Trend Tornado by @DaviddTech 🤖 [561b587d]
🛡️ TRENDTORNADO BTCUSDT 2H 25.06
@schmidhip
⌛2 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 24 mins agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-02 18:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.44
- Sortino Ratio: 1.88
- Calmar: -2.77
- Longest DD Days: 22.00
- Volatility: 67.94
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 1.07
- Expected Monthly: 24.94
- Expected Yearly: 1,346.76
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-15 14:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 67
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 106
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.77
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the performance of the trading strategy includes several insightful metrics:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Net Profit | 4430.42% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.441 |
Profit Factor | 1.749 |
Maximum Drawdown | 32.02% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 67.98% |
Percent Profitable | 38.95% |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.742 |
The strategy exhibits a respectable net profit of 4430.42% with a profit factor of 1.749, indicating profitability as it earns $1.749 for every $1 spent. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.441 is slightly below our target of 0.5, suggesting that risk-adjusted returns may require improvement. The maximum drawdown at 32.02% is within acceptable levels for a crypto strategy and implies that the strategy is effectively limiting losses but could be optimized further.
Strategy Viability
The strategy appears moderately viable for real-world trading, given the observed periods. While it is not currently outperforming in risk-adjusted terms due to a Sharpe ratio below 0.5, the drawdown levels, when managed with reduced leverage, make it feasible. It is important to understand the market conditions contributing to these results and monitor if these conditions will continue.
Risk Management
The strategy implements a reasonable risk management approach notable by the absence of margin calls and a controlled drawdown. Yet, there is potential for enhancement in managing volatility (67.98%). Consider the following improvements:
- Refining position sizing methods to better adapt to shifts in market conditions and volatility.
- Introducing tighter stop-loss mechanisms to further curtail excessive losses.
- Balancing leverage use to minimize risk exposure and consequently reduce drawdown severity.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy's performance and risk management, consider these suggestions:
- Optimize trade entry and exit parameters to enhance win rates and returns without compromising risk.
- Diversify across a broader set of financial instruments or adding more predictive indicators for robustness.
- Employ out-of-sample and walk-forward testing frameworks to ascertain robustness across varying market regimes.
- Explore strategies leveraging reduced positions to dampen volatility impact.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates notable profit generation capabilities but is muted by suboptimal risk-adjusted returns. The drawdown is manageable, yet there is significant room for improvement, particularly by enhancing risk management frameworks and strategy parameters.
Recommendation: Proceed cautiously while implementing the advised optimizations. Continued rigorous testing and potential recalibration of leverage usage can enhance the strategy's safety and efficiency, fortifying its readiness for real-world trading.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 8.78% | 59.08% | 11.94% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 23.94% | 19.05% | 56.32% | 11.71% | -2.45% | 10.68% | 10.46% | -4.97% | -2.34% | 31.86% | 19.12% | 9.00% |
2022 | 0.00% | 15.12% | -2.71% | -3.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -12.44% | -12.55% | 15.24% | -4.09% | 6.56% | -2.57% |
2021 | -19.91% | 13.09% | 48.04% | 11.73% | -14.70% | 0.00% | 2.05% | 24.50% | 5.77% | 21.66% | 9.57% | 0.00% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -4.79% | -5.44% | 0.00% | -4.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.78% | 22.90% | 58.89% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
16
Number of Trades
6.23%
Cumulative Returns
25%
Win Rate
2024-06-25
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
9.21%
30 Days
6.23%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 416,655.93 USD | 4,166.56 | 416,655.93 USD | 4,166.56 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 843,800.60 | 8,438.01 | 843,800.60 | 8,438.01 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 427,144.66 | 4,271.45 | 427,144.66 | 4,271.45 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 461,414.66 | 98.22 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 88,017.70 | 32.02 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 77,605.83 | 776.06 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.456 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.965 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.975 | 1.975 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 14 | 14 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 30,461.57 | 30,461.57 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 158 | 158 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 63 | 63 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 95 | 95 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 39.87 | 39.87 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 2,637.06 | 1.38 | 2,637.06 | 1.38 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 13,393.66 | 6.68 | 13,393.66 | 6.68 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 4,496.26 | 2.14 | 4,496.26 | 2.14 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.979 | 2.979 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 89,876.94 | 12.10 | 89,876.94 | 12.10 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 25,676.18 | 5.97 | 25,676.18 | 5.97 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 24 | 24 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 42 | 42 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 12 | 12 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 428,591.81 USD | 4,285.92 | 428,591.81 USD | 4,285.92 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 1,034,225.87 | 10,342.26 | 1,034,225.87 | 10,342.26 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 605,634.07 | 6,056.34 | 605,634.07 | 6,056.34 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 497,105.88 | 98.34 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 102,883.76 | 32.02 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 84,808.59 | 848.09 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.439 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.875 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.708 | 1.708 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 15 | 15 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 4,635.89 | 1.06 | ||||
Commission Paid | 41,468.02 | 41,468.02 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 173 | 173 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 67 | 67 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 106 | 106 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 38.73 | 38.73 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 2,477.41 | 1.27 | 2,477.41 | 1.27 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 15,436.21 | 6.62 | 15,436.21 | 6.62 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 5,713.53 | 2.10 | 5,713.53 | 2.10 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.702 | 2.702 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 89,876.94 | 12.10 | 89,876.94 | 12.10 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 27,758.32 | 5.97 | 27,758.32 | 5.97 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 25 | 25 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 43 | 43 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 14 | 14 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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