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marcob stiffmomentum xrpusdt 1h 15.10.2024

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CONFIRMATION BASED 1 hour @marcob
● Live

Stiff Momentum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f3866228]

🛡️ STIFFMOMENTUM XRPUSDT 1H 15.10.2024

Trading Pair
XRP
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - November 17, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-1.71% Updated 10 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1840.09%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
46.07%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.261
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.86%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
471
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
May 17, 2021
1,709
Days
471
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 19, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-05-17 11:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.44
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.84
  • Calmar: -1.89
  • Longest DD Days: 79.00
  • Volatility: 75.67
  • Skew: 0.40
  • Kurtosis: -0.61
  • Expected Daily: 0.75
  • Expected Monthly: 17.11
  • Expected Yearly: 565.24
  • Kelly Criterion: 9.36
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.40
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.48
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-19 00:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 217
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 254
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.89
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.26
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.47
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.26
  • Tail Ratio: 1.69
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.16
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.16
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.16
  • Serenity Index: 46.35

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-0.78%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
+1.83%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+2.32%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+2.71%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+2.96%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-3.86%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-4.74%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-1.38%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-20.65%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+19.35%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
46.1%
Total Trades
471
Cumulative
-1.24%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
359.20%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-8.75%
-5.73%
Simple P&L
+3.28%
+15.52%
Simple P&L
+2.62%
-6.14%
Simple P&L
+0.07%
-29.93%
Simple P&L
-1.33%
+0.14%
Simple P&L
+0.41%
+0.10%
Simple P&L
+0.82%
+22.82%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+26.13%
Simple P&L
2022
-2.32%
-2.52%
Simple P&L
+4.21%
+23.41%
Simple P&L
+0.54%
+6.96%
Simple P&L
-2.70%
-5.33%
Simple P&L
+0.25%
+8.19%
Simple P&L
-1.21%
+23.28%
Simple P&L
+1.83%
-13.81%
Simple P&L
+1.36%
+14.76%
Simple P&L
-2.82%
+22.44%
Simple P&L
+2.41%
+20.58%
Simple P&L
-1.39%
+36.27%
Simple P&L
+1.89%
+8.93%
Simple P&L
2023
-0.09%
+17.96%
Simple P&L
-0.50%
+15.02%
Simple P&L
-2.29%
-4.39%
Simple P&L
+2.65%
+10.66%
Simple P&L
-2.37%
-1.80%
Simple P&L
+0.38%
+16.94%
Simple P&L
+1.19%
-9.84%
Simple P&L
+2.23%
+14.36%
Simple P&L
-2.88%
+6.58%
Simple P&L
+0.57%
-6.74%
Simple P&L
-1.35%
+15.04%
Simple P&L
+2.06%
+17.82%
Simple P&L
2024
+1.07%
+14.47%
Simple P&L
-5.47%
+12.82%
Simple P&L
+3.30%
-0.77%
Simple P&L
+0.34%
-4.25%
Simple P&L
+0.53%
+8.54%
Simple P&L
-3.57%
+2.97%
Simple P&L
+1.14%
+25.88%
Simple P&L
-6.23%
+2.82%
Simple P&L
+6.21%
+16.48%
Simple P&L
-1.50%
+4.82%
Simple P&L
-7.02%
-39.22%
Simple P&L
+4.13%
+21.40%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.54%
+26.43%
Simple P&L
+0.78%
-12.08%
Simple P&L
+3.24%
+12.56%
Simple P&L
+0.50%
-9.72%
Simple P&L
+0.75%
-13.71%
Simple P&L
+1.32%
+20.14%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

