125511.67 | 0.0 | 125511.67 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1427692.93 | 1427.69 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 322111.62 | 79.03 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 113681.48 | 27.91 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 35.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 535.0 | 0.0 | 535.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 266.0 | 0.0 | 266.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 269.0 | 0.0 | 269.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 49.72 | 49.72 | ||||
Avg P&l | 362.7 | 0.14 | 362.7 | 0.14 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 4758.25 | 1.72 | 4758.25 | 1.72 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 3983.83 | 1.41 | 3983.83 | 1.41 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.194 | 1.194 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 18565.36 | 18565.36 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.48 | 5.48 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 19394.88 | 19394.88 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.52 | 4.52 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 6.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.263 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.588 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.181 | 1.181 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
TradingView Screenshots
Slide this way to reveal live trades
USE SLIDER TO REVEAL RESULTS
Slide this way to reveal backtest
Slide this way to reveal live trades
USE SLIDER TO REVEAL RESULTS
Slide this way to reveal backtest