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trendhoo btcusdt 4h

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 4 hours @sam_wks95
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [d860bd12]

🛡️ TRENDHOO BTCUSDT 4H

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 17, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0.12% Updated 18 minutes ago
Total Return Primary
3983.93%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
46.67%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
2.382
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-0.07%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
105
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 30, 2020
2,091
Days
105
Trades
Last Trade
Jan 19, 2026
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-30 16:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.28
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.69
  • Calmar: -4.30
  • Longest DD Days: 12.00
  • Volatility: 334.60
  • Skew: 5.83
  • Kurtosis: 38.75
  • Expected Daily: 4.87
  • Expected Monthly: 171.63
  • Expected Yearly: 16,130,879.94
  • Kelly Criterion: 27.97
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.87
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -7.32
  • Last Trade Date: 2026-01-19 04:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 4
  • Number Winning Trades 49
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 8
  • Number Losing Trades: 56
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -4.30
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 2.50
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.85
  • Common Sense Ratio: 2.50
  • Tail Ratio: 4.60
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 10.42
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.06
  • Serenity Index: 51.01

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+2.98%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+4.52%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+2.98%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+3.54%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
+0.12%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+0.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-4.37%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 60 Days
+0.55%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
-0.86%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Win Rate
46.7%
Total Trades
105
Cumulative
-0.46%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
186.45%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.90%
+16.82%
Simple P&L
-0.18%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-1.57%
-4.29%
Simple P&L
+2.20%
-1.02%
Simple P&L
-3.43%
+22.78%
Simple P&L
+3.37%
-0.05%
Simple P&L
-0.62%
+12.80%
Simple P&L
-0.17%
+6.80%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
+20.32%
Simple P&L
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.61%
+5.09%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-13.97%
-6.63%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+14.04%
+2.47%
Simple P&L
-3.27%
-2.97%
Simple P&L
2022
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1.17%
+6.48%
Simple P&L
-2.57%
-6.96%
Simple P&L
-3.03%
-7.23%
Simple P&L
+1.45%
-6.17%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+4.35%
-5.45%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1.39%
+0.01%
Simple P&L
+0.72%
-4.50%
Simple P&L
-3.55%
-1.24%
Simple P&L
2023
+4.03%
+31.74%
Simple P&L
+0.15%
-1.07%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-0.13%
+4.46%
Simple P&L
-0.26%
-5.73%
Simple P&L
-0.60%
+12.91%
Simple P&L
-1.42%
-4.49%
Simple P&L
+0.36%
-2.14%
Simple P&L
+1.05%
+1.37%
Simple P&L
+0.60%
+0.71%
Simple P&L
-1.43%
+25.66%
Simple P&L
-2.29%
+9.56%
Simple P&L
2024
+2.85%
+0.28%
Simple P&L
+1.45%
+15.14%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+16.11%
Simple P&L
-1.34%
-0.43%
Simple P&L
+1.37%
+5.24%
Simple P&L
-0.71%
+0.47%
Simple P&L
-1.59%
+3.67%
Simple P&L
-1.18%
+1.71%
Simple P&L
+1.86%
-0.38%
Simple P&L
+1.19%
+6.57%
Simple P&L
-0.49%
+27.60%
Simple P&L
-0.53%
-1.35%
Simple P&L
2025
-2.14%
+1.94%
Simple P&L
+0.50%
-10.21%
Simple P&L
+2.15%
-4.98%
Simple P&L
-0.14%
-4.98%
Simple P&L
-0.05%
+11.11%
Simple P&L
+1.21%
+0.48%
Simple P&L
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2026
••••
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+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

