TTMS Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [96c41753]
🛡️ TTMSTREND BTCUSDT 30M 21.05 @zagzag77
TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 23 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-29 22:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.42
- Sortino Ratio: 1.11
- Calmar: -0.94
- Longest DD Days: 70.00
- Volatility: 0.08
- Skew: -1.42
- Kurtosis: 2.36
- Expected Daily: 0.00
- Expected Monthly: 0.02
- Expected Yearly: 0.21
- Kelly Criterion: 28.61
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.01
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.01
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-13 13:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 21
- Number Winning Trades 410
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 106
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.94
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.56
- Payoff Ratio: 0.40
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.56
- Tail Ratio: 0.69
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 1.81
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 5.05
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 75.71% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 8% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.424 |
Profit Factor | 1.538 |
Maximum Drawdown | 8.88% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 8% |
The strategy yields a commendable cumulative return of 75.71%, maintaining a manageable maximum drawdown of 8.88%, which is well within acceptable risk parameters. Despite a Sharpe ratio of 0.424, which falls slightly below the typical threshold for crypto strategies, the Profit Factor of 1.538 indicates a moderate level of profitability, suggesting that the strategy's returns are greater than its losses over time.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading, particularly due to its low drawdown and a decent percentage of profitable trades (79.46%). However, the Sharpe ratio indicates there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance, which can further enhance its attractiveness under various market conditions. It's essential to monitor market conditions to ensure the strategy remains effective over time, with considerations for the relatively low Calmar ratio.
Risk Management
The strategy exhibits sound risk management principles, with a low maximum drawdown and no margin calls, indicating prudent capital management. The volatility is low, which further supports the strategy's risk profile. However, there are opportunities for improvement:
- Consider enhancing position sizing methods to dynamically adjust risk exposure during periods of increased market uncertainty.
- Enhance stop-loss strategies to protect against rare, significant losses, particularly given the high outlier loss ratio.
- Utilize less leverage to reduce drawdown risks even further.
Improvement Suggestions
To further refine the strategy’s performance and ensure it remains robust across different market environments, consider the following suggestions:
- Fine-tune strategy parameters to maximize returns while maintaining low volatility and drawdowns.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to sharpen entry and exit signals, possibly improving the Sharpe ratio and overall risk-adjusted returns.
- Explore out-of-sample and forward-testing to confirm the strategy's resilience and ensure adaptability to changing market conditions.
- Consider employing advanced risk management tools like dynamic hedging strategies to better manage unexpected market shifts.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy presents a solid foundation with impressive profitability and low drawdown metrics. While the risk-adjusted performance can be improved, its overall risk management and profitability make it a promising candidate for further refinement and testing.
Recommendation: Pursue further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement the suggested improvements to enhance the robustness and efficiently adapt the risk management framework to accommodate more volatile market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.88% | 1.98% | -0.73% | 0.01% | 2.20% | 0.26% | -1.97% | 1.13% | 1.96% | 5.14% |
2021 | -1.52% | 0.43% | 1.79% | 0.00% | -1.07% | 0.42% | -0.03% | 0.05% | 1.77% | -0.97% | 2.20% | 2.98% |
2022 | 0.90% | 1.47% | 1.25% | -0.45% | 0.55% | 2.01% | 0.52% | 2.54% | 4.82% | 0.67% | 0.49% | 2.22% |
2023 | 1.67% | 3.42% | 1.39% | 3.89% | 0.83% | -0.02% | 0.13% | 3.37% | 0.78% | 3.21% | 0.45% | -0.82% |
2024 | 0.28% | 6.74% | 3.81% | 1.62% | 0.09% | -0.69% | -1.80% | -0.49% | -1.44% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
69
Number of Trades
-6.84%
Cumulative Returns
66.67%
Win Rate
2024-05-21
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0.48%
30 Days
2.12%
60 Days
0.23%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 478.01 | 86.13 | 397.31 | 71.59 | 80.69 | 14.54 |
Gross Profit | 1038.62 | 187.14 | 692.18 | 124.72 | 346.44 | 62.42 |
Gross Loss | 560.62 | 101.01 | 294.87 | 53.13 | 265.75 | 47.88 |
Commission Paid | 97.53 | 62.65 | 34.88 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 6058.75 | 1091.67 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 509.63 | 48.11 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 34.3 | 5.16 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 449.0 | 247.0 | 202.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 365.0 | 210.0 | 155.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 84.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 81.29 | 85.02 | 76.73 | |||
Avg P&l | 1.06 | 0.8 | 1.61 | 0.83 | 0.4 | 0.77 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2.85 | 1.35 | 3.3 | 1.24 | 2.24 | 1.5 |
Avg Losing Trade | 6.67 | 1.58 | 7.97 | 1.49 | 5.65 | 1.65 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.426 | 0.414 | 0.395 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 8.88 | 8.88 | 6.91 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.0 | 4.51 | 6.0 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 17.08 | 17.08 | 12.41 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.77 | 3.4 | 3.77 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 12.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 10.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 21.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.605 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.067 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.853 | 2.347 | 1.304 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 420.2 | 75.71 | 401.61 | 72.36 | 18.59 | 3.35 |
Gross Profit | 1201.45 | 216.48 | 802.87 | 144.66 | 398.58 | 71.82 |
Gross Loss | 781.24 | 140.76 | 401.26 | 72.3 | 379.99 | 68.47 |
Commission Paid | 120.03 | 75.93 | 44.1 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 7381.54 | 1330.01 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 509.63 | 48.11 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 93.57 | 8.88 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 516.0 | 281.0 | 235.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 410.0 | 235.0 | 175.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 106.0 | 46.0 | 60.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 79.46 | 83.63 | 74.47 | |||
Avg P&l | 0.81 | 0.74 | 1.43 | 0.79 | 0.08 | 0.67 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2.93 | 1.34 | 3.42 | 1.23 | 2.28 | 1.49 |
Avg Losing Trade | 7.37 | 1.6 | 8.72 | 1.48 | 6.33 | 1.7 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.398 | 0.392 | 0.36 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 9.32 | 9.32 | 6.91 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.0 | 4.51 | 6.0 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 21.2 | 18.82 | 21.2 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.16 | 3.4 | 4.16 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 12.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 10.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 21.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.424 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.113 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.538 | 2.001 | 1.049 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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