Volatility Vanguard by @DaviddTech 🤖 [3d2888d2]
🛡️ VOLATILITYVANGUARD BTCUSDT 45M 21.05
@schmidhip
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-01 00:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.53
- Sortino Ratio: 1.27
- Calmar: -1.23
- Longest DD Days: 21.00
- Volatility: 32.59
- Skew: -0.39
- Kurtosis: 0.69
- Expected Daily: 0.62
- Expected Monthly: 13.92
- Expected Yearly: 377.86
- Kelly Criterion: 37.11
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -2.54
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.05
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-05 19:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 23
- Number Winning Trades 133
- Max Consecutive Losses: 7
- Number Losing Trades: 67
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.23
- Gain/Pain (1M): 2.24
- Payoff Ratio: 1.10
- Common Sense Ratio: 2.24
- Tail Ratio: 1.43
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.90
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.10
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.04
- Serenity Index: 9.43
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Net Profit (%) | 1815.39% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 25.57% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.531 |
Profit Factor | 1.86 |
Maximum Drawdown | 33.76% |
Volatility (Annualized %) | 30.96% |
Percent Profitable | 65.8% |
The strategy shows a strong net profit of 1815.39% with a Sharpe Ratio of 0.531, indicating good risk-adjusted returns compared to the crypto market environment where a Sharpe Ratio above 0.5 is considered satisfactory. The maximum drawdown of 33.76% is well within acceptable limits, highlighting the strategy's effective control on downside risk. Additionally, a healthy profit factor of 1.86 supports the overall profitability of the strategy.
Strategy Viability
Given the data, the strategy appears to be viable for real-world trading, effectively managing risk even in a volatile crypto market and demonstrating resilience with a reasonable drawdown. The consistent high percent profitability of 65.8% and a significant expected annual return signify that this strategy performs well in current market conditions, which are likely driven by similar economic forces expected to persist.
Risk Management
The strategy shows thoughtful risk management techniques, demonstrated by a maximum drawdown of 33.76% and a Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.75. Potential improvements in risk management could include the following:
- Decreasing leverage to further reduce the drawdown risk, enhancing stability in volatile periods.
- Incorporating protective stop-loss orders to minimize losses during unpredictable market shifts.
- Implementing diversification across a broader range of crypto assets to decrease unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
For enhanced performance and robustness, consider these enhancements:
- Optimize parameters to find a balance between maximizing returns and minimizing drawdowns.
- Introduce additional technical indicators to refine trade entry and exit signals.
- Conduct robustness tests such as out-of-sample and forward-looking analyses to ensure strategy efficiency under diverse conditions.
- Enhance analysis through stress testing to prepare for unexpected market turmoil.
Final Opinion
The strategy demonstrates solid performance, with satisfactory risk-adjusted metrics and a commendable maximum drawdown in the context of crypto trading. Despite the annualized volatility, the strategy provides a robust framework with potential for further optimization.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy, integrating suggested improvements focused on refining risk management and optimizing performance parameters. Further testing will ensure robustness and adaptability across varying market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 8.38% | 22.17% | 11.26% | 8.05% | 0.37% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 17.84% | 15.59% | 7.48% | 7.86% | 11.26% | 8.90% | -3.13% | 8.36% | -9.37% | 10.74% | 26.20% | 11.14% |
2022 | 4.45% | 23.26% | 0.20% | -3.28% | 6.45% | -7.72% | 25.69% | -15.25% | 19.81% | 0.00% | -0.84% | 3.98% |
2021 | 30.49% | -5.30% | 21.61% | 7.90% | 11.88% | -6.73% | -1.87% | -2.02% | 2.43% | 20.91% | 14.76% | 2.32% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.33% | 7.80% | -11.86% | 1.19% | 8.08% | 6.62% | 12.73% | 9.00% | 6.19% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
19
Number of Trades
1.68%
Cumulative Returns
52.63%
Win Rate
2024-05-21
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
13.64%
30 Days
27.25%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 230,362.93 USD | 2,303.63 | 208,153.53 USD | 2,081.54 | 22,209.41 USD | 222.09 |
Gross Profit | 350,430.11 | 3,504.30 | 317,804.79 | 3,178.05 | 32,625.32 | 326.25 |
Gross Loss | 120,067.18 | 1,200.67 | 109,651.27 | 1,096.51 | 10,415.91 | 104.16 |
Max Run-up | 244,264.55 | 96.36 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 16,669.73 | 28.04 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 98,719.84 | 987.20 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.645 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.848 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.919 | 2.898 | 3.132 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 24,496.76 | 21,626.23 | 2,870.53 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 181 | 165 | 16 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 123 | 110 | 13 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 58 | 55 | 3 | |||
Percent Profitable | 67.96 | 66.67 | 81.25 | |||
Avg Trade | 1,272.72 | 0.65 | 1,261.54 | 0.64 | 1,388.09 | 0.76 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2,849.03 | 1.82 | 2,889.13 | 1.87 | 2,509.64 | 1.36 |
Avg Losing Trade | 2,070.12 | 1.83 | 1,993.66 | 1.83 | 3,471.97 | 1.83 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.376 | 1.449 | 0.723 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 14,203.61 | 4.91 | 14,203.61 | 4.91 | 8,046.84 | 3.92 |
Largest Losing Trade | 11,713.89 | 5.08 | 11,713.89 | 5.08 | 8,227.43 | 3.37 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 20 | 17 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 21 | 22 | 17 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 17 | 17 | 19 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 227,435.61 USD | 2,274.36 | 205,226.20 USD | 2,052.26 | 22,209.41 USD | 222.09 |
Gross Profit | 460,752.58 | 4,607.53 | 428,127.26 | 4,281.27 | 32,625.32 | 326.25 |
Gross Loss | 233,316.97 | 2,333.17 | 222,901.06 | 2,229.01 | 10,415.91 | 104.16 |
Max Run-up | 258,229.05 | 96.55 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 87,868.75 | 33.76 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 139,411.24 | 1,394.11 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.532 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.265 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.975 | 1.921 | 3.132 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 12 | 12 | 12 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 34,808.18 | 31,937.65 | 2,870.53 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 200 | 184 | 16 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 133 | 120 | 13 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 67 | 64 | 3 | |||
Percent Profitable | 66.50 | 65.22 | 81.25 | |||
Avg Trade | 1,137.18 | 0.59 | 1,115.36 | 0.57 | 1,388.09 | 0.76 |
Avg Winning Trade | 3,464.31 | 1.81 | 3,567.73 | 1.85 | 2,509.64 | 1.36 |
Avg Losing Trade | 3,482.34 | 1.83 | 3,482.83 | 1.83 | 3,471.97 | 1.83 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.995 | 1.024 | 0.723 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 14,710.23 | 4.91 | 14,710.23 | 4.91 | 8,046.84 | 3.92 |
Largest Losing Trade | 22,326.87 | 5.08 | 22,326.87 | 5.08 | 8,227.43 | 3.37 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 20 | 17 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 21 | 21 | 17 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 17 | 17 | 19 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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