Volatility Vanguard by @DaviddTech 🤖 [57a7224b]
🛡️ VOLATILITYVANGUARD AAVEUSDT 45M 7.05
@sam
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-05-23 15:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.40
- Sortino Ratio: 1.23
- Calmar: -1.28
- Longest DD Days: 46.00
- Volatility: 53.85
- Skew: 0.98
- Kurtosis: 2.11
- Expected Daily: 0.52
- Expected Monthly: 11.44
- Expected Yearly: 266.84
- Kelly Criterion: 14.88
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.52
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.52
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-24 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 6
- Number Winning Trades 142
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 164
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.28
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.48
- Payoff Ratio: 1.73
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.48
- Tail Ratio: 1.68
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.77
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.25
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.09
- Serenity Index: 8.67
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Net Profit | 372.19% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 49.85% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.396 |
Profit Factor | 1.498 |
Maximum Drawdown | -39.11% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 53.85% |
The strategy shows a commendable cumulative net profit of 372.19% and a solid annualized return of 49.85%. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.396 is slightly below the desired threshold, the Profit Factor at 1.498 suggests overall positive returns. The maximum drawdown of -39.11% is just at the boundary of acceptability. Despite a slightly high volatility, the drawdown stays within the pre-defined risk levels.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data, this strategy is potentially viable for real-world trading, mainly due to its strong cumulative returns and moderate risk factors. It performs respectably compared to typical benchmarks, albeit with opportunities for risk-adjusted improvements. The strategy seems robust under the evaluated market conditions, but it's essential to continuously ensure that these conditions are likely to be repeated or anticipated.
Risk Management
The strategy demonstrates some level of effective risk management, highlighted by a balanced Max Drawdown. However, the Sharpe Ratio suggests there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. Suggested enhancements include:
- Reducing leverage to decrease the maximum drawdown.
- Incorporating additional stop-loss mechanisms to cap potential losses.
- Exploring dynamic position sizing to better handle market shifts and volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Adjust leverage levels to mitigate risk further, thereby improving the Sharpe Ratio.
- Incorporate additional indicators to optimize trade entry and exit decisions for improved outcomes.
- Conduct further testing in different market environments to validate robustness.
- Integrate more sophisticated risk management techniques like VaR adjustments and diversification to handle various market scenarios.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates promising profitability potential with a high cumulative return. Its risk-adjusted performance indicates there is room for improvement, particularly in enhancing the Sharpe Ratio and reducing leverage. A calculated approach to further optimize and validate the strategy is recommended to ensure sustained success across various market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with caution, implementing suggested improvements and engaging in additional testing. Look for opportunities to optimize risk management practices, keeping an eye on the best ways to adapt to evolving market dynamics effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 31.06% | -6.16% | -6.76% | 8.92% | 5.92% | -1.47% | -14.17% | -7.73% |
2022 | 23.06% | 21.32% | -1.13% | -2.92% | 38.42% | 10.80% | 5.99% | 0.61% | 2.37% | 4.60% | 3.10% | 1.95% |
2023 | 1.48% | 3.97% | 8.06% | 0.11% | 0.10% | 4.44% | 5.23% | -0.17% | 2.89% | 5.82% | -1.15% | -2.63% |
2024 | 3.64% | -2.17% | 6.90% | 11.45% | -1.52% | -3.81% | -2.27% | 4.31% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
AAVE
Base Currency
77
Number of Trades
8.78%
Cumulative Returns
40.26%
Win Rate
2024-05-07
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
4.44%
30 Days
5.92%
60 Days
4.19%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 269.67 | 0.06 | ||||
Net Profit | 336581.37 | 336.58 | 128844.52 | 128.84 | 207736.85 | 207.74 |
Gross Profit | 871343.64 | 871.34 | 427501.03 | 427.5 | 443842.61 | 443.84 |
Gross Loss | 534762.27 | 534.76 | 298656.51 | 298.66 | 236105.76 | 236.11 |
Commission Paid | 33030.84 | 17004.02 | 16026.82 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -69554.06 | -69.55 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 345123.01 | 77.72 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 63457.84 | 39.11 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 4314.0 | 4108.0 | 4314.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 229.0 | 120.0 | 109.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 111.0 | 54.0 | 57.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 118.0 | 66.0 | 52.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 48.47 | 45.0 | 52.29 | |||
Avg P&l | 1469.79 | 0.68 | 1073.7 | 0.49 | 1905.84 | 0.89 |
Avg Winning Trade | 7849.94 | 4.32 | 7916.69 | 4.5 | 7786.71 | 4.15 |
Avg Losing Trade | 4531.88 | 2.74 | 4525.1 | 2.78 | 4540.5 | 2.68 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.732 | 1.75 | 1.715 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 18511.79 | 18511.79 | 16114.98 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 7.92 | 7.92 | 6.93 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 11520.73 | 11126.95 | 11520.73 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.09 | 5.08 | 5.09 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 21.0 | 21.0 | 21.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 22.0 | 23.0 | 22.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.442 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.426 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.629 | 1.431 | 1.88 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 372185.96 | 372.19 | 138460.26 | 138.46 | 233725.7 | 233.73 |
Gross Profit | 1119605.81 | 1119.61 | 538175.7 | 538.18 | 581430.12 | 581.43 |
Gross Loss | 747419.85 | 747.42 | 399715.43 | 399.72 | 347704.42 | 347.7 |
Commission Paid | 42959.77 | 21689.76 | 21270.01 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -35186.51 | -35.19 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 384998.21 | 79.56 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 63457.84 | 39.11 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 4314.0 | 4108.0 | 4314.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 306.0 | 158.0 | 148.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 142.0 | 68.0 | 74.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 164.0 | 90.0 | 74.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 46.41 | 43.04 | 50.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 1216.29 | 0.54 | 876.33 | 0.34 | 1579.23 | 0.75 |
Avg Winning Trade | 7884.55 | 4.46 | 7914.35 | 4.62 | 7857.16 | 4.32 |
Avg Losing Trade | 4557.44 | 2.86 | 4441.28 | 2.89 | 4698.71 | 2.82 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.73 | 1.782 | 1.672 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 18511.79 | 18511.79 | 16114.98 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 7.92 | 7.92 | 6.93 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 11520.73 | 11126.95 | 11520.73 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.09 | 5.08 | 5.09 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 21.0 | 20.0 | 22.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 24.0 | 23.0 | 24.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.396 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.226 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.498 | 1.346 | 1.672 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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