Vector Candles [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [85353d3b]
🛡️ VECTORV5 AVAXUSDT 1H
@Reid
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-10-16 18:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.44
- Sortino Ratio: 1.47
- Calmar: -3.36
- Longest DD Days: 133.00
- Volatility: 81.70
- Skew: 1.35
- Kurtosis: 13.80
- Expected Daily: 0.72
- Expected Monthly: 16.22
- Expected Yearly: 507.24
- Kelly Criterion: 19.23
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.63
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -10.55
- Last Trade Date: 2025-01-15 21:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 16
- Number Winning Trades 345
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 148
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.36
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.38
- Payoff Ratio: 0.59
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.38
- Tail Ratio: 1.24
- Outlier Win Ratio: 7.18
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.90
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.13
- Serenity Index: 73.73
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that warrant attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 146.78% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 146.78% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.437 |
Profit Factor | 1.366 |
Maximum Drawdown | 60.15% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 81.94% |
The strategy showcases a healthy cumulative return of 146.78% with a notable annualized return. The Sharpe ratio of 0.437, while slightly below the optimal mark, indicates potential for improvement in risk-adjusted returns with optimization. The maximum drawdown of 60.15% suggests room for enhancement in volatility and risk management, possibly by using less leverage. A profit factor above 1.0 is good, indicating the strategy might be profitable.
Strategy Viability
Although the strategy shows promise with a strong net profit and robust percentage of winning trades (69.8%), the maximum drawdown and Sharpe ratio indicate areas where further refinement could elevate its viability in real-world trading. The historical data suggests this strategy can capitalize on specific market conditions, likely those with higher volatility. It would be beneficial to further analyze if such conditions are expected to persist. A comparison with industry benchmarks points to the need for improvement in risk management metrics.
Risk Management
The existing risk management protocol displays potential for improvement. The significant drawdown highlights a need for refined mechanisms. Recommendations include:
- Implementing dynamic leverage adjustments to better handle drawdowns and manage risk exposure.
- Enhancing stop-loss policies to tighten controls on potential losses.
- Exploring diversification within assets to mitigate strategy-specific risks.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy's performance and risk profile, consider the following enhancements:
- Optimize key parameters to enhance returns and reduce drawdowns, particularly focusing on leverage deployment.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators that can signal better entry and exit points.
- Conduct further robustness testing, including out-of-sample and forward testing, across various market conditions.
- Adjust the risk management strategy to include advanced techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculations and stress tests.
Final Opinion
The strategy demonstrates promising attributes with solid returns and a high win rate. However, it requires optimization due to the comparatively high drawdown and volatile nature. The Sharpe ratio indicates further testing and adjustment can enhance risk-adjusted returns.
Recommendation: Proceed with cautious optimism. Implement recommended improvements and conduct rigorous testing to increase strategy robustness and adaptability, particularly focusing on amplifying the risk management framework to sustain high market volatility effectively.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2024 | -2.72% | -3.07% | -3.93% | 17.39% | 8.04% | 5.50% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 11.84% | 21.23% | -3.13% | 14.64% | 8.82% | -13.71% | -3.53% | 7.25% | -10.67% | 13.98% | -17.07% | 4.81% |
2022 | 36.33% | 6.93% | -2.87% | 71.84% | 12.42% | -0.89% | 23.12% | 9.59% | -23.31% | 42.45% | 4.31% | 18.97% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 35.90% | 54.05% | -0.24% |
Live Trades Stats
AVAX
Base Currency
172
Number of Trades
35.69%
Cumulative Returns
72.09%
Win Rate
2024-02-06
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
3.16%
30 Days
13.51%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,277,338.56 USD | 1,277.34 | 821,406.51 USD | 821.41 | 455,932.05 USD | 455.93 |
Gross Profit | 4,216,037.83 | 4,216.04 | 2,018,494.96 | 2,018.49 | 2,197,542.87 | 2,197.54 |
Gross Loss | 2,938,699.27 | 2,938.70 | 1,197,088.45 | 1,197.09 | 1,741,610.82 | 1,741.61 |
Max Run-up | 1,613,271.96 | 94.17 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 495,480.97 | 60.15 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −39,413.38 | −39.41 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.489 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.786 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.435 | 1.686 | 1.262 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 338,928 | 282,558 | 338,928 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 154,099.38 | 68,567.83 | 85,531.56 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 321 | 137 | 184 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 221 | 94 | 127 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 100 | 43 | 57 | |||
Percent Profitable | 68.85 | 68.61 | 69.02 | |||
Avg Trade | 3,979.25 | 1.38 | 5,995.67 | 1.40 | 2,477.89 | 1.36 |
Avg Winning Trade | 19,077.09 | 3.83 | 21,473.35 | 3.79 | 17,303.49 | 3.87 |
Avg Losing Trade | 29,386.99 | 4.05 | 27,839.27 | 3.84 | 30,554.58 | 4.22 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.649 | 0.771 | 0.566 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 85,538.81 | 6.54 | 85,538.81 | 6.16 | 85,385.68 | 6.54 |
Largest Losing Trade | 115,909.84 | 11.32 | 115,909.84 | 6.34 | 94,134.72 | 11.32 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 20 | 17 | 21 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 18 | 16 | 20 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 22 | 18 | 25 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,801,633.85 USD | 1,801.63 | 951,704.11 USD | 951.70 | 849,929.74 USD | 849.93 |
Gross Profit | 6,612,270.25 | 6,612.27 | 3,179,286.40 | 3,179.29 | 3,432,983.85 | 3,432.98 |
Gross Loss | 4,810,636.40 | 4,810.64 | 2,227,582.29 | 2,227.58 | 2,583,054.12 | 2,583.05 |
Max Run-up | 2,023,252.27 | 95.30 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 580,590.84 | 60.15 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −31,094.26 | −31.09 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.44 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.466 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.375 | 1.427 | 1.329 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 338,928 | 282,558 | 338,928 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 246,113.90 | 117,793.43 | 128,320.47 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 493 | 222 | 271 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 345 | 154 | 191 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 148 | 68 | 80 | |||
Percent Profitable | 69.98 | 69.37 | 70.48 | |||
Avg Trade | 3,654.43 | 1.49 | 4,286.96 | 1.48 | 3,136.27 | 1.50 |
Avg Winning Trade | 19,166.00 | 3.83 | 20,644.72 | 3.77 | 17,973.74 | 3.87 |
Avg Losing Trade | 32,504.30 | 3.96 | 32,758.56 | 3.73 | 32,288.18 | 4.17 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.59 | 0.63 | 0.557 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 86,080.43 | 6.63 | 85,538.81 | 6.19 | 86,080.43 | 6.63 |
Largest Losing Trade | 130,454.18 | 11.32 | 115,909.84 | 6.34 | 130,454.18 | 11.32 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 21 | 17 | 25 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 21 | 16 | 24 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 23 | 20 | 26 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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