🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [69d1fc78]
🛡️ SUPERFVMAV5 BTCUSDT 1H
@zagzag77
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-03 01:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.51
- Sortino Ratio: 1.09
- Calmar: -0.41
- Longest DD Days: 79.00
- Volatility: 1.25
- Skew: -0.50
- Kurtosis: 0.36
- Expected Daily: 0.01
- Expected Monthly: 0.24
- Expected Yearly: 2.90
- Kelly Criterion: 18.62
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.15
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.16
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-16 04:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 17
- Number Winning Trades 193
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 94
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.41
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.39
- Payoff Ratio: 0.69
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.39
- Tail Ratio: 0.77
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.25
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.05
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 1.06
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 582.81% |
Buy & Hold Return | 1266.59% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.497 |
Profit Factor | 1.406 |
Maximum Drawdown | 32.76% |
Volatility | 125% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 67% |
The strategy delivers a notable net profit of 582.81% but underperforms the buy & hold benchmark return of 1266.59%. A Sharpe ratio of 0.497 is slightly below the target for crypto, suggesting room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. However, with a reasonable profit factor of 1.406 and a maximum drawdown of 32.76%, the strategy maintains a risk profile within acceptable limits under crypto trading scenarios.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential for real-world application in crypto markets. Its profit factor suggests profitability over the long term, yet a Sharpe ratio below the ideal threshold indicates that it could benefit from optimizations to enhance risk-adjusted returns. It is crucial to consider the strategy's adaptability in various market conditions to ensure consistent performance.
Risk Management
The strategy's maximum drawdown of 32.76% signals decent risk management, corroborated by zero margin calls and a gain/pain ratio of 1.44. Risk management could be further enhanced by:
- Reducing leverage to decrease drawdowns, especially important to manage potential market volatilities.
- Introducing dynamic position sizing based on market volatility and risk appetite.
- Setting tighter stop-losses to minimize drawdowns in highly volatile market phases.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s performance, consider the following enhancements:
- Optimize parameters for Sharpe ratio improvement, thus refining risk-adjusted returns.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to support better trade entry and exit decision-making.
- Conduct comprehensive testing across various market regimes to affirm strategy robustness.
- Implement stress testing and scenario analysis to prepare the strategy for diverse market conditions.
Final Opinion
In summary, while the strategy provides positive net returns, enhancing its risk-adjusted performance is advisable to meet cryptocurrency trading standards effectively. By refining risk management protocols and leveraging optimization opportunities, the strategy can aim for greater consistency and resilience in varying market environments.
Recommendation: Proceed with cautious optimization and further testing to enhance the strategy’s viability, ensuring it aligns with expected market conditions and risk profiles while leveraging advanced risk management to navigate market volatility confidently.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | -4.63% | 8.39% | -6.82% | -11.55% | 6.32% | 4.30% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 11.06% | 10.55% | 16.42% | -1.39% | -1.96% | 13.30% | -3.29% | 7.17% | 2.44% | 9.06% | 0.00% | -8.48% |
2022 | 0.00% | 3.41% | 12.69% | 6.30% | 0.00% | 12.91% | 7.06% | 13.57% | 9.55% | 3.42% | 12.15% | 10.71% |
2021 | 7.95% | 5.80% | 4.99% | 7.77% | 16.09% | 0.24% | 5.23% | 5.15% | 4.61% | 7.01% | 3.43% | 0.00% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 8.09% | 3.10% | -3.79% | 5.69% | -0.24% | -0.98% | -0.97% | 0.13% | 1.76% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
81
Number of Trades
-32.55%
Cumulative Returns
45.68%
Win Rate
2023-11-19
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-8.98%
30 Days
-20.5%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 4,935.03 USD | 889.19 | 2,276.82 USD | 410.24 | 2,658.21 USD | 478.96 |
Gross Profit | 7,508.27 | 1,352.84 | 3,608.27 | 650.14 | 3,900.00 | 702.70 |
Gross Loss | 2,573.24 | 463.65 | 1,331.45 | 239.90 | 1,241.79 | 223.75 |
Max Run-up | 4,981.35 | 89.98 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 410.21 | 9.68 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 2,376.45 | 428.19 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.99 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 5.739 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.918 | 2.71 | 3.141 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 482.79 | 221.46 | 261.34 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 207 | 96 | 111 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 156 | 74 | 82 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 51 | 22 | 29 | |||
Percent Profitable | 75.36 | 77.08 | 73.87 | |||
Avg Trade | 23.84 | 0.97 | 23.72 | 1.06 | 23.95 | 0.90 |
Avg Winning Trade | 48.13 | 1.98 | 48.76 | 2.05 | 47.56 | 1.92 |
Avg Losing Trade | 50.46 | 2.10 | 60.52 | 2.26 | 42.82 | 1.98 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.954 | 0.806 | 1.111 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 331.19 | 6.17 | 117.70 | 4.39 | 331.19 | 6.17 |
Largest Losing Trade | 154.44 | 7.17 | 154.44 | 7.17 | 118.17 | 3.81 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 11 | 13 | 9 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 11 | 14 | 9 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 12 | 13 | 11 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 3,306.76 USD | 595.81 | 1,594.17 USD | 287.24 | 1,712.59 USD | 308.58 |
Gross Profit | 11,272.07 | 2,031.00 | 5,165.67 | 930.75 | 6,106.40 | 1,100.25 |
Gross Loss | 7,965.31 | 1,435.19 | 3,571.50 | 643.51 | 4,393.81 | 791.68 |
Max Run-up | 5,088.18 | 90.17 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,813.82 | 32.76 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 7,465.61 | 1,345.16 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.505 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.086 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.415 | 1.446 | 1.39 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 17.91 | 0.46 | ||||
Commission Paid | 890.24 | 387.90 | 502.34 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 287 | 128 | 159 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 193 | 90 | 103 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 94 | 38 | 56 | |||
Percent Profitable | 67.25 | 70.31 | 64.78 | |||
Avg Trade | 11.52 | 0.61 | 12.45 | 0.72 | 10.77 | 0.52 |
Avg Winning Trade | 58.40 | 1.91 | 57.40 | 1.96 | 59.29 | 1.87 |
Avg Losing Trade | 84.74 | 2.07 | 93.99 | 2.23 | 78.46 | 1.96 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.689 | 0.611 | 0.756 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 331.19 | 6.17 | 123.17 | 4.39 | 331.19 | 6.17 |
Largest Losing Trade | 186.44 | 7.17 | 186.44 | 7.17 | 179.11 | 3.81 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 12 | 15 | 10 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 11 | 13 | 9 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 14 | 20 | 10 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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