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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
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    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
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    • Bug & Feature Tracker
    • Bybit Slippage Calculator

LINKusdt 45m McGinley ADog 01.10.2024

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @adog
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [fa32aee4]

🛡️ LINKUSDT 45M MCGINLEY ADOG 01.10.2024

Trading Pair
LINK
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - October 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 6 hours ago
Total Return Primary
13887.61%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
66.06%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
33.96%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
2.448
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
3354.77%%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
274
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Nov 3, 2020
1,762
Days
274
Trades
Last Trade
Aug 10, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-11-03 00:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.77
  • Sortino Ratio: 3.02
  • Calmar: -5.11
  • Longest DD Days: 25.00
  • Volatility: 49.76
  • Skew: 0.12
  • Kurtosis: 0.05
  • Expected Daily: 1.04
  • Expected Monthly: 24.30
  • Expected Yearly: 1,260.47
  • Kelly Criterion: 38.92
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.53
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.20
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-08-10 04:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 9
  • Number Winning Trades 181
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 93
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -5.11
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 2.43
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.25
  • Common Sense Ratio: 2.43
  • Tail Ratio: 2.00
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.69
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.85
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.04
  • Serenity Index: 130.82

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.47%11.34%
20210.00%7.68%3.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%10.20%-3.55%0.00%-18.45%8.45%6.52%
202219.51%3.87%18.12%25.08%8.45%0.00%7.43%9.52%11.56%30.33%13.91%23.25%
202310.51%7.41%12.25%14.83%-10.74%17.42%8.47%10.51%43.89%20.84%0.88%8.58%
20243.59%18.18%-4.80%3.90%2.39%7.80%2.83%17.00%17.78%-9.73%11.43%0.00%
20250.67%••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

50

Number of Trades

118.83%

Cumulative Returns

66%

Win Rate

2024-10-01

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

32.47%

30 Days

105.34%

60 Days

63.48%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l74662.97.02
Net Profit1053284.3710532.84445845.874458.46607438.56074.39
Gross Profit2013570.5120135.711028407.9310284.08985162.589851.63
Gross Loss960286.149602.86582562.065825.62377724.083777.24
Commission Paid73227.5539657.6633569.89
Buy & Hold Return6817.5668.18
Max Equity Run-up1161029.7799.15
Max Drawdown102294.0533.96
Max Contracts Held137288.0137288.097402.0
Total Closed Trades271.0120.0151.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades178.079.099.0
Number Losing Trades93.041.052.0
Percent Profitable65.6865.8365.56
Avg P&l3886.661.133715.381.094022.771.16
Avg Winning Trade11312.193.3613017.823.299951.143.41
Avg Losing Trade10325.663.1214208.833.147263.923.11
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0960.9161.37
Largest Winning Trade76092.1576092.1546637.63
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.15.0315.1
Largest Losing Trade68777.4868777.4827898.13
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.694.693.68
Avg # Bars In Trades29.026.031.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.025.029.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades31.028.034.0
Sharpe Ratio0.775
Sortino Ratio2.877
Profit Factor2.0971.7652.608
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit1388761.0313887.61781322.537813.23607438.56074.39
Gross Profit2348081.9623480.821362919.3813629.19985162.589851.63
Gross Loss959320.939593.21581596.855815.97377724.083777.24
Commission Paid78678.5345108.6433569.89
Buy & Hold Return11290.49112.9
Max Equity Run-up1388765.0399.29
Max Drawdown102294.0533.96
Max Contracts Held137288.0137288.097402.0
Total Closed Trades274.0123.0151.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades181.082.099.0
Number Losing Trades93.041.052.0
Percent Profitable66.0666.6765.56
Avg P&l5068.471.176352.221.174022.771.16
Avg Winning Trade12972.833.3716620.973.339951.143.41
Avg Losing Trade10315.283.1214185.293.147263.923.11
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2581.1721.37
Largest Winning Trade117644.3117644.346637.63
Largest Winning Trade Percent15.15.0315.1
Largest Losing Trade68777.4868777.4827898.13
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.694.693.68
Avg # Bars In Trades29.025.031.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades27.024.029.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades31.028.034.0
Sharpe Ratio0.766
Sortino Ratio3.024
Profit Factor2.4482.3432.608
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 13887.61%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 76.14%
Sharpe Ratio 0.766
Profit Factor 2.448
Maximum Drawdown 33.96%
Volatility (Annualized) 49.76%

The strategy demonstrates impressive performance with a net profit of 13887.61% and an annualized return of 76.14%, which are exceptional in the cryptocurrency domain. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.766 is above the threshold for crypto strategies, indicating commendable risk-adjusted returns. Notably, the maximum drawdown of 33.96% is below the 40% threshold, highlighting effective downside protection. Meanwhile, the Profit Factor of 2.448 underscores positive expectancy, suggesting more than double the profits for every loss.

Strategy Viability

Based on the provided data, this strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading, especially in volatile crypto markets. It maintains a healthy balance between returns and risk, outperforming typical benchmarks with robust risk-adjusted metrics. However, persistence of current market conditions is crucial for sustained performance. Monitoring market phase adaptability will further enhance viability assessments.

Risk Management

The strategy’s risk management is admirable as evidenced by its ability to limit drawdowns to 33.96% without margin calls. Yet, improvements are possible through:

  • Decreasing leverage, which could possibly lower the maximum drawdown further.
  • Incorporating additional dynamic stop-loss mechanisms, enhancing loss control.
  • Exploring volatility-adjusted position sizing to reduce significant fluctuations.

Improvement Suggestions

To further augment the strategy’s efficacy and durability, consider implementing the following enhancements:

  • Optimize existing parameters and backtest across various scenarios to maintain minimal drawdowns.
  • Integrate a wider range of indicators to improve decision-making for entry and exit points.
  • Conduct forward testing to verify performance sustainability across diverse market conditions.
  • Consider stress-testing the strategy to withstand unforeseen market shocks and optimize the Value-at-Risk calculations.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy showcases impressive results with strong net returns and commendable risk-adjusted performance, which are largely effective even under varying market conditions. There is potential for improvement in managing daily volatility and further validation in different scenarios is recommended.

Recommendation: Proceed with additional testing and optimization, implementing suggested improvements to enhance robustness. Leverage reduction could further stabilize risk without sacrificing returns, making this strategy a promising candidate for continued real-world application.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
0.00
0.00
Loss
0.00
0.00
Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
--

Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

Open Live ChartView on TradingView

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How-to import CSV files.

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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