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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
  • Docs & Tools
    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
    • Submit A Feature/Bug
    • Bug & Feature Tracker
    • Bybit Slippage Calculator

SUPERCYCLE SURGE BTC 30m

  • Homepage
TREND FOLLOWING 30 minutes @IGOREK
● Live

🚀 SuperCycle Surge Strategy by @DaviddTech 🤖 [6940b659]

🛡️ SUPERCYCLE SURGE BTC 30M

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - March 17, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +2.98% Updated 20 minutes ago
Total Return Primary
389.72%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
57.84%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
🔒
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.422
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-20.18%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
370
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Mar 30, 2020
1,933
Days
370
Trades
Last Trade
Jul 10, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-03-30 21:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.42
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.03
  • Calmar: -0.57
  • Longest DD Days: 53.00
  • Volatility: 1.07
  • Skew: -0.15
  • Kurtosis: -0.34
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.22
  • Expected Yearly: 2.64
  • Kelly Criterion: 17.08
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.10
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.13
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-07-10 22:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 214
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 7
  • Number Losing Trades: 156
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.57
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.42
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.03
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.42
  • Tail Ratio: 1.00
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.84
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.68
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.00
  • Serenity Index: 2.03

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%2.30%13.90%-2.37%-8.34%-0.20%3.10%9.57%2.04%14.71%5.89%
2021-2.86%-3.09%-3.21%5.04%21.46%19.28%5.08%6.53%7.98%3.86%-6.03%9.67%
20223.61%2.71%-1.25%0.14%5.09%3.74%8.79%4.87%0.17%-3.64%8.99%1.85%
20231.05%-0.35%3.32%2.31%2.09%5.35%-3.62%5.32%-2.58%3.33%5.10%5.12%
20244.66%2.38%-1.66%1.05%-2.59%5.52%2.49%-0.44%-2.67%8.49%-8.57%-5.59%
2025••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

93

Number of Trades

-2.43%

Cumulative Returns

50.54%

Win Rate

2024-02-06

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

4.38%

30 Days

21.04%

60 Days

6.31%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit4098.96409.92185.92218.591913.04191.3
Gross Profit9019.34901.934722.2472.224297.14429.71
Gross Loss4920.38492.042536.28253.632384.09238.41
Commission Paid583.74325.32258.42
Buy & Hold Return5839.25583.93
Max Equity Run-up4172.3980.67
Max Drawdown308.8213.84
Max Contracts Held0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades277.0156.0121.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades167.095.072.0
Number Losing Trades110.061.049.0
Percent Profitable60.2960.959.5
Avg P&l14.80.6214.010.5715.810.68
Avg Winning Trade54.012.1549.711.9359.682.44
Avg Losing Trade44.731.7141.581.5648.651.89
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2071.1961.227
Largest Winning Trade210.89210.89166.02
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.884.715.88
Largest Losing Trade123.54123.5483.63
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.093.724.09
Avg # Bars In Trades27.025.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades25.027.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.023.036.0
Sharpe Ratio0.564
Sortino Ratio1.748
Profit Factor1.8331.8621.802
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit3897.22389.721941.86194.191955.36195.54
Gross Profit13127.551312.757131.74713.175995.81599.58
Gross Loss9230.33923.035189.88518.994040.45404.04
Commission Paid969.05571.01398.04
Buy & Hold Return17296.971729.7
Max Equity Run-up4924.1383.13
Max Drawdown1363.7623.13
Max Contracts Held0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades370.0216.0154.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades214.0125.089.0
Number Losing Trades156.091.065.0
Percent Profitable57.8457.8757.79
Avg P&l10.530.468.990.3912.70.54
Avg Winning Trade61.342.0557.051.8567.372.33
Avg Losing Trade59.171.7357.031.662.161.91
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0371.01.084
Largest Winning Trade254.08210.89254.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.884.715.88
Largest Losing Trade181.7163.73181.7
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.093.724.09
Avg # Bars In Trades26.026.028.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades24.026.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades29.025.034.0
Sharpe Ratio0.416
Sortino Ratio1.032
Profit Factor1.4221.3741.484
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, key performance metrics show the following:

Metric Strategy
Sharpe Ratio 0.416
Profit Factor 1.422
Maximum Drawdown 23.13%
Average Daily Return 0.01%
Average Monthly Return 0.22%
Average Yearly Return 2.64%
Volatility (Annualized) 107%
CAGR 0.73%

The strategy has a positive cumulative net profit of 389.72%, and the risk-adjusted performance, indicated by the Sharpe Ratio of 0.416, is slightly lower than the desired threshold for crypto markets but shows room for optimism. The Profit Factor of 1.422 is notable, suggesting the strategy earns $1.42 for every dollar lost, which is promising.

Strategy Viability

Given the metrics provided, the strategy demonstrates a potential to be viable for real-world trading, yet it trails the expected performance benchmarks slightly. The strategy seems to perform consistently with a maximum drawdown of 23.13%, well within the acceptable limit for crypto trading. Assessing the conditions under its optimal performance and ensuring such are likely will be key to success. Comparing closely with industry norms and similar strategies will provide further insights.

Risk Management

The risk management approach reflects a challenge with high volatility at 107%, yet the maximum drawdown is controlled. Some recommendations for refining risk management could include:

  • Assessing and potentially reducing leverage to curb drawdowns without significantly impacting returns.
  • Introducing more adaptive stop-loss strategies to better manage large intraday fluctuations.
  • Considering a dynamic position sizing model based on volatility to optimize risk exposure.

Improvement Suggestions

To further bolster this strategy’s robustness and performance, consider the following recommendations:

  • Revisiting and refining the parameters of the strategy for optimization of returns versus drawdowns.
  • Incorporating additional technical indicators to enhance decision-making processes, particularly for entry and exit points.
  • Conducting extensive out-of-sample and forward testing to validate effectiveness across various market environments.
  • Leveraging advanced risk assessment methods like Value-at-Risk (VaR) to enhance current risk controls.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy showcases satisfactory elements such as profitability and manageable drawdowns, some metrics such as the Sharpe Ratio and volatility need further attention to elevate risk-adjusted performance. Nonetheless, with optimization and validation efforts, this strategy holds promise for effective deployment in the crypto market.

Recommendation: Proceed with additional testing and refinement of the strategy, especially enhancing the risk management framework to handle volatility more proficiently. Modifying and adjusting parameters could yield improved outcomes.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

Open Live ChartView on TradingView

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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