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jaybee3213 supermetro btcusdt 2h 03.12.2024

  • Homepage
UNKNOWN 2 hours @jaybee3213
● Live

Super Metro by @DaviddTech 🤖 [bc0c949e]

🛡️ SUPERMETRO BTCUSDT 2H 03.12.2024

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 19, 2025
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +5.58% Updated 22 hours ago
Total Return Primary
2786.58%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
53.97%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.41
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
1.32%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
315
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Feb 6, 2021
1,861
Days
315
Trades
Last Trade
Mar 13, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-02-06 11:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.56
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.78
  • Calmar: -1.97
  • Longest DD Days: 84.00
  • Volatility: 68.42
  • Skew: 0.70
  • Kurtosis: 0.47
  • Expected Daily: 1.12
  • Expected Monthly: 26.47
  • Expected Yearly: 1,573.91
  • Kelly Criterion: 14.03
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.46
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.41
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-03-13 01:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 10
  • Number Winning Trades 170
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 12
  • Number Losing Trades: 145
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.97
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.35
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.17
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.35
  • Tail Ratio: 1.79
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 2.69
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.17
  • Serenity Index: 74.36

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+2.82%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+3.05%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-0.27%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.18%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+0.54%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+5.58%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+1.70%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+14.59%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+20.68%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+5.91%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
54.0%
Total Trades
315
Cumulative
-1.02%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
298.66%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.90%
+26.90%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.57%
+3.97%
Simple P&L
+1.28%
+5.65%
Simple P&L
-0.08%
+1.38%
Simple P&L
-3.86%
+8.69%
Simple P&L
+1.78%
+15.40%
Simple P&L
-1.15%
+13.86%
Simple P&L
+2.27%
+11.46%
Simple P&L
+1.48%
+7.80%
Simple P&L
-0.22%
+2.27%
Simple P&L
2022
-0.39%
+9.20%
Simple P&L
-2.14%
+4.41%
Simple P&L
+5.00%
+3.76%
Simple P&L
-2.00%
+0.84%
Simple P&L
+0.09%
+3.54%
Simple P&L
-0.46%
+6.23%
Simple P&L
-0.83%
-5.29%
Simple P&L
+3.29%
+13.03%
Simple P&L
-2.67%
-1.06%
Simple P&L
+1.48%
+2.10%
Simple P&L
+0.67%
+11.29%
Simple P&L
-0.25%
+4.31%
Simple P&L
2023
-0.42%
+23.62%
Simple P&L
-1.09%
+1.24%
Simple P&L
+1.05%
+27.01%
Simple P&L
-0.99%
-1.41%
Simple P&L
+0.89%
+5.99%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
+10.01%
Simple P&L
-1.07%
-0.70%
Simple P&L
+1.16%
+10.34%
Simple P&L
-1.39%
-1.72%
Simple P&L
-1.11%
+13.79%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1.86%
+16.63%
Simple P&L
2024
-0.73%
-5.71%
Simple P&L
+1.39%
+18.63%
Simple P&L
-3.21%
+2.75%
Simple P&L
+1.63%
+2.74%
Simple P&L
-0.30%
+4.15%
Simple P&L
+1.78%
+2.62%
Simple P&L
+0.24%
+8.52%
Simple P&L
-2.03%
+3.90%
Simple P&L
+1.66%
+8.73%
Simple P&L
-1.39%
+8.10%
Simple P&L
-0.43%
+14.55%
Simple P&L
+0.39%
-4.15%
Simple P&L
2025
-0.92%
-7.40%
Simple P&L
-1.29%
-5.73%
Simple P&L
+3.19%
-2.27%
Simple P&L
-1.39%
+0.40%
Simple P&L
-0.64%
-2.75%
Simple P&L
+2.12%
-4.00%
Simple P&L
-0.68%
+7.02%
Simple P&L
+0.51%
-9.32%
Simple P&L
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2026
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

