🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [d860bd12]
🛡️ TRENDHOO BTCUSDT 4H @sam_wks95
TREND FOLOWING
4 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-30 16:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.28
- Sortino Ratio: 3.01
- Calmar: -5.20
- Longest DD Days: 12.00
- Volatility: 366.29
- Skew: 5.46
- Kurtosis: 32.89
- Expected Daily: 5.51
- Expected Monthly: 208.15
- Expected Yearly: 73,294,835.02
- Kelly Criterion: 29.40
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.29
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -6.50
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-03 04:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 4
- Number Winning Trades 38
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 47
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -5.20
- Gain/Pain (1M): 2.92
- Payoff Ratio: 3.61
- Common Sense Ratio: 2.92
- Tail Ratio: 5.64
- Outlier Win Ratio: 9.21
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.06
- Serenity Index: 39.58
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 2701.7% |
CAGR | 96.68% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.28 |
Profit Factor | 2.92 |
Maximum Drawdown | 21.18% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 366.29% |
The strategy demonstrates impressive net profit growth and a strong CAGR of 96.68%, indicating potential for significant returns. The Profit Factor of 2.92 is highly notable, suggesting a robust ratio of gains to losses. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.28 is below the desired threshold of 0.5, indicating less optimal risk-adjusted returns. The Max Drawdown of 21.18% is commendable, well below the critical 40% level, showcasing good downside protection even with high volatility.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential viability for real-world trading, particularly due to its low maximum drawdown and strong profit factor. However, the below-average Sharpe Ratio signals an area for improvement, suggesting that the strategy might not have consistent returns in different market environments. Despite this, the significant net profit and low drawdown are promising, warranting further exploration into market conditions favoring this strategy.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management appears adequate, as evidenced by the low maximum drawdown. Still, there’s room for enhancing risk measures to improve the Sharpe Ratio and minimize volatility. Consider the following improvements:
- Employ dynamic position sizing to modulate exposure based on current volatility levels.
- Introduce additional stop-loss mechanisms to further limit potential losses and enhance Sharpe Ratio.
- Reduce leverage use to lower volatility while maintaining viable returns.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the robustness and performance of the strategy, the following recommendations can be considered:
- Optimize strategy parameters to balance risk and return more effectively, which may improve the Sharpe Ratio.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit points, supporting more adaptive trading.
- Perform out-of-sample testing and forward-testing to ensure the strategy's reliability across various market phases.
- Refine risk management frameworks by incorporating advanced techniques such as stress testing and VaR adjustments.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy presents strong foundational elements with substantial net profit and effective management of drawdowns. However, the low Sharpe Ratio and high volatility suggest further optimization and testing are required to ensure stability across market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization, particularly focusing on improving risk-adjusted returns and robustness of the strategy under different market conditions. Implement suggested risk management adjustments to handle volatility more effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.07% | 0.00% | -8.97% | -2.23% | 165.30% | -0.01% | 41.22% | 2.09% | 6.07% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.56% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.98% | 0.00% | 1.52% | -0.88% |
2022 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.95% | -2.62% | -1.44% | -1.84% | 0.00% | -2.60% | 0.00% | 8.60% | -1.38% | 10.25% |
2023 | 58.61% | 1.25% | 0.00% | 14.82% | -5.25% | 7.87% | -8.81% | -3.55% | 0.84% | 4.52% | 112.93% | 10.57% |
2024 | 0.46% | 28.08% | 30.10% | -0.12% | 1.63% | 0.69% | -3.66% | 0.53% | -0.10% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
25
Number of Trades
53.57%
Cumulative Returns
48%
Win Rate
2024-01-19
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-6.84%
30 Days
-27.37%
60 Days
-15.35%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1684248.62 | 1684.25 | 1684248.62 | 1684.25 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 2131828.54 | 2131.83 | 2131828.54 | 2131.83 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 447579.92 | 447.58 | 447579.92 | 447.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 37045.64 | 37045.64 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 443064.79 | 443.06 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1845785.6 | 95.18 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 140331.46 | 16.36 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 126.0 | 126.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 60.0 | 60.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 26.0 | 26.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 34.0 | 34.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 43.33 | 43.33 | ||||
Avg P&l | 28070.81 | 2.03 | 28070.81 | 2.03 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 81993.41 | 8.38 | 81993.41 | 8.38 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 13164.12 | 2.84 | 13164.12 | 2.84 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 6.229 | 6.229 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 933197.38 | 933197.38 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 29.89 | 29.89 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 108031.57 | 108031.57 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 7.22 | 7.22 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 27.0 | 27.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 43.0 | 43.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 14.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.293 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.995 | |||||
Profit Factor | 4.763 | 4.763 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 2701704.51 | 2701.7 | 2701704.51 | 2701.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 4106180.74 | 4106.18 | 4106180.74 | 4106.18 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 1404476.22 | 1404.48 | 1404476.22 | 1404.48 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 87026.89 | 87026.89 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1010439.09 | 1010.44 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3531564.65 | 97.42 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 751902.17 | 21.18 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 126.0 | 126.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 85.0 | 85.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 38.0 | 38.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 47.0 | 47.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 44.71 | 44.71 | ||||
Avg P&l | 31784.76 | 2.1 | 31784.76 | 2.1 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 108057.39 | 8.1 | 108057.39 | 8.1 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 29882.47 | 2.76 | 29882.47 | 2.76 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.616 | 3.616 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 933197.38 | 933197.38 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 29.89 | 29.89 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 273978.8 | 273978.8 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 7.22 | 7.22 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 28.0 | 28.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 45.0 | 45.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 14.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.28 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.014 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.924 | 2.924 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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