471

Number of Trades

-1.24%

Cumulative Returns

46.07%

Win Rate

2024-10-15

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-4.74%

30 Days

-20.65%

60 Days

-1.38%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l36195.881.91
Net Profit1798564.81798.56528041.11528.041270523.691270.52
Gross Profit4299278.374299.281363603.081363.62935675.292935.68
Gross Loss2500713.572500.71835561.97835.561665151.61665.15
Expected Payoff5228.394591.665548.14
Commission Paid138368.6948215.8290152.87
Buy & Hold Return-60485.82-60.49
Buy & Hold % Gain-60.49
Strategy Outperformance1859050.63
Max Contracts Held36607773660777.03255775.0
Annualized Return (cagr)136.1170.96114.69
Return On Initial Capital1798.56528.041270.52
Account Size Required215878.65
Return On Account Size Required833.14244.6588.54
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)105581.98105.58
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)365549.5365.55
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1956894.6396.85
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1956.89
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)20 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)56579.2756.58
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown8.52.616.05
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)192855.5192.86
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)215878.6548.52
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)215.88
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1947.13866.11375.47
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.2810.086.27
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.697.35.55
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades344.0115.0229.0
Number Winning Trades166.050.0116.0
Number Losing Trades178.065.0113.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable48.2643.4850.66
Avg P&l5228.390.984591.660.825548.141.07
Avg Winning Trade25899.275.5627272.065.7325307.555.48
Avg Losing Trade14048.953.2812854.82.9714735.853.46
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.8442.1221.717
Largest Winning Trade184085.07137441.75184085.07
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.5812.1314.58
Largest Losing Trade92369.8660967.8392369.86
Largest Losing Trade Percent10.556.8310.55
Avg # Bars In Trades47.045.047.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades59.056.061.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades35.037.033.0
Sharpe Ratio0.618
Sortino Ratio1.487
Profit Factor1.7191.6321.763
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1840091.271840.09-223866.37-223.872063957.632063.96
Gross Profit8899348.788899.352696396.52696.46202952.286202.95
Gross Loss7059257.517059.262920262.862920.264138994.654138.99
Expected Payoff3906.78-1373.416701.16
Commission Paid307407.32113714.82193692.5
Buy & Hold Return43154.7743.15
Buy & Hold % Gain43.15
Strategy Outperformance1796936.5
Max Contracts Held38962193845953.03896219.0
Annualized Return (cagr)88.130.092.56
Return On Initial Capital1840.09-223.872063.96
Account Size Required786835.59
Return On Account Size Required233.86-28.45262.31
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)26 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)157337.24157.34
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1026142.51026.14
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)2408941.9797.42
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2408.94
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)27 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)127017.93127.02
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown2.34-0.282.62
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)764754.7764.75
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)786835.5948.52
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)786.84
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1099.69-133.791263.01
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit2.527.343.62
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.375.733.95
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades471.0163.0308.0
Number Winning Trades217.064.0153.0
Number Losing Trades254.099.0155.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.0739.2649.68
Avg P&l3906.780.76-1373.410.396701.160.96
Avg Winning Trade41010.825.5642131.25.7840542.175.47
Avg Losing Trade27792.353.3429497.63.126703.193.5
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.4761.4281.518
Largest Winning Trade224367.94197835.51224367.94
Largest Winning Trade Percent14.5812.1314.58
Largest Losing Trade167327.66167327.66163415.73
Largest Losing Trade Percent10.558.5110.55
Avg # Bars In Trades45.045.046.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades57.056.057.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades36.038.035.0
Sharpe Ratio0.439
Sortino Ratio0.843
Profit Factor1.2610.9231.499
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1860.25%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 88.9%
Sharpe Ratio 0.441
Profit Factor 1.264
Maximum Drawdown -786.84%
Volatility (Annualized) 75.74%

The strategy shows remarkable cumulative gains, achieving an 1860.25% return. The annualized return of 88.9% signifies strong profitability, indicating effective trade execution. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.441, although close to the acceptable threshold, suggests modest risk-adjusted returns, and the strategy's high maximum drawdown concerns might imply significant risk.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy holds potential but requires refinement for real-world application. Despite significant profitability, the high drawdown is a stark red flag. The strategy appears to thrive in high-volatility environments, which may persist in crypto markets for some time but should be approached cautiously.

Risk Management

The risk management approach currently appears insufficient, notably due to high maximum drawdown levels. Improving risk management strategies could drastically enhance the strategy's viability. Consider measures such as:

  • Implementing stricter stop-loss and take-profit levels to limit potential losses.
  • Evaluating leverage usage to reduce drawdown risk without compromising potential returns.
  • Testing dynamic position sizing in response to market conditions to preserve capital.

Improvement Suggestions

To improve the strategy's performance and strengthen its resilience, consider the following enhancements:

  • Optimize trading parameters to better align risk and return objectives.
  • Incorporate additional market indicators to refine entry and exit points.
  • Conduct stress testing and out-of-sample testing to verify robust performance across various conditions.
  • Decrease maximum drawdown by employing lower leverage levels.
  • Strategies to mitigate volatility impacts, possibly by introducing hedging techniques.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy showcases promising profitability but is challenged by significant drawdown risks. While it successfully achieves high returns, its risk-adjusted metrics suggest room for improvement in both risk management and strategy refinement.

Recommendation: Proceed with caution. I recommend prioritizing the testing and optimization of risk management techniques. Evaluate leverage, optimize parameters, and ensure robustness through expanded testing to adapt this promising strategy for more secure real-world trading.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

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