🚀 The Insider Strategy by @DaviddTech 🤖 [19a4aeda]

🛡️ THEINSIDERSTRATEGY GOLD 4H 7.05

Trading Pair

XAU

Base Currency

by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024

Performance Overview

Live Trading

Last 7 days: +207194.89% Updated 7 hours ago

Total Return Primary

207.54%

Net Profit Performance

Win Rate Success

50.29%

Trade Success Ratio

Max Drawdown Risk

Risk Control

Profit Factor Efficiency

1.23

Risk-Reward Ratio

Incubation Delta Live

0.12%

Live vs Backtest

Total Trades Volume

698

Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance

Live Trading

Edge Check 21-MA & Bollinger Bands

First Trade

Jun 5, 2006

7,165

Days

698

Trades

Last Trade

Jan 16, 2026

ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

First Traded Date: 2006-06-05 09:00:00

Sharpe Ratio: 0.09
Sortino Ratio: 0.15
Calmar: -0.15
Longest DD Days: 328.00
Volatility: 38.49
Skew: -0.05
Kurtosis: -1.03

Expected Daily: 0.19
Expected Monthly: 4.08
Expected Yearly: 61.55
Kelly Criterion: 9.17
Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.26
Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.01

Last Trade Date: 2026-01-16 13:00:00

Max Consecutive Wins: 11
Number Winning Trades 351
Max Consecutive Losses: 10
Number Losing Trades: 347

Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.15
Gain/Pain (1M): 1.22
Payoff Ratio: 1.21
Common Sense Ratio: 1.22
Tail Ratio: 1.10
Outlier Win Ratio: 2.12
Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.13
Recovery Factor: 0.00
Ulcer Index: 0.17
Serenity Index: 0.80

