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koaeon HAcelsmaV5.1 linkusdt 1h 28.05

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @koaeon
● Live

🚀 Heiken-Ashi CE LSMA [v5.1] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [5814b480]

🛡️ HACELSMAV5.1 LINKUSDT 1H 28.05

Trading Pair
LINK
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +2.33% Updated 5 hours ago
Total Return Primary
111.69%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
50.36%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.108
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
0.88%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
554
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jan 5, 2023
1,154
Days
554
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 4, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2023-01-05 22:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.30
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.81
  • Calmar: -0.90
  • Longest DD Days: 302.00
  • Volatility: 38.81
  • Skew: 0.05
  • Kurtosis: -0.50
  • Expected Daily: 0.17
  • Expected Monthly: 3.69
  • Expected Yearly: 54.43
  • Kelly Criterion: 4.73
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.63
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.46
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-04 19:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 279
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 9
  • Number Losing Trades: 275
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.90
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.10
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.10
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.10
  • Tail Ratio: 1.11
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.55
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.09
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.13
  • Serenity Index: 2.55

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+1.55%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-0.74%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+1.60%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-1.31%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+1.46%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+3.77%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-5.84%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+1.94%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+6.98%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-5.75%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
50.4%
Total Trades
554
Cumulative
-2.10%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
29.13%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2023
-1.03%
+12.73%
Simple P&L
-2.19%
+11.90%
Simple P&L
+1.96%
+10.11%
Simple P&L
+0.71%
-0.95%
Simple P&L
-0.42%
+7.60%
Simple P&L
-2.67%
+5.67%
Simple P&L
+1.70%
+19.12%
Simple P&L
+0.61%
-4.52%
Simple P&L
+0.55%
+11.56%
Simple P&L
-1.22%
+2.30%
Simple P&L
+1.23%
+4.91%
Simple P&L
+2.04%
+9.82%
Simple P&L
2024
-2.67%
-5.63%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
-22.32%
Simple P&L
+1.11%
-4.33%
Simple P&L
-0.27%
+16.55%
Simple P&L
-1.57%
+13.58%
Simple P&L
+1.25%
-7.30%
Simple P&L
-0.09%
-8.84%
Simple P&L
-1.41%
-10.21%
Simple P&L
+2.49%
-1.41%
Simple P&L
+0.46%
+15.04%
Simple P&L
-2.78%
-0.14%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
2025
+0.84%
-8.91%
Simple P&L
-0.95%
-11.24%
Simple P&L
+0.01%
-6.90%
Simple P&L
+0.23%
-23.55%
Simple P&L
-3.48%
+12.98%
Simple P&L
+1.15%
+0.41%
Simple P&L
+1.94%
+11.37%
Simple P&L
-2.00%
+0.10%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

