🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [aa4b8d81]
🛡️ MCGINLEY LINKUSDT 45MIN @marcob
TREND FOLOWING
45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-11-03 08:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.73
- Sortino Ratio: 3.30
- Calmar: -6.26
- Longest DD Days: 34.00
- Volatility: 65.33
- Skew: -0.57
- Kurtosis: -1.54
- Expected Daily: 1.20
- Expected Monthly: 28.57
- Expected Yearly: 1,940.80
- Kelly Criterion: 25.49
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.06
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.11
- Last Trade Date: 2025-05-09 16:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 8
- Number Winning Trades 176
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 97
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -6.26
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.65
- Payoff Ratio: 0.91
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.65
- Tail Ratio: 1.05
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.05
- Serenity Index: 186.92
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 2062.86% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 97.52% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.734 |
Profit Factor | 1.657 |
Maximum Drawdown | 16.73% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 65.33% |
The strategy demonstrates strong performance with a cumulative return of 2062.86% and an impressive annualized return of 97.52%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.734 indicates healthy risk-adjusted returns, well above the industry standard of 0.5. Moreover, a maximum drawdown of 16.73% is very manageable, reflecting effective downside protection. The Profit Factor of 1.657 suggests robust profitability.
Strategy Viability
The data supports that this strategy is viable for real-world trading. It maintains an advantageous position in risk-adjusted returns and a manageable drawdown well below the 40% threshold. The performance resilience, expressed as the Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.65 and low Ulcer Index of 0.05, reinforces the strategy's adaptability to varying market conditions. It is encouraging that the strategy's market conditions are expected to persist, maintaining profitability.
Risk Management
Effective risk management is evident in the strategy’s modest drawdown of 16.73% and risk-free recovery evidenced by zero margin calls. However, heightened volatility at 65.33% suggests potential optimization areas:
- Consider adjusting leverage usage to enhance stability further and reduce maximum drawdown.
- Implement adaptive stop-loss strategies based on volatility dynamics.
- Increase diversification to spread risk exposure and diminish unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance strategy performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Refine parameters, such as trade dependency thresholds, to enhance return consistency.
- Integrate a broader array of technical indicators for improved timing accuracy in trade entries and exits.
- Conduct validation using out-of-sample data and forward-testing to ensure robustness across various market conditions.
- Enhance risk management with more sophisticated tools such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and stress scenario analysis.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy showcases a strong performance profile with a favorable mix of high returns and risk-adjusted metrics. The combination of low drawdown and high resilience, despite the higher volatility, indicate sound risk management practices. Nonetheless, optimizing and validating the system further will ensure sustained success across diverse conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to increase robustness and adapt the risk management framework to handle high market volatility effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.17% | 4.31% |
2021 | 0.00% | 5.50% | 0.00% | 5.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.92% | -9.09% | 0.00% | 8.68% | -1.81% | 8.84% |
2022 | 17.55% | 4.92% | 14.99% | 22.35% | 9.68% | 0.00% | 8.89% | 18.96% | 0.31% | 20.99% | -0.91% | 21.88% |
2023 | 1.85% | -0.47% | 16.14% | 3.85% | -0.66% | 7.00% | -4.58% | 15.38% | 16.61% | 12.09% | 0.31% | -1.25% |
2024 | 9.87% | 5.37% | 0.00% | 0.56% | 9.62% | 7.76% | 9.69% | 1.44% | 20.28% | -5.13% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
LINK
Base Currency
89
Number of Trades
95.59%
Cumulative Returns
62.92%
Win Rate
2023-11-14
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
27.32%
30 Days
56.16%
60 Days
37.18%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 806265.67 | 806.27 | 383819.33 | 383.82 | 422446.35 | 422.45 |
Gross Profit | 1984778.51 | 1984.78 | 822698.85 | 822.7 | 1162079.66 | 1162.08 |
Gross Loss | 1178512.83 | 1178.51 | 438879.53 | 438.88 | 739633.31 | 739.63 |
Commission Paid | 89533.32 | 34716.15 | 54817.16 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 30437.16 | 30.44 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 807898.42 | 89.15 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 109215.29 | 16.73 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 174855.0 | 158009.0 | 174855.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 184.0 | 70.0 | 114.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 120.0 | 45.0 | 75.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 64.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 65.22 | 64.29 | 65.79 | |||
Avg P&l | 4381.88 | 0.92 | 5483.13 | 0.99 | 3705.67 | 0.87 |
Avg Winning Trade | 16539.82 | 2.97 | 18282.2 | 3.17 | 15494.4 | 2.84 |
Avg Losing Trade | 18414.26 | 2.93 | 17555.18 | 2.95 | 18964.96 | 2.92 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.898 | 1.041 | 0.817 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 40559.98 | 40559.98 | 37189.78 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 3.88 | 3.88 | 3.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 36206.72 | 36206.72 | 33602.67 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.66 | 3.66 | 3.66 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 28.0 | 26.0 | 29.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 27.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 30.0 | 30.0 | 29.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.764 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.511 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.684 | 1.875 | 1.571 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 2062858.46 | 2062.86 | 1141228.7 | 1141.23 | 921629.76 | 921.63 |
Gross Profit | 5204071.81 | 5204.07 | 2497991.04 | 2497.99 | 2706080.77 | 2706.08 |
Gross Loss | 3141213.35 | 3141.21 | 1356762.33 | 1356.76 | 1784451.01 | 1784.45 |
Commission Paid | 223288.56 | 100055.0 | 123233.56 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 43588.57 | 43.59 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 2064491.21 | 95.45 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 197601.68 | 16.73 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 214378.0 | 199142.0 | 214378.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 273.0 | 111.0 | 162.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 176.0 | 71.0 | 105.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 97.0 | 40.0 | 57.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 64.47 | 63.96 | 64.81 | |||
Avg P&l | 7556.26 | 0.87 | 10281.34 | 0.96 | 5689.07 | 0.8 |
Avg Winning Trade | 29568.59 | 3.0 | 35182.97 | 3.19 | 25772.2 | 2.87 |
Avg Losing Trade | 32383.64 | 3.01 | 33919.06 | 3.0 | 31306.16 | 3.01 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.913 | 1.037 | 0.823 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 111485.55 | 111485.55 | 75049.73 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 3.88 | 3.88 | 3.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 99352.39 | 86285.72 | 99352.39 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.68 | 3.67 | 3.68 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 27.0 | 25.0 | 28.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 26.0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 28.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.734 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.296 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.657 | 1.841 | 1.516 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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