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MATIC – Trendhoo 45MIN

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🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [6ed9a99d]

🛡️ MATIC – TRENDHOO 45MIN @Chibuku

TREND FOLOWING
45 minutes

by DaviddTech - April 1, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 2 hours ago

267.78%

Net Profit

76%

Win Rate

550

Total Closed Trades

1.917

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

54.74% 🚀

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-07-04 21:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.46
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.16
  • Calmar: -2.55
  • Longest DD Days: 171.00
  • Volatility: 20.19
  • Skew: -1.53
  • Kurtosis: -62,811.16
  • Expected Daily: 0.25
  • Expected Monthly: 5.31
  • Expected Yearly: 86.09
  • Kelly Criterion: 36.14
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.04
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.56
  • Last Trade Date: 2024-08-28 02:15:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 27
  • Number Winning Trades 418
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 5
  • Number Losing Trades: 132
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.55
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.91
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.60
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.91
  • Tail Ratio: 0.94
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 4.84
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.14
  • Recovery Factor: 13.15
  • Ulcer Index: 0.58
  • Serenity Index: 33.10

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Net Profit 267.78%
Sharpe Ratio 0.464
Sortino Ratio 1.162
Profit Factor 1.917
Maximum Drawdown 19.91%
Volatility (Annualized) 20.19%
Percent Profitable 76%
Average Winning Trade 8%
Average Losing Trade 5.5%

The strategy showcases a compelling net profit of 267.78% and a very impressive win rate of 76%, indicating a high consistency of successful trades. The maximum drawdown remains below the acceptable threshold, demonstrating reasonable risk management. However, the Sharpe Ratio is slightly below the desired threshold of 0.5 in crypto trading contexts, suggesting potential areas for risk-adjusted performance improvement.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy demonstrates decent viability for real-world trading, thanks to its substantial profit factor of 1.917 and solid recovery factor. The market environments favorable for this strategy likely include ones where volatility remains manageable. Moving forward, the strategy should be monitored carefully to ensure it continues meeting the performance benchmarks and adapts well to potential shifts in market volatility.

Risk Management

The strategy’s risk management appears sound given the maintained drawdown of 19.91%, which keeps within safe limits. The elimination of margin calls indicates successful leverage management. Although the volatility is modest, enhancing risk management could lead to further optimized performance:

  • Introduce adaptive leverage strategies to minimize downsides during periods of heightened uncertainty.
  • Implement enhanced position sizing rules based on volatility, possibly integrating trailing stop-loss orders to lock in gains.
  • Continue monitoring risk exposure regularly to maintain or potentially reduce the maximum drawdown.

Improvement Suggestions

To ensure this strategy remains stable and heightens performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize and adjust strategy parameters such as entry/exit points to enhance the Sharpe Ratio.
  • Expand the analysis by incorporating different technical indicators that might capture varied market conditions.
  • Conduct rigorous stress testing across broader historical data sets to evaluate strategy robustness under diverse market conditions.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy exhibits commendable performance with a robust net profit and an impressive win rate. Despite the modest Sharpe Ratio, the controlled maximum drawdown illustrates effective risk management. Overall, the strategy is promising but can benefit from additional optimization of its risk-adjusted performance.

Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and testing of the strategy. Enhance the existing framework to strengthen risk management and adapt more effectively to varying market conditions while aiming to bolster the Sharpe Ratio.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?
☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
2024-2.69%5.45%0.10%7.28%-4.25%0.18%-4.96%16.90%1.64%0.00%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
20235.49%6.34%2.68%2.28%1.81%4.27%-6.75%5.38%1.25%-3.65%13.12%3.56%
202215.74%-7.31%1.70%-2.91%14.63%14.89%17.52%0.13%-1.05%2.14%16.28%-1.73%
20210.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%13.70%0.52%0.59%-13.63%7.06%1.15%

Live Trades Stats

MATIC

Base Currency

34

Number of Trades

16.79%

Cumulative Returns

61.76%

Win Rate

2024-03-27

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Net Profit213,038.14 USD213.04130,614.84 USD130.6182,423.29 USD82.42
Gross Profit443,225.35443.23238,884.18238.88204,341.17204.34
Gross Loss230,187.21230.19108,269.33108.27121,917.88121.92
Max Run-up219,547.6668.92
Max Drawdown28,230.6420.47
Buy & Hold Return−9,072.89−9.07
Sharpe Ratio0.48
Sortino Ratio1.174
Profit Factor1.9252.2061.676
Max Contracts Held153,413137,546153,413
Open PL2,717.510.87
Commission Paid7,583.663,855.963,727.71
Total Closed Trades517253264
Total Open Trades101
Number Winning Trades397193204
Number Losing Trades1206060
Percent Profitable76.7976.2877.27
Avg Trade412.074.46516.264.76312.214.16
Avg Winning Trade1,116.447.441,237.747.781,001.677.13
Avg Losing Trade1,918.235.421,804.494.932,031.965.90
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.5820.6860.493
Largest Winning Trade9,332.2047.509,332.2047.507,023.9636.14
Largest Losing Trade19,122.3923.8715,526.1021.9719,122.3923.87
Avg # Bars in Trades9584106
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades908198
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades11395132
Margin Calls000
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Net Profit267,782.52 USD267.78141,638.01 USD141.64126,144.52 USD126.14
Gross Profit559,815.83559.82276,012.88276.01283,802.95283.80
Gross Loss292,033.30292.03134,374.87134.37157,658.43157.66
Max Run-up276,478.8973.63
Max Drawdown39,807.5120.47
Buy & Hold Return−66,474.46−66.47
Sharpe Ratio0.464
Sortino Ratio1.162
Profit Factor1.9172.0541.8
Max Contracts Held270,612270,612225,032
Open PL7,007.061.91
Commission Paid8,751.164,264.564,486.60
Total Closed Trades550263287
Total Open Trades101
Number Winning Trades418198220
Number Losing Trades1326567
Percent Profitable76.0075.2976.66
Avg Trade486.884.76538.554.90439.534.62
Avg Winning Trade1,339.278.001,394.008.181,290.017.83
Avg Losing Trade2,212.375.502,067.315.082,353.115.90
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6050.6740.548
Largest Winning Trade18,379.9254.7618,379.9254.7611,436.1537.15
Largest Losing Trade19,122.3923.8715,526.1021.9719,122.3923.87
Avg # Bars in Trades10690120
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades10287116
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades117101132
Margin Calls000

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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