554

Number of Trades

-2.1%

Cumulative Returns

50.36%

Win Rate

2024-05-28

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-5.84%

30 Days

6.98%

60 Days

1.94%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit111692.65111.6949815.5549.8261877.161.88
Gross Profit1148727.341148.73617934.33617.93530793.01530.79
Gross Loss1037034.691037.03568118.78568.12468915.91468.92
Expected Payoff201.61168.3239.83
Commission Paid64403.4635948.0328455.43
Buy & Hold Return62713.0462.71
Buy & Hold % Gain62.71
Strategy Outperformance48979.61
Max Contracts Held9423594235.085211.0
Annualized Return (cagr)26.6413.5816.38
Return On Initial Capital111.6949.8261.88
Account Size Required80081.71
Return On Account Size Required139.4762.2177.27
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)17593.3617.59
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)55751.9255.75
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)180087.1665.21
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)180.09
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)18982.8618.98
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.390.620.77
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)77115.6177.12
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)80081.7130.99
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)80.08
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1056.67471.28674.4
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.371.82.96
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.021.861.96
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades554.0296.0258.0
Number Winning Trades279.0150.0129.0
Number Losing Trades275.0146.0129.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable50.3650.6850.0
Avg P&l201.610.05168.30.07239.830.03
Avg Winning Trade4117.33.14119.563.04114.673.2
Avg Losing Trade3771.043.043891.222.943635.013.14
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0921.0591.132
Largest Winning Trade15692.5511103.7615692.55
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.75.75.03
Largest Losing Trade10570.310570.39175.14
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.583.915.58
Avg # Bars In Trades21.018.024.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.017.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.019.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.295
Sortino Ratio0.814
Profit Factor1.1081.0881.132
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit111692.65111.6949815.5549.8261877.161.88
Gross Profit1148727.341148.73617934.33617.93530793.01530.79
Gross Loss1037034.691037.03568118.78568.12468915.91468.92
Expected Payoff201.61168.3239.83
Commission Paid64403.4635948.0328455.43
Buy & Hold Return62713.0462.71
Buy & Hold % Gain62.71
Strategy Outperformance48979.61
Max Contracts Held9423594235.085211.0
Annualized Return (cagr)26.6413.5816.38
Return On Initial Capital111.6949.8261.88
Account Size Required80081.71
Return On Account Size Required139.4762.2177.27
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)35 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)17593.3617.59
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)55751.9255.75
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)180087.1665.21
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)180.09
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)21 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)18982.8618.98
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.390.620.77
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)77115.6177.12
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)80081.7130.99
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)80.08
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1056.67471.28674.4
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit1.371.82.96
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss1.021.861.96
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades554.0296.0258.0
Number Winning Trades279.0150.0129.0
Number Losing Trades275.0146.0129.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable50.3650.6850.0
Avg P&l201.610.05168.30.07239.830.03
Avg Winning Trade4117.33.14119.563.04114.673.2
Avg Losing Trade3771.043.043891.222.943635.013.14
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.0921.0591.132
Largest Winning Trade15692.5511103.7615692.55
Largest Winning Trade Percent5.75.75.03
Largest Losing Trade10570.310570.39175.14
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.583.915.58
Avg # Bars In Trades21.018.024.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades19.017.022.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades22.019.026.0
Sharpe Ratio0.295
Sortino Ratio0.814
Profit Factor1.1081.0881.132
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, there are several notable performance metrics to discuss:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 105.18%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 25.55%
Sharpe Ratio 0.286
Profit Factor 1.11
Maximum Drawdown 77.12%
Volatility (Annualized) 38.91%

The strategy has achieved a cumulative return of 105.18% and an annualized return of 25.55%. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.286 suggests that while the returns are noteworthy, the strategy's risk-adjusted performance is below the desirable threshold. The maximum drawdown of 77.12% indicates a significant risk to capital, which is a point of concern in terms of strategy robustness.

Strategy Viability

While the strategy delivers substantial absolute returns, the high maximum drawdown and low Sharpe Ratio pose challenges for real-world viability. It has surpassed Buy & Hold in terms of return, yet the high drawdown showcases vulnerability during adverse market conditions. It’s crucial to assess if the market scenarios supporting these returns are ongoing.

Risk Management

The current strategy's risk management approach appears inadequate given the significant drawdowns observed. Some risk management enhancement ideas include:

  • Reducing leverage to mitigate the extent of drawdowns.
  • Introducing tighter stop-loss or other risk mitigation strategies.
  • Considering position size adjustment based on market volatility.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize the strategy's parameters to find a balance between return and risk, potentially improving the Sharpe Ratio.
  • Incorporate more advanced technical indicators to refine entry and exit points.
  • Conduct extensive backtesting and forward testing across various market conditions to ensure the strategy's adaptability.
  • Implement a more sophisticated risk management framework, such as dynamic position sizing or portfolio diversification techniques to decrease overall risk exposure.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, while the strategy yields high returns, the associated risk metrics indicate substantial room for improvement in its current form. The maximum drawdown and modest risk-adjusted metrics call for strategic adjustments and robust risk management enhancements.

Recommendation: Conduct further testing and optimization focusing on reducing drawdown and increasing risk-adjusted returns. Apply suggested improvements to increase resilience and adaptability to changing market conditions for a more balanced and sustainable trading approach.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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