BotifyX 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [9fe97fff]
🛡️ TRENDHOO BTCUSDT 2H
@oleg_plotnikov
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-10-23 07:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.09
- Sortino Ratio: 0.14
- Calmar: 0.02
- Longest DD Days: 308.00
- Volatility: 1.74
- Skew: 0.32
- Kurtosis: 2.25
- Expected Daily: 0.00
- Expected Monthly: -0.01
- Expected Yearly: -0.10
- Kelly Criterion: -0.57
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.15
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.24
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-09 22:45:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 5
- Number Winning Trades 354
- Max Consecutive Losses: 9
- Number Losing Trades: 469
- Gain/Pain Ratio: 0.02
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.99
- Payoff Ratio: 1.31
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.99
- Tail Ratio: 1.15
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.16
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 4.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.02
- Serenity Index: -0.01
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, a detailed examination of the strategy's quantitative metrics reveals areas of importance:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 10.9% |
Annualized Return (CAGR) | 3% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.136 |
Profit Factor | 1.003 |
Maximum Drawdown | 87.32% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 1.76 |
The strategy shows a modest net profit of 10.9% and a low CAGR of 3%, which suggests underwhelming long-term growth potential. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.136 and Profit Factor of 1.003 reveal a challenge in achieving substantial risk-adjusted returns, highlighting the importance of enhancing the strategy's efficiency. The maximum drawdown of 87.32% is notably higher than the acceptable threshold, indicating significant exposure to potential losses.
Strategy Viability
Based on the current performance metrics, the strategy might face challenges in real-world trading under its current configuration. The high drawdown and low risk-adjusted returns signal a need for adjustment. While market conditions may evolve, continuous monitoring and adaptation are critical to identify opportunities for optimized performance. Comparing to industry benchmarks, the strategy needs considerable refinements to be deemed viable.
Risk Management
Risk management emerges as a pivotal area for improvement. The high drawdown suggests that the strategy may not be well-equipped to handle adverse market situations. To enhance its risk management framework, consider the following:
- Reduce leverage to mitigate drawdowns effectively and enhance stability.
- Implement stringent stop-loss limits to protect against severe downturns.
- Adopt dynamic position sizing to adjust for volatility fluctuations.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy’s efficiency and resilience, consider the following recommendations:
- Refine strategy parameters and optimize trading algorithms to lower drawdown levels.
- Expand the use of diverse indicators to support decision-making and improve trade signals.
- Engage in thorough out-of-sample and stress testing to verify the strategy’s robustness across various scenarios.
- Explore sophisticated risk management methods, such as Value-at-Risk calculations and Monte Carlo simulations, to understand potential future risks better.
Final Opinion
In conclusion, while the strategy shows potential, it currently faces significant challenges, particularly in terms of drawdowns and risk-adjustment metrics. To unlock its full potential, thorough revisions are necessary, focusing on robust risk management and parameter optimization. With dedicated efforts to enhance various facets of the strategy, it could be rendered viable and competitive.
Recommendation: I recommend pausing real-world deployment until further testing and refinements are completed. Prioritizing a robust risk management overhaul and systematic evaluation will be key in developing a strategy ready for practical application.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -35.70% | -44.41% | -40.39% | 37.03% | 8.61% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | -51.16% | -11.46% | 1.27% | 4.88% | 26.23% | 15.37% | 38.88% | 30.07% | 22.18% | 16.29% | 14.60% | 31.42% |
2022 | 24.43% | -28.44% | -22.56% | 34.32% | -10.43% | 16.51% | -17.48% | -9.03% | 8.82% | 58.52% | 17.62% | 46.74% |
2021 | -2.26% | -22.71% | 51.44% | 30.84% | -11.12% | 23.65% | -24.99% | 0.57% | -9.10% | -33.30% | -4.33% | 43.37% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -10.83% | 12.17% | 1.71% |
Live Trades Stats
LINK
