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mcginley linkusdt 45min

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🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [aa4b8d81]

🛡️ MCGINLEY LINKUSDT 45MIN @marcob

TREND FOLOWING
45 minutes

by DaviddTech - March 7, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 3 minutes ago

2062.86%

Net Profit

64.47%

Win Rate

273

Total Closed Trades

1.657

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

1256.59% 🔥

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-11-03 08:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.73
  • Sortino Ratio: 3.30
  • Calmar: -6.26
  • Longest DD Days: 34.00
  • Volatility: 65.33
  • Skew: -0.57
  • Kurtosis: -1.54
  • Expected Daily: 1.20
  • Expected Monthly: 28.57
  • Expected Yearly: 1,940.80
  • Kelly Criterion: 25.49
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.06
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.11
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-09 16:15:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 8
  • Number Winning Trades 176
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 4
  • Number Losing Trades: 97
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -6.26
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.65
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.91
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.65
  • Tail Ratio: 1.05
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.05
  • Serenity Index: 186.92

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 2062.86%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 97.52%
Sharpe Ratio 0.734
Profit Factor 1.657
Maximum Drawdown 16.73%
Volatility (Annualized) 65.33%

The strategy demonstrates strong performance with a cumulative return of 2062.86% and an impressive annualized return of 97.52%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.734 indicates healthy risk-adjusted returns, well above the industry standard of 0.5. Moreover, a maximum drawdown of 16.73% is very manageable, reflecting effective downside protection. The Profit Factor of 1.657 suggests robust profitability.

Strategy Viability

The data supports that this strategy is viable for real-world trading. It maintains an advantageous position in risk-adjusted returns and a manageable drawdown well below the 40% threshold. The performance resilience, expressed as the Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.65 and low Ulcer Index of 0.05, reinforces the strategy's adaptability to varying market conditions. It is encouraging that the strategy's market conditions are expected to persist, maintaining profitability.

Risk Management

Effective risk management is evident in the strategy’s modest drawdown of 16.73% and risk-free recovery evidenced by zero margin calls. However, heightened volatility at 65.33% suggests potential optimization areas:

  • Consider adjusting leverage usage to enhance stability further and reduce maximum drawdown.
  • Implement adaptive stop-loss strategies based on volatility dynamics.
  • Increase diversification to spread risk exposure and diminish unsystematic risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance strategy performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Refine parameters, such as trade dependency thresholds, to enhance return consistency.
  • Integrate a broader array of technical indicators for improved timing accuracy in trade entries and exits.
  • Conduct validation using out-of-sample data and forward-testing to ensure robustness across various market conditions.
  • Enhance risk management with more sophisticated tools such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress scenario analysis.

Final Opinion

Overall, the strategy showcases a strong performance profile with a favorable mix of high returns and risk-adjusted metrics. The combination of low drawdown and high resilience, despite the higher volatility, indicate sound risk management practices. Nonetheless, optimizing and validating the system further will ensure sustained success across diverse conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to increase robustness and adapt the risk management framework to handle high market volatility effectively.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.17%4.31%
20210.00%5.50%0.00%5.35%0.00%0.00%7.92%-9.09%0.00%8.68%-1.81%8.84%
202217.55%4.92%14.99%22.35%9.68%0.00%8.89%18.96%0.31%20.99%-0.91%21.88%
20231.85%-0.47%16.14%3.85%-0.66%7.00%-4.58%15.38%16.61%12.09%0.31%-1.25%
20249.87%5.37%0.00%0.56%9.62%7.76%9.69%1.44%20.28%-5.13%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

LINK

Base Currency

89

Number of Trades

95.59%

Cumulative Returns

62.92%

Win Rate

2023-11-14

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

27.32%

30 Days

56.16%

60 Days

37.18%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit806265.67806.27383819.33383.82422446.35422.45
Gross Profit1984778.511984.78822698.85822.71162079.661162.08
Gross Loss1178512.831178.51438879.53438.88739633.31739.63
Commission Paid89533.3234716.1554817.16
Buy & Hold Return30437.1630.44
Max Equity Run-up807898.4289.15
Max Drawdown109215.2916.73
Max Contracts Held174855.0158009.0174855.0
Total Closed Trades184.070.0114.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades120.045.075.0
Number Losing Trades64.025.039.0
Percent Profitable65.2264.2965.79
Avg P&l4381.880.925483.130.993705.670.87
Avg Winning Trade16539.822.9718282.23.1715494.42.84
Avg Losing Trade18414.262.9317555.182.9518964.962.92
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.8981.0410.817
Largest Winning Trade40559.9840559.9837189.78
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.883.883.51
Largest Losing Trade36206.7236206.7233602.67
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.663.663.66
Avg # Bars In Trades28.026.029.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.023.029.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades30.030.029.0
Sharpe Ratio0.764
Sortino Ratio3.511
Profit Factor1.6841.8751.571
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit2062858.462062.861141228.71141.23921629.76921.63
Gross Profit5204071.815204.072497991.042497.992706080.772706.08
Gross Loss3141213.353141.211356762.331356.761784451.011784.45
Commission Paid223288.56100055.0123233.56
Buy & Hold Return43588.5743.59
Max Equity Run-up2064491.2195.45
Max Drawdown197601.6816.73
Max Contracts Held214378.0199142.0214378.0
Total Closed Trades273.0111.0162.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades176.071.0105.0
Number Losing Trades97.040.057.0
Percent Profitable64.4763.9664.81
Avg P&l7556.260.8710281.340.965689.070.8
Avg Winning Trade29568.593.035182.973.1925772.22.87
Avg Losing Trade32383.643.0133919.063.031306.163.01
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.9131.0370.823
Largest Winning Trade111485.55111485.5575049.73
Largest Winning Trade Percent3.883.883.51
Largest Losing Trade99352.3986285.7299352.39
Largest Losing Trade Percent3.683.673.68
Avg # Bars In Trades27.025.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades26.023.027.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades28.028.028.0
Sharpe Ratio0.734
Sortino Ratio3.296
Profit Factor1.6571.8411.516
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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