🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [002cfd45]
🛡️ MCGINLEY ADA 1H @zagzag77
TREND FOLOWING
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 48 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-04-11 14:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.46
- Sortino Ratio: 1.22
- Calmar: -1.34
- Longest DD Days: 68.00
- Volatility: 0.23
- Skew: 2.63
- Kurtosis: 14.45
- Expected Daily: 0.00
- Expected Monthly: 0.04
- Expected Yearly: 0.47
- Kelly Criterion: 14.24
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.02
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-16 22:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 212
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 329
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.34
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.57
- Payoff Ratio: 2.41
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.57
- Tail Ratio: 2.35
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.65
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 6.78
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 5.78
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that require attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 179.22% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 25% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.462 |
Profit Factor | 1.565 |
Maximum Drawdown | 17.3% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 23% |
The strategy yields decent returns with a cumulative profit of 179.22%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.462 is slightly below the 0.5 threshold but still suggests some interest in its risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown is 17.3%, showing robust capital protection, and the profit factor of 1.565 indicates profitable trading with each dollar risked in losses earning 1.565 dollars in gains.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be potentially viable for real-world trading but requires enhancement. It outperforms a benchmark given a favorable Buy & Hold Return of -49.01%, suggesting better downside protection. The cagr: 25% aligns with the idea of profitability in long-term trading. However, the Sharpe ratio close to 0.5 reflects the need for improved risk management to bolster returns and reduce volatility.
Risk Management
This strategy's risk management appears moderately effective, as demonstrated by its controlled maximum drawdown. Still, there are areas for improvement:
- Refining position sizing strategies, especially around leverage, which can help mitigate maximum drawdowns.
- Revisiting and potentially strengthening stop-loss rules to reduce exposure during volatile market periods.
- Considering diversification in asset trades to spread risk more evenly across the strategy.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimization of parameters, particularly those affecting entry and exit for trades.
- Incorporating additional technical indicators to improve trade timing, perhaps focusing on volatility adjustments.
- Conduct thorough back-testing and forward-testing to ensure the strategy holds under diverse market periods.
- Leverage adjustments to reduce risk exposure, which can help maintain drawdowns below industry benchmarks.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates decent performance with satisfactory returns and adequate risk-adjusted measurements. However, areas of enhancement, especially around leverage and risk management, are necessary for it to be fully viable. The strategy presents an exciting foundation but requires a truly robust framework to handle unexpected market shifts.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Pay special attention to improving the risk management procedures and leverage decisions to strengthen both the Sharpe ratio and overall returns. Implement suggested enhancements to adapt better to a volatile crypto market.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.04% | -0.51% | 2.28% | 4.46% | 0.25% | 2.48% | 7.49% | 8.35% | 0.44% |
2022 | 0.45% | 0.54% | -1.13% | 3.64% | 1.54% | -0.12% | 1.04% | 0.01% | 0.67% | 9.29% | -2.09% | 12.86% |
2023 | 10.49% | 1.29% | 4.39% | 2.28% | -10.44% | 4.17% | -1.18% | 12.19% | -2.54% | 13.70% | 2.51% | 1.09% |
2024 | 4.73% | 1.79% | -1.16% | 0.46% | -2.92% | -0.64% | -0.21% | 0.75% | 7.87% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
ADA
Base Currency
137
Number of Trades
12.74%
Cumulative Returns
37.96%
Win Rate
2024-03-20
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
2.73%
30 Days
6.54%
60 Days
4.47%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 819.52 | 147.66 | 332.54 | 59.92 | 486.99 | 87.75 |
Gross Profit | 2072.68 | 373.46 | 933.54 | 168.2 | 1139.14 | 205.25 |
Gross Loss | 1253.15 | 225.79 | 601.0 | 108.29 | 652.15 | 117.51 |
Commission Paid | 111.09 | 54.53 | 56.56 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -277.87 | -50.07 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 853.89 | 61.01 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 196.35 | 17.3 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 8962.0 | 8629.0 | 8962.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 404.0 | 184.0 | 220.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 160.0 | 77.0 | 83.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 244.0 | 107.0 | 137.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 39.6 | 41.85 | 37.73 | |||
Avg P&l | 2.03 | 0.42 | 1.81 | 0.51 | 2.21 | 0.34 |
Avg Winning Trade | 12.95 | 4.18 | 12.12 | 3.97 | 13.72 | 4.38 |
Avg Losing Trade | 5.14 | 2.05 | 5.62 | 1.98 | 4.76 | 2.1 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.522 | 2.158 | 2.883 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 128.2 | 78.57 | 128.2 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 11.62 | 6.61 | 11.62 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 37.58 | 35.69 | 37.58 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.99 | 6.5 | 6.99 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 24.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 33.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 19.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.517 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.347 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.654 | 1.553 | 1.747 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 994.68 | 179.22 | 454.6 | 81.91 | 540.08 | 97.31 |
Gross Profit | 2754.19 | 496.25 | 1292.12 | 232.81 | 1462.07 | 263.44 |
Gross Loss | 1759.51 | 317.03 | 837.52 | 150.91 | 921.99 | 166.12 |
Commission Paid | 147.65 | 73.55 | 74.1 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -272.03 | -49.01 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1008.06 | 64.88 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 196.35 | 17.3 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 8962.0 | 8629.0 | 8962.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 541.0 | 246.0 | 295.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 212.0 | 99.0 | 113.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 329.0 | 147.0 | 182.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 39.19 | 40.24 | 38.31 | |||
Avg P&l | 1.84 | 0.41 | 1.85 | 0.39 | 1.83 | 0.42 |
Avg Winning Trade | 12.99 | 4.17 | 13.05 | 3.88 | 12.94 | 4.42 |
Avg Losing Trade | 5.35 | 2.02 | 5.7 | 1.96 | 5.07 | 2.06 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.429 | 2.291 | 2.554 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 128.2 | 78.57 | 128.2 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 11.62 | 6.61 | 11.62 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 38.37 | 35.69 | 38.37 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.99 | 6.5 | 6.99 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 25.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 35.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 19.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.462 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.215 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.565 | 1.543 | 1.586 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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