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days

+1.44%

COMPOUNDED

PROFIT

Last 30 Days

-0.09%

COMPOUNDED

LOSS

Last 90 Days

+1.90%

COMPOUNDED

PROFIT

Last 60 Days

+1.88%

COMPOUNDED

PROFIT

Last 180 Days

-0.10%

COMPOUNDED

LOSS

Last 7 Days

+206,402.10%

SIMPLE SUM

PROFIT

Last 30 Days

+851,574.41%

SIMPLE SUM

PROFIT

Last 90 Days

+1,976,876.68%

SIMPLE SUM

PROFIT

Last 60 Days

+1,291,524.84%

SIMPLE SUM

PROFIT

Last 180 Days

+5,153,892.22%

SIMPLE SUM

PROFIT

Win Rate

48.6%

Total Trades

699

Cumulative

-1.77%

COMPOUNDED

Simple Total

22,808,884.04%

SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period

Live Trading

Year/Month	January	February	March	April	May	June	July	August	September	October	November	December
2006	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	-4.49% +2,932.74% Simple P&L	+0.95% +11,104.20% Simple P&L	+1.48% +1,163.62% Simple P&L	-1.00% +11,900.96% Simple P&L	+2.03% +6,195.05% Simple P&L	-1.00% +9,360.82% Simple P&L	+0.04% +820.48% Simple P&L
2007	+1.20% -16,054.67% Simple P&L	-1.97% -14,474.44% Simple P&L	+1.36% -9,519.24% Simple P&L	-0.48% -7,078.88% Simple P&L	+0.54% -31,726.79% Simple P&L	-0.12% -23,811.93% Simple P&L	-0.28% -67,948.37% Simple P&L	-0.70% -22,970.41% Simple P&L	+0.52% -39,540.63% Simple P&L	+1.40% -28,683.99% Simple P&L	-2.26% -14,679.91% Simple P&L	+1.48% -12,742.77% Simple P&L
2008	-1.37% -9,768.07% Simple P&L	+1.16% -15,988.50% Simple P&L	+0.64% -9,290.96% Simple P&L	-0.41% -11,892.10% Simple P&L	-1.25% -24,948.09% Simple P&L	+1.38% -10,253.68% Simple P&L	-0.46% -8,279.92% Simple P&L	-2.96% +4,483.28% Simple P&L	+0.18% +6,336.30% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.37% +3,434.80% Simple P&L	+0.23% +13,362.42% Simple P&L
2009	+1.13% +8,462.90% Simple P&L	+0.44% +22,208.49% Simple P&L	+0.00% +6,904.06% Simple P&L	-0.94% +0.00% Simple P&L	+1.34% +37,563.39% Simple P&L	-0.08% +10,306.83% Simple P&L	-1.11% +52,391.16% Simple P&L	+0.42% +544.01% Simple P&L	+0.94% +7,284.30% Simple P&L	-0.33% +6,207.13% Simple P&L	-2.62% +47,203.03% Simple P&L	+1.75% +15,005.37% Simple P&L
2010	+0.51% +22,002.93% Simple P&L	-0.11% +4,034.98% Simple P&L	+0.35% -6,882.08% Simple P&L	+0.17% -28,249.52% Simple P&L	-0.67% -21,647.75% Simple P&L	+0.74% -53,677.55% Simple P&L	+0.27% -20,913.86% Simple P&L	+0.26% -19,503.28% Simple P&L	+0.45% -44,860.92% Simple P&L	-2.18% -24,213.13% Simple P&L	+0.30% -30,731.99% Simple P&L	+0.50% -80,269.26% Simple P&L
2011	-0.75% -82,485.37% Simple P&L	+1.98% -39,112.77% Simple P&L	-0.33% -60,167.97% Simple P&L	+1.07% -75,841.47% Simple P&L	-0.50% -37,968.27% Simple P&L	-0.71% -61,045.69% Simple P&L	+0.90% -106,531.84% Simple P&L	-4.93% -84,029.66% Simple P&L	+1.03% -36,909.47% Simple P&L	+2.55% -24,630.97% Simple P&L	-0.58% -12,165.60% Simple P&L	+0.58% -23,789.58% Simple P&L
2012	+0.47% -22,078.00% Simple P&L	-2.58% -11,234.71% Simple P&L	+2.28% -16,311.81% Simple P&L	+0.33% -18,105.76% Simple P&L	-2.19% -29,065.63% Simple P&L	+1.35% -65,183.89% Simple P&L	+0.28% -40,795.11% Simple P&L	+0.98% -92,895.39% Simple P&L	-0.82% -54,401.46% Simple P&L	+0.39% -72,052.77% Simple P&L	+1.06% -75,574.31% Simple P&L	-1.63% -108,094.67% Simple P&L
2013	+0.97% +0.00% Simple P&L	-0.80% -143,050.24% Simple P&L	+0.43% -29,649.91% Simple P&L	-1.40% -173,633.20% Simple P&L	+0.67% -107,019.43% Simple P&L	-1.57% -73,819.38% Simple P&L	+1.62% -69,054.76% Simple P&L	-0.28% -109,671.80% Simple P&L	+0.33% -63,695.11% Simple P&L	-0.20% -87,042.62% Simple P&L	+0.57% -40,857.12% Simple P&L	-0.91% -36,853.68% Simple P&L
2014	+0.66% -36,473.95% Simple P&L	+1.03% -44,978.19% Simple P&L	-0.58% -28,639.56% Simple P&L	+1.32% -49,836.29% Simple P&L	-0.09% -25,799.87% Simple P&L	-0.30% -22,323.60% Simple P&L	-0.66% -26,824.97% Simple P&L	+1.37% -28,288.23% Simple P&L	-1.35% -5,764.15% Simple P&L	-0.55% +18,968.44% Simple P&L	-0.60% +7,100.72% Simple P&L	-0.18% -1,303.63% Simple P&L
