THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [42a39645]
🛡️ DEADZONE V5 BTCUSDT 15MIN
@letamnin
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-31 02:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.67
- Sortino Ratio: 1.53
- Calmar: -2.36
- Longest DD Days: 169.00
- Volatility: 14.19
- Skew: -2.38
- Kurtosis: 12.25
- Expected Daily: 0.13
- Expected Monthly: 2.73
- Expected Yearly: 38.19
- Kelly Criterion: 20.01
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.55
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.67
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-24 14:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 24
- Number Winning Trades 1,418
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 395
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.36
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.34
- Payoff Ratio: 0.37
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.34
- Tail Ratio: 0.72
- Outlier Win Ratio: 5.13
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.71
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.06
- Serenity Index: 140.22
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics offer insights into the strategy's strengths and areas for improvement:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 842.89% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 57.41% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.665 |
Profit Factor | 1.344 |
Maximum Drawdown | -25.17% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 14.2% |
The strategy delivers a commendable cumulative return of 842.89% and a solid annualized return of 57.41%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.665 is above the threshold of 0.5, suggesting good risk-adjusted returns. Additionally, the maximum drawdown of -25.17% is well below the 40% cautionary threshold, indicating controlled risk exposure. The strategy’s profit factor of 1.344 indicates that it generates more than $1 of profit for every $1 of loss, which is positive.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading, particularly under favorable market conditions. It outperforms typical benchmarks in terms of annualized returns and risk management. The low Sharpe ratio could be improved but currently falls within a good range for the crypto market. The high percentage of profitable trades (78.22%) also supports its effectiveness. However, evaluating the prevailing market conditions and strategizing accordingly is vital to maintain this performance.
Risk Management
The strategy does showcase effective risk management techniques, as the maximum drawdown is within acceptable limits, with no margin calls observed. Nevertheless, there is potential for enhancement in managing market fluctuations:
- Consider reducing leverage to decrease the maximum drawdown further.
- Implementing stop-loss mechanisms more stringently could protect against large adverse movements.
- Dynamic position sizing to continually assess market volatility might aid in limiting exposure during unfavorable periods.
Improvement Suggestions
To further refine the strategy’s robustness and performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize the ratio of average win to average loss to improve overall profitability.
- Incorporate additional technical analysis indicators to refine trade entries and exits, potentially enhancing win rates.
- Expand testing to cover diverse market conditions to ensure strategy stability and adaptability.
- Continually reassess and adapt the strategy parameters to align with evolving market trends and volatility patterns.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates strong returns with a supportive Sharpe ratio and a manageable level of drawdown, suggesting it is a promising option for trading in the crypto space. By maintaining efficient risk management and incorporating further improvements, the strategy's potential can be significantly enhanced.
Recommendation: Proceed with further development and optimization of the strategy, focusing on enhanced risk management and strategic diversification to boost resilience across various market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.87% | 10.98% | 3.56% | 3.87% | -0.70% | -0.45% | 2.29% | 3.25% | 5.90% | 2.63% |
2021 | -13.91% | 4.45% | 7.18% | 7.90% | 8.80% | 8.81% | 7.04% | 8.36% | 4.87% | 0.33% | 7.45% | 13.30% |
2022 | 16.72% | 10.49% | 7.10% | 6.51% | 7.35% | 8.59% | 7.96% | 3.67% | 12.68% | 1.37% | 8.60% | 2.19% |
2023 | 4.01% | 7.22% | 10.57% | -2.68% | 0.79% | 4.61% | 4.44% | 10.70% | 2.21% | 5.32% | -7.15% | 5.74% |
2024 | 4.35% | 8.72% | -0.02% | 3.60% | -0.19% | 1.01% | -4.21% | -3.07% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
373
Number of Trades
-4.34%
Cumulative Returns
72.65%
Win Rate
2024-01-17
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0.04%
30 Days
-1.62%
60 Days
-11.46%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 902841.65 | 902.84 | 423300.42 | 423.3 | 479541.23 | 479.54 |
Gross Profit | 1993945.01 | 1993.95 | 857873.73 | 857.87 | 1136071.28 | 1136.07 |
Gross Loss | 1091103.36 | 1091.1 | 434573.31 | 434.57 | 656530.05 | 656.53 |
Commission Paid | 172075.64 | 67780.76 | 104294.87 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 561727.97 | 561.73 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 916304.53 | 90.24 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 75929.88 | 20.46 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 48.0 | 46.0 | 48.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1440.0 | 695.0 | 745.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 1146.0 | 551.0 | 595.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 294.0 | 144.0 | 150.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 79.58 | 79.28 | 79.87 | |||
Avg P&l | 626.97 | 1.02 | 609.07 | 1.15 | 643.68 | 0.91 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1739.92 | 1.63 | 1556.94 | 1.79 | 1909.36 | 1.48 |
Avg Losing Trade | 3711.24 | 1.34 | 3017.87 | 1.29 | 4376.87 | 1.39 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.469 | 0.516 | 0.436 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 14710.85 | 13416.36 | 14710.85 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 11.12 | 9.14 | 11.12 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 29768.27 | 22573.54 | 29768.27 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.93 | 5.71 | 5.93 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 30.0 | 39.0 | 22.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 30.0 | 40.0 | 21.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 36.0 | 27.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.926 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.166 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.827 | 1.974 | 1.73 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 843077.62 | 843.08 | 432942.52 | 432.94 | 410135.1 | 410.14 |
Gross Profit | 3298808.16 | 3298.81 | 1310090.61 | 1310.09 | 1988717.55 | 1988.72 |
Gross Loss | 2455730.55 | 2455.73 | 877148.1 | 877.15 | 1578582.45 | 1578.58 |
Commission Paid | 312855.69 | 115426.42 | 197429.26 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1240274.89 | 1240.27 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1128594.99 | 91.93 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 308709.63 | 25.17 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 48.0 | 46.0 | 48.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1813.0 | 854.0 | 959.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 1418.0 | 663.0 | 755.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 395.0 | 191.0 | 204.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 78.21 | 77.63 | 78.73 | |||
Avg P&l | 465.02 | 0.96 | 506.96 | 1.09 | 427.67 | 0.84 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2326.38 | 1.6 | 1976.0 | 1.77 | 2634.06 | 1.45 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6217.04 | 1.35 | 4592.4 | 1.28 | 7738.15 | 1.42 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.374 | 0.43 | 0.34 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 28870.92 | 16376.14 | 28870.92 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 11.12 | 9.14 | 11.12 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 82890.98 | 28025.51 | 82890.98 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.93 | 5.71 | 5.93 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 29.0 | 37.0 | 22.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 29.0 | 38.0 | 21.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 35.0 | 28.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.665 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.528 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.343 | 1.494 | 1.26 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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