🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [f78aa17e]
🛡️ SUPERFVMA+ZLV5 BTCUSDT 2H 28.05 @jotac
TREND FOLOWING
2 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-20 14:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.65
- Sortino Ratio: 3.26
- Calmar: -0.80
- Longest DD Days: 27.00
- Volatility: 8.95
- Skew: 0.88
- Kurtosis: 3.07
- Expected Daily: 0.11
- Expected Monthly: 2.24
- Expected Yearly: 30.48
- Kelly Criterion: 22.70
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.74
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -1.00
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-16 12:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 12
- Number Winning Trades 192
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 136
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.80
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.63
- Payoff Ratio: 1.16
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.63
- Tail Ratio: 1.51
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.85
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.81
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.02
- Serenity Index: 3.69
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 4044.46% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 7.04% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.652 |
Profit Factor | 1.63 |
Maximum Drawdown | -25.89% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 8.95% |
The strategy showcases impressive gains with a cumulative return of 4044.46% while maintaining a Sharpe ratio of 0.652, which is considered good for the crypto environment. The profit factor of 1.63 indicates that for every $1 risked, there is a $1.63 return. The maximum drawdown of -25.89% is within acceptable levels, showing adequate protection against downside risk.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, this strategy demonstrates a viable approach for real-world trading, especially given the fact that it surpasses the buy and hold return of 1096.19%. The strategy maintains good risk-adjusted performance which suggests resilience to market volatility. This robustness can be further enhanced through continued optimization and testing under diverse market conditions to ensure adaptability.
Risk Management
The effective risk management is reflected in the manageable drawdown and zero margin calls. However, the strategy could benefit from refining risk measures to improve resilience against unexpected market shifts. Suggested enhancements include:
- Implementing stricter position sizing rules to reduce exposure during high-risk periods.
- Incorporating dynamic stop-loss mechanisms based on volatility metrics.
- Reducing leverage can further decrease max drawdown, improving long-term sustainability.
Improvement Suggestions
To augur enhanced performance and sustainability, consider the following strategic improvements:
- Analyze parameter sensitivity to fine-tune for favorable risk-return profiles.
- Incorporate more diversified data inputs to broaden market insights and capture varied trading conditions.
- Engage in rigorous out-of-sample testing to confirm robustness across divergent market scenarios.
- Explore advanced risk management techniques like hedging or portfolio diversification.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy exhibits commendable strong returns and robust risk-adjusted metrics, with a notable Sharpe ratio and contained drawdown. Despite these positives, continual refinement and validation are essential to sustain its strength across multifaceted market environments.
Recommendation: Proceed with further development and testing of the strategy, introducing suggested modifications to enhance its robustness and agility in responding to volatile market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.16% | 1.63% | -2.51% | 5.31% | -3.63% | 5.33% | 8.61% | 28.70% | 27.20% |
2021 | 13.68% | 33.80% | 0.00% | 4.07% | 5.49% | 1.48% | 17.90% | 1.85% | 8.76% | 12.27% | 15.94% | 2.26% |
2022 | 9.14% | 3.17% | 5.62% | 0.79% | 3.34% | 3.54% | 5.25% | -1.30% | -2.00% | 3.67% | 6.60% | 3.92% |
2023 | 25.89% | 0.40% | 31.38% | -2.29% | 6.01% | 11.90% | -3.15% | 10.31% | -1.74% | 25.46% | 12.36% | 8.03% |
2024 | -5.45% | 15.21% | 4.94% | 2.71% | 1.59% | 2.58% | 7.08% | 3.84% | 5.44% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
56
Number of Trades
9.86%
Cumulative Returns
44.64%
Win Rate
2024-05-28
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-7.07%
30 Days
-17.5%
60 Days
-17.21%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 37544.75 | 3754.47 | 30474.74 | 3047.47 | 7070.01 | 707.0 |
Gross Profit | 67758.69 | 6775.87 | 48828.37 | 4882.84 | 18930.33 | 1893.03 |
Gross Loss | 30213.94 | 3021.39 | 18353.63 | 1835.36 | 11860.31 | 1186.03 |
Commission Paid | 2524.23 | 1387.78 | 1136.45 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 8738.81 | 873.88 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 38662.64 | 97.58 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 3535.33 | 16.39 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 272.0 | 146.0 | 126.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 167.0 | 88.0 | 79.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 105.0 | 58.0 | 47.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 61.4 | 60.27 | 62.7 | |||
Avg P&l | 138.03 | 1.41 | 208.73 | 1.98 | 56.11 | 0.74 |
Avg Winning Trade | 405.74 | 3.89 | 554.87 | 5.18 | 239.62 | 2.45 |
Avg Losing Trade | 287.75 | 2.54 | 316.44 | 2.87 | 252.35 | 2.14 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.41 | 1.753 | 0.95 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 3244.24 | 3244.24 | 1107.76 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 15.15 | 15.15 | 5.88 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 1372.83 | 1372.83 | 1316.5 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.75 | 5.75 | 4.55 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 28.0 | 9.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 21.0 | 32.0 | 9.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 15.0 | 20.0 | 9.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.764 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 5.985 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.243 | 2.66 | 1.596 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 40444.61 | 4044.46 | 31723.09 | 3172.31 | 8721.52 | 872.15 |
Gross Profit | 104215.71 | 10421.57 | 70986.75 | 7098.68 | 33228.96 | 3322.9 |
Gross Loss | 63771.1 | 6377.11 | 39263.66 | 3926.37 | 24507.44 | 2450.74 |
Commission Paid | 4547.93 | 2410.73 | 2137.2 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 10961.93 | 1096.19 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 56499.69 | 98.33 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 14480.03 | 25.89 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 328.0 | 173.0 | 155.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 192.0 | 98.0 | 94.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 136.0 | 75.0 | 61.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 58.54 | 56.65 | 60.65 | |||
Avg P&l | 123.31 | 1.2 | 183.37 | 1.7 | 56.27 | 0.63 |
Avg Winning Trade | 542.79 | 3.81 | 724.35 | 5.14 | 353.5 | 2.42 |
Avg Losing Trade | 468.91 | 2.49 | 523.52 | 2.79 | 401.76 | 2.12 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.158 | 1.384 | 0.88 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 3958.98 | 3958.98 | 2097.97 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 15.15 | 15.15 | 5.88 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 2389.87 | 2389.87 | 1949.9 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.75 | 5.75 | 4.55 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 28.0 | 9.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 21.0 | 32.0 | 9.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 16.0 | 22.0 | 9.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.652 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.262 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.634 | 1.808 | 1.356 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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