315

Number of Trades

-1.02%

Cumulative Returns

53.97%

Win Rate

2024-12-03

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

1.7%

30 Days

20.68%

60 Days

14.59%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit2786576.132786.581856446.541856.45930129.59930.13
Gross Profit9575393.469575.395884443.155884.443690950.313690.95
Gross Loss6788817.336788.824027996.614028.02760820.722760.82
Expected Payoff8846.2712628.895536.49
Commission Paid467659.49234799.94232859.55
Buy & Hold Return98845.3198.85
Buy & Hold % Gain98.85
Strategy Outperformance2687730.82
Max Contracts Held7360.073.0
Annualized Return (cagr)90.9877.2156.63
Return On Initial Capital2786.581856.45930.13
Account Size Required2005226.03
Return On Account Size Required138.9792.5846.39
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)38 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)236073.44236.07
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)767228.2767.23
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)4198583.8797.67
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4198.58
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)37 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)173872.03173.87
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.390.930.46
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1973582.41973.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2005226.0348.19
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2005.23
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1320.07879.44491.86
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.196.824.95
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.115.246.85
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades315.0147.0168.0
Number Winning Trades170.071.099.0
Number Losing Trades145.076.069.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable53.9748.358.93
Avg P&l8846.270.9512628.891.365536.490.59
Avg Winning Trade56325.843.7382879.485.537282.332.47
Avg Losing Trade46819.432.3252999.962.5140011.892.11
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2031.5640.932
Largest Winning Trade401506.34401506.34182781.02
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.9813.985.88
Largest Losing Trade211093.82211093.82189105.05
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.745.744.54
Avg # Bars In Trades20.033.09.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.043.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.024.09.0
Sharpe Ratio0.56
Sortino Ratio1.779
Profit Factor1.411.4611.337
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit2786576.132786.581856446.541856.45930129.59930.13
Gross Profit9575393.469575.395884443.155884.443690950.313690.95
Gross Loss6788817.336788.824027996.614028.02760820.722760.82
Expected Payoff8846.2712628.895536.49
Commission Paid467659.49234799.94232859.55
Buy & Hold Return98845.3198.85
Buy & Hold % Gain98.85
Strategy Outperformance2687730.82
Max Contracts Held7360.073.0
Annualized Return (cagr)90.9877.2156.63
Return On Initial Capital2786.581856.45930.13
Account Size Required2005226.03
Return On Account Size Required138.9792.5846.39
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)38 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)236073.44236.07
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)767228.2767.23
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)4198583.8797.67
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4198.58
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)37 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)173872.03173.87
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.390.930.46
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1973582.41973.58
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)2005226.0348.19
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)2005.23
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1320.07879.44491.86
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit4.196.824.95
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss3.115.246.85
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades315.0147.0168.0
Number Winning Trades170.071.099.0
Number Losing Trades145.076.069.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable53.9748.358.93
Avg P&l8846.270.9512628.891.365536.490.59
Avg Winning Trade56325.843.7382879.485.537282.332.47
Avg Losing Trade46819.432.3252999.962.5140011.892.11
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.2031.5640.932
Largest Winning Trade401506.34401506.34182781.02
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.9813.985.88
Largest Losing Trade211093.82211093.82189105.05
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.745.744.54
Avg # Bars In Trades20.033.09.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades23.043.09.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades17.024.09.0
Sharpe Ratio0.56
Sortino Ratio1.779
Profit Factor1.411.4611.337
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
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Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 2583.16%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 88.64%
Sharpe Ratio 0.545
Profit Factor 1.381
Maximum Drawdown (Intrabar) -48.19%
Volatility (Annualized) 68.28%

The strategy shows strong absolute returns with a cumulative gain of 2583.16% and an annualized return of 88.64%. While the Sharpe ratio of 0.545 is just above the threshold indicating acceptable risk-adjusted returns, the profit factor of 1.381 suggests that the strategy is profitable, though there is room for improvement. The maximum drawdown is a concern at -48.19%, above the ideal threshold of 40%, indicating potential areas for better risk management.

Strategy Viability

Considering the metrics, this strategy shows promise for real-world trading, though with caution regarding the high drawdown. The strategy has managed to outperform the buy-and-hold benchmark significantly, indicating its potential in generating substantial returns. It is important to consider if the market conditions that favored this performance are likely to persist.

Risk Management

The high maximum drawdown and volatility highlight areas needing improvement in risk management. Some strategies could include:

  • Reducing leverage to minimize potential drawdowns.
  • Implementing more rigorous stop-loss mechanisms to reduce downside risks.
  • Exploring diversification across different crypto assets to lower unsystematic risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, consider the following:

  • Optimize key parameters to balance returns and risk better.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators to improve trade entries and exits.
  • Perform rigorous out-of-sample and forward-testing to ascertain adaptability across varying market conditions.
  • Integrate comprehensive tools like stress testing in the risk management framework.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy demonstrates notable potential with excellent returns but requires improved risk management to address high volatility and drawdowns. Optimizing the strategy could significantly enhance its viability and robustness in different market scenarios.

Recommendation: Continue with further testing and optimization of this strategy. Implement the suggested improvements, particularly in leveraging and risk management, to strengthen its performance and manage market volatility more effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
--
Trend Strength
--
Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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