Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [025bc21d]
🛡️ MICHONNEV5 PHBUSDT 1H 23.4 @reid
TREND FOLOWING
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2023-07-24 17:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.38
- Sortino Ratio: 0.94
- Calmar: -1.82
- Longest DD Days: 14.00
- Volatility: 40.24
- Skew: -1.21
- Kurtosis: 0.61
- Expected Daily: 0.82
- Expected Monthly: 18.75
- Expected Yearly: 686.26
- Kelly Criterion: 35.58
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.02
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.21
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-31 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 18
- Number Winning Trades 46
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 15
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.82
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.89
- Payoff Ratio: 0.62
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.89
- Tail Ratio: 0.76
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 1.71
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.06
- Serenity Index: 2.60
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit our detailed attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 63.23% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.383 |
Profit Factor | 1.937 |
Maximum Drawdown | 20.14% |
Percent Profitable | 75.41% |
CAGR | 33.71% |
The strategy shows a respectable net profit of 63.23% and a CAGR of 33.71%, indicating strong growth potential. The Profit Factor of 1.937 suggests a sound ability to generate returns that exceed losses. However, a Sharpe Ratio of 0.383 indicates that there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns, though still commendable in the volatile crypto market. Importantly, the maximum drawdown of 20.14% is within acceptable limits, suggesting good risk management.
Strategy Viability
The data suggests that the strategy is potentially viable for real-world trading, particularly given its 75.41% win rate and ability to maintain a low drawdown. The strategy appears to manage risk effectively while achieving consistent gains. However, the Sharpe Ratio indicates that returns could be further optimized for risk. Market conditions could fluctuate, and ensuring the strategy is robust across various scenarios will be key moving forward.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management is demonstrated by its contained drawdown at 20.14%. Yet, there are opportunities for enhancing risk management:
- Utilize dynamic position sizing that accounts for current market volatility to reduce potential exposure risks.
- Implement more refined stop-loss measures to further protect against downside risks.
- Consider diversification across additional crypto pairs to mitigate specific risks.
Improvement Suggestions
For enhancing the strategy’s robustness and performance, consider the following suggestions:
- Optimize the parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio, aiming for higher risk-adjusted returns.
- Incorporate advanced technical indicators to fine-tune entry and exit points, potentially improving the profitability.
- Engage in thorough out-of-sample backtesting and forward testing to ensure reliability across different market conditions.
- Consider reducing leverage if necessary to minimize drawdowns, especially during highly volatile periods.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy shows promise with strong profitability and a good ability to manage drawdowns. The high win rate and respectable CAGR are strengths that suggest that this strategy can be effective. However, enhancing risk-adjusted returns and testing across diverse market conditions will be crucial for long-term success.
Recommendation: Proceed with further refinement and comprehensive testing. Focus on improving risk management and optimizing returns to ensure sustainable applicability across varying market dynamics.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.38% | -3.65% | -1.45% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.93% |
2024 | 0.00% | 17.80% | 0.00% | 11.17% | 0.00% | 2.01% | 0.00% | 8.96% | -0.07% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
PHB
Base Currency
28
Number of Trades
8.78%
Cumulative Returns
67.86%
Win Rate
2024-04-23
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
8.34%
30 Days
6.34%
60 Days
3.17%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 51447.21 | 51.45 | 26752.9 | 26.75 | 24694.31 | 24.69 |
Gross Profit | 65280.53 | 65.28 | 35211.86 | 35.21 | 30068.67 | 30.07 |
Gross Loss | 13833.32 | 13.83 | 8458.96 | 8.46 | 5374.35 | 5.37 |
Commission Paid | 1147.45 | 694.43 | 453.02 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 201676.92 | 201.68 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 51486.93 | 34.0 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 9765.01 | 9.08 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 190154.0 | 174842.0 | 190154.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 33.0 | 22.0 | 11.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 27.0 | 18.0 | 9.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 81.82 | 81.82 | 81.82 | |||
Avg P&l | 1559.01 | 4.44 | 1216.04 | 3.58 | 2244.94 | 6.15 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2417.8 | 6.28 | 1956.21 | 5.38 | 3340.96 | 8.08 |
Avg Losing Trade | 2305.55 | 3.84 | 2114.74 | 4.49 | 2687.18 | 2.53 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.049 | 0.925 | 1.243 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 5983.45 | 4201.9 | 5983.45 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 12.54 | 10.23 | 12.54 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 3654.73 | 3264.52 | 3654.73 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 8.64 | 8.64 | 3.41 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 40.0 | 26.0 | 67.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 35.0 | 19.0 | 67.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 59.0 | 55.0 | 67.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.569 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.242 | |||||
Profit Factor | 4.719 | 4.163 | 5.595 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 63229.58 | 63.23 | 12533.64 | 12.53 | 50695.94 | 50.7 |
Gross Profit | 130687.92 | 130.69 | 43117.5 | 43.12 | 87570.43 | 87.57 |
Gross Loss | 67458.34 | 67.46 | 30583.86 | 30.58 | 36874.48 | 36.87 |
Commission Paid | 2926.63 | 1343.12 | 1583.52 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -37461.54 | -37.46 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 90230.19 | 47.44 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 37154.12 | 20.14 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 282614.0 | 245550.0 | 282614.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 61.0 | 31.0 | 30.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 46.0 | 22.0 | 24.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 15.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 75.41 | 70.97 | 80.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 1036.55 | 3.85 | 404.31 | 2.46 | 1689.86 | 5.29 |
Avg Winning Trade | 2841.04 | 6.42 | 1959.89 | 5.1 | 3648.77 | 7.64 |
Avg Losing Trade | 4497.22 | 4.03 | 3398.21 | 4.0 | 6145.75 | 4.08 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.632 | 0.577 | 0.594 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 6348.92 | 4201.9 | 6348.92 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 12.54 | 10.23 | 12.54 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 9749.29 | 9749.29 | 8362.24 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 8.64 | 8.64 | 5.15 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 34.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 31.0 | 20.0 | 42.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 41.0 | 46.0 | 35.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.383 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.936 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.937 | 1.41 | 2.375 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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