105

Number of Trades

-0.46%

Cumulative Returns

46.67%

Win Rate

2024-01-19

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0.55%

30 Days

0.55%

60 Days

-4.37%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l106570.686.1
Net Profit1647605.861647.611647605.861647.610.00.0
Gross Profit2095963.672095.962095963.672095.960.00.0
Gross Loss448357.8448.36448357.8448.360.00.0
Expected Payoff27925.5227925.520.0
Commission Paid44488.6844488.680.0
Buy & Hold Return499328.02499.33
Buy & Hold % Gain499.33
Strategy Outperformance1148277.84
Max Contracts Held125125.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)113.27113.270.0
Return On Initial Capital1647.611647.610.0
Account Size Required138895.36
Return On Account Size Required1186.221186.220.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)104 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)263983.35263.98
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)954211.25954.21
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)1817877.1495.12
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1817.88
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)79 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)45705.0245.71
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown12.6312.630.77
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)100519.35100.52
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)138895.3616.45
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)138.9
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1540.71540.70.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit43.8543.850.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss23.8523.850.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Total Closed Trades59.059.00.0
Number Winning Trades25.025.00.0
Number Losing Trades34.034.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable42.3742.37
Avg P&l27925.522.0327925.522.03
Avg Winning Trade83838.558.6883838.558.68
Avg Losing Trade13186.992.8613186.992.86
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss6.3586.358
Largest Winning Trade919116.37919116.37
Largest Winning Trade Percent29.8629.86
Largest Losing Trade106938.51106938.51
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.237.23
Avg # Bars In Trades27.027.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades45.045.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.014.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.297
Sortino Ratio3.99
Profit Factor4.6754.675
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit3983934.983983.933983934.983983.930.00.0
Gross Profit6867431.126867.436867431.126867.430.00.0
Gross Loss2883496.132883.52883496.132883.50.00.0
Expected Payoff37942.2437942.240.0
Commission Paid249644.09249644.090.0
Buy & Hold Return1082309.471082.31
Buy & Hold % Gain1082.31
Strategy Outperformance2901625.52
Max Contracts Held156156.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)88.9688.960.0
Return On Initial Capital3983.933983.930.0
Account Size Required867514.04
Return On Account Size Required459.24459.240.0
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)86 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)463038.31463.04
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)1175852.81175.85
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)4673561.0798.04
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)4673.56
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)70 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)257252.49257.25
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown4.594.590.0
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)739979.5739.98
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)867514.0423.94
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)867.51
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss962.03962.030.0
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit13.3813.380.0
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss14.3614.360.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades105.0105.00.0
Number Winning Trades49.049.00.0
Number Losing Trades56.056.00.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable46.6746.67
Avg P&l37942.241.7837942.241.78
Avg Winning Trade140151.666.97140151.666.97
Avg Losing Trade51491.02.7751491.02.77
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.7222.722
Largest Winning Trade919116.37919116.37
Largest Winning Trade Percent29.8629.86
Largest Losing Trade414115.64414115.64
Largest Losing Trade Percent7.237.23
Avg # Bars In Trades28.028.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades45.045.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades14.014.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.281
Sortino Ratio2.688
Profit Factor2.3822.382
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, we can identify several performance metrics that are critical for assessing the trading strategy's effectiveness:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return 3968.79%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 89.07%
Sharpe Ratio 0.284
Profit Factor 2.374
Maximum Drawdown (intrabar) 23.94%
Volatility (Annualized) 334.52%

The strategy presents a strong cumulative return of 3968.79% and an annualized return of 89.07%, indicating outstanding profitability potential. Although the Sharpe Ratio is below the threshold of 0.5 for crypto strategies, suggesting room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance, the Profit Factor of 2.374 is solid, indicating a good balance between profit and loss. The maximum drawdown is within acceptable limits, showing resilience to market downturns.

Strategy Viability

The strategy's performance data suggests it has substantial potential in the realm of cryptocurrency trading. With high gross profits and a robust Profit Factor, it demonstrates the capability to outpace many industry benchmarks. However, the market conditions under which the strategy thrives need identification to ensure its continued viability. Given the high volatility (334.52%), it may perform optimally in volatile market conditions.

Risk Management

The strategy employs some risk management techniques, as inferred from the maximum drawdown of 23.94%, which is comfortably below the 40% threshold. Suggestions for enhancing risk management include:

  • Adjusting leverage usage to further minimize drawdown risks while optimizing returns.
  • Implementing stop-loss strategies to protect against significant losses.
  • Integrating position size adjustments based on real-time market conditions to control volatility impacts.

Improvement Suggestions

Enhancing the strategy's performance can be achieved through several approaches:

  • Optimize entry and exit parameters using adaptive algorithms to increase Sharpe Ratio while maintaining the strong Profit Factor.
  • Conduct further testing with varying levels of leverage to identify the optimal risk-return balance.
  • Expand the range of technical indicators used in the strategy to refine decision-making and trade timing.
  • Include robustness testing across different market cycles to ensure resilience and adaptability.

Final Opinion

This trading strategy exhibits both significant strengths and areas for improvement. Its high returns and solid Profit Factor make it promising in the cryptocurrency market, though the suboptimal Sharpe Ratio indicates potential enhancements in risk-adjusted returns. Reducing leverage and refining risk management practices can further bolster its robustness.

Recommendation: Proceed with cautious optimism, focusing on optimizing and validating the strategy further. Implement suggested improvements to enhance its risk management and adapt it to handle high market volatility more effectively.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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