2015	+0.83% -3,459.07% Simple P&L	+0.51% -2,583.78% Simple P&L	+1.36% -4,952.86% Simple P&L	-1.22% -8,494.71% Simple P&L	+0.18% -18,617.13% Simple P&L	+0.09% -35,060.64% Simple P&L	-0.76% -18,849.94% Simple P&L	+0.05% -28,732.22% Simple P&L	-0.04% -55,467.40% Simple P&L	+0.51% -63,321.75% Simple P&L	+0.59% -43,640.56% Simple P&L	-0.27% -10,550.22% Simple P&L
2016	+1.05% -32,964.41% Simple P&L	-0.52% -28,387.77% Simple P&L	-1.55% -12,740.70% Simple P&L	+0.39% -15,550.60% Simple P&L	+0.22% -19,550.23% Simple P&L	-5.88% -59,449.19% Simple P&L	-1.53% -35,802.50% Simple P&L	+0.04% -59,910.65% Simple P&L	+1.14% -97,812.37% Simple P&L	-0.98% -24,504.66% Simple P&L	+0.37% -106,356.73% Simple P&L	+0.34% -72,472.01% Simple P&L
2017	-0.68% -107,135.97% Simple P&L	+0.15% -20,294.78% Simple P&L	+0.99% -52,672.46% Simple P&L	+0.13% -32,644.61% Simple P&L	-0.57% -41,571.80% Simple P&L	-0.21% -15,081.58% Simple P&L	-0.16% -11,488.00% Simple P&L	-0.27% -23,636.52% Simple P&L	+1.25% -26,550.78% Simple P&L	-0.87% -11,106.02% Simple P&L	-0.03% -7,257.21% Simple P&L	+0.87% -14,262.77% Simple P&L
2018	-1.06% +17,172.84% Simple P&L	+0.08% +2,470.13% Simple P&L	-0.65% -5,937.57% Simple P&L	+1.07% -6,015.45% Simple P&L	-0.36% -11,103.81% Simple P&L	+0.29% -1,933.88% Simple P&L	-0.07% +6,402.46% Simple P&L	-0.41% +48,831.09% Simple P&L	+0.03% +9,376.84% Simple P&L	-0.07% +30,462.80% Simple P&L	+0.55% +18,795.81% Simple P&L	+0.59% +36,735.68% Simple P&L
2019	-0.65% +68,901.66% Simple P&L	-0.16% +28,503.44% Simple P&L	-0.20% +8,478.35% Simple P&L	+0.15% +23,935.93% Simple P&L	+0.90% -3,898.46% Simple P&L	-1.62% +37,745.91% Simple P&L	+0.00% +14,402.15% Simple P&L	-0.93% +38,928.17% Simple P&L	+0.58% +54,226.00% Simple P&L	+0.79% +51,813.98% Simple P&L	-0.02% +29,403.58% Simple P&L	+1.08% +52,555.53% Simple P&L
2020	-1.15% +97,354.36% Simple P&L	+1.28% +218,197.48% Simple P&L	-2.67% +121,126.06% Simple P&L	+0.76% +119,534.49% Simple P&L	+0.42% +109,138.76% Simple P&L	+1.16% +31,536.97% Simple P&L	-1.30% +241,561.93% Simple P&L	-1.30% +351,836.51% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.60% +120,522.89% Simple P&L	+0.67% +180,122.93% Simple P&L
2021	-0.82% +54,947.47% Simple P&L	-0.29% +59,174.18% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+1.69% +55,176.63% Simple P&L	-0.56% +260,905.88% Simple P&L	-0.63% +278,111.38% Simple P&L	+1.20% +219,887.44% Simple P&L	+0.44% +228,705.39% Simple P&L	-0.91% +166,651.29% Simple P&L	+0.03% +75,192.00% Simple P&L	+0.99% +202,448.79% Simple P&L	-0.68% +138,104.38% Simple P&L
2022	+0.28% +182,744.02% Simple P&L	-1.05% +239,853.21% Simple P&L	+0.51% +127,843.88% Simple P&L	+0.37% +263,171.66% Simple P&L	-0.25% +198,856.06% Simple P&L	-0.81% +58,645.69% Simple P&L	+1.58% +196,948.23% Simple P&L	-0.04% +144,187.95% Simple P&L	-2.23% +151,076.78% Simple P&L	+1.94% +145,914.80% Simple P&L	-0.62% +228,772.73% Simple P&L	+0.86% +332,158.84% Simple P&L
2023	-0.49% +266,641.79% Simple P&L	-0.09% +209,122.32% Simple P&L	-0.60% +338,383.28% Simple P&L	-0.04% +364,864.57% Simple P&L	-0.07% +328,027.24% Simple P&L	+0.74% +212,665.54% Simple P&L	+0.26% +324,618.47% Simple P&L	+0.62% +110,772.90% Simple P&L	+0.27% +551,879.64% Simple P&L	-0.37% +542,000.18% Simple P&L	+0.05% +620,459.02% Simple P&L	-1.38% +656,359.45% Simple P&L
2024	+0.78% +162,771.56% Simple P&L	+0.65% +502,353.96% Simple P&L	-0.19% +763,180.20% Simple P&L	+0.49% +432,983.51% Simple P&L	-0.02% +656,541.36% Simple P&L	+0.28% +606,259.78% Simple P&L	-0.54% +987,469.75% Simple P&L	+1.06% +513,143.44% Simple P&L	+0.29% +522,871.77% Simple P&L	+0.09% +842,097.98% Simple P&L	-0.71% +879,333.97% Simple P&L	+0.98% +0.00% Simple P&L
2025	+0.34% +705,693.39% Simple P&L	-0.45% +605,066.27% Simple P&L	-0.32% +834,531.61% Simple P&L	-1.23% +1,030,189.36% Simple P&L	+0.49% +602,587.29% Simple P&L	+1.11% +192,751.95% Simple P&L	•••• Login to see results	•••• Login to see results	•••• Login to see results	•••• Login to see results	•••• Login to see results	•••• Login to see results
2026	•••• Login to see results	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L	+0.00% +0.00% Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

699

Number of Trades

-1.77%

Cumulative Returns

48.64%

Win Rate

2024-05-07

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

851574.41%

30 Days

1291524.84%

60 Days

1976876.68%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

Performance (Backtest)
Performance (Forward Test)

	All USD	All %	Long USD	Long %	Short USD	Short %
Initial Capital	100000
Open P&l	0	0.0
Net Profit	217733.09	217.73	227866.41	227.87	-10133.32	-10.13
Gross Profit	890814.81	890.81	552691.15	552.69	338123.66	338.12
Gross Loss	673081.72	673.08	324824.74	324.82	348256.98	348.26
Expected Payoff	346.71		643.69		-36.98
Commission Paid	92117.6		54839.5		37278.1
Buy & Hold Return	269702.73	269.7
Buy & Hold % Gain		269.71
Strategy Outperformance	-51969.64
Max Contracts Held	360		360.0		320.0
Annualized Return (cagr)		6.58		6.76		-0.59
Return On Initial Capital		217.73		227.87		-10.13
Account Size Required	45655.85
Return On Account Size Required		476.9		499.1		-22.2
Avg Margin Used	0
Max Margin Used	0
Margin Efficiency	0		0.0		0.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)	187 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)	21947.84	21.95
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)	62289.85	62.29
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)	252062.33	78.62
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)		252.06
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)	182 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)	14628.45	14.63
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown	4.77		4.99		-0.22
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)	45015.73	45.02
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)	45655.85	40.18
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)		45.66
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss		2705.44		3489.42		-125.91
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit		1.1		1.77		2.48
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss		1.2		2.01		2.31
Total Open Trades	0.0		0.0		0.0
Total Closed Trades	628.0		354.0		274.0
Number Winning Trades	320.0		206.0		114.0
Number Losing Trades	308.0		148.0		160.0
Even Trades	0.0		0.0		0.0
Percent Profitable		50.96		58.19		41.61
Avg P&l	346.71	0.14	643.69	0.29	-36.98	-0.04
Avg Winning Trade	2783.8	2.14	2682.97	1.81	2966.0	2.73
Avg Losing Trade	2185.33	1.93	2194.76	1.84	2176.61	2.02
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss	1.274		1.222		1.363
Largest Winning Trade	9780.75		9780.75		8385.82
Largest Winning Trade Percent		6.93		5.03		6.93
Largest Losing Trade	8047.96		6530.21		8047.96
Largest Losing Trade Percent		5.89		5.3		5.89
Avg # Bars In Trades	29.0		24.0		36.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades	32.0		27.0		42.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades	26.0		21.0		32.0
Sharpe Ratio	0.104
Sortino Ratio	0.172
Profit Factor	1.323		1.702		0.971
Margin Calls	0.0		0.0		0.0

	All USD	All %	Long USD	Long %	Short USD	Short %
Initial Capital	100000
Open P&l	-918.46	-0.3
Net Profit	207536.68	207.54	282625.48	282.63	-75088.8	-75.09
Gross Profit	1108509.74	1108.51	751013.42	751.01	357496.32	357.5
Gross Loss	900973.06	900.97	468387.95	468.39	432585.12	432.59
Expected Payoff	297.33		696.12		-257.15
Commission Paid	115805.52		73300.29		42505.22
Buy & Hold Return	634266.61	634.27
Buy & Hold % Gain		634.3
Strategy Outperformance	-426729.93
Max Contracts Held	360		360.0		320.0
Annualized Return (cagr)		5.82		7.0		-6.76
Return On Initial Capital		207.54		282.63		-75.09
Account Size Required	60884.95
Return On Account Size Required		340.87		464.2		-123.33
Avg Margin Used	0
Max Margin Used	0
Margin Efficiency	0		0.0		0.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)	186 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)	24100.29	24.1
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)	76206.16	76.21
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)	276930.87	80.16
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)		276.93
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)	175 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)	18753.07	18.75
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown	3.39		4.63		-1.25
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)	58520.03	58.52
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)	60884.95	40.18
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)		60.88
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss		1315.13		1790.96		-596.44
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit		0.97		1.38		3.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss		1.75		3.37		2.91
Total Open Trades	1.0		1.0		0.0
Total Closed Trades	698.0		406.0		292.0
Number Winning Trades	351.0		235.0		116.0
Number Losing Trades	347.0		171.0		176.0
Even Trades	0.0		0.0		0.0
Percent Profitable		50.29		57.88		39.73
Avg P&l	297.33	0.09	696.12	0.26	-257.15	-0.14
Avg Winning Trade	3158.15	2.12	3195.8	1.82	3081.86	2.73
Avg Losing Trade	2596.46	1.96	2739.11	1.88	2457.87	2.04
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss	1.216		1.167		1.254
Largest Winning Trade	10718.91		10396.32		10718.91
Largest Winning Trade Percent		6.93		5.03		6.93
Largest Losing Trade	15780.67		15780.67		12589.6
Largest Losing Trade Percent		5.89		5.3		5.89
Avg # Bars In Trades	29.0		23.0		36.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades	31.0		26.0		42.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades	26.0		20.0		32.0
Sharpe Ratio	0.089
Sortino Ratio	0.149
Profit Factor	1.23		1.603		0.826
Margin Calls	0.0		0.0		0.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

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Risk Analysis

Performance Metrics

Market Insights

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Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

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Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics indicate areas of interest:

Metric	Strategy
Cumulative Return	207.54%
Annualized Return (CAGR %)	5.83%
Sharpe Ratio	0.09
Profit Factor	1.23
Maximum Drawdown	-58.52%
Volatility (Annualized)	38.49%

The strategy shows a respectable cumulative return of 207.54% over the analyzed period, indicating the potential for meaningful capital appreciation. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.09 suggests the risk-adjusted returns are currently suboptimal. The Profit Factor of 1.23 is just over 1, showing that for every $1 lost, there is a $1.23 gain. The maximum drawdown is noted at -58.52%, exceeding the 40% threshold, which indicates a significant level of risk exposure.

Strategy Viability

While the strategy generates positive returns, the low Sharpe Ratio and high drawdown highlight potential challenges for real-world implementation. Its performance under current market conditions appears limited by risk factors that need addressing. Comparing to industry standards, further optimization is recommended to enhance risk-adjusted returns. The expected yearly gain of 61.7% suggests potential under favorable market conditions, yet attention to reducing drawdown is critical.

Risk Management

The strategy's current risk management approach could be improved to mitigate high drawdowns. Suggestions include:

Reducing leverage as a direct method to decrease max drawdown.
Implementing tighter stop-loss orders to limit downside risk.
Incorporating volatility adjustments to manage position sizes dynamically based on market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To enhance the overall strategy performance, some actionable steps include:

Optimizing strategy parameters to improve the balance between risk and returns.
Adding diversification within the trading assets to reduce concentration risk.
Conducting extensive backtesting under different market scenarios to identify resilient parameters or indicators.
Applying dynamic risk management techniques, including advanced metrics like Value-at-Risk (VaR) for informed decision-making.

Final Opinion

The strategy displays potential with its positive cumulative return, yet requires significant adjustments to its risk management and return consistency. High drawdown levels and low risk-adjusted metrics indicate a pressing need for optimization.

Recommendation: Modify and test the strategy further to improve its viability. Focus on minimizing drawdown and enhancing the Sharpe Ratio by implementing improved risk management frameworks and optimization of parameters.

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DaviddTech

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traderdev theinsiderstrategy gold 4h 7.05

🚀 The Insider Strategy by @DaviddTech 🤖 [19a4aeda]

Performance Overview

Equity Curve Analysis

Strategy Analysis & Data

Performance Metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

Trade Analysis

List of Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Live Trading Statistics

Live Trades Stats

699

Number of Trades

-1.77%

Cumulative Returns

48.64%

Win Rate

2024-05-07

🟠 Incubation started

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7 Days

851574.41%

30 Days

1291524.84%

60 Days

1976876.68%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

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Performance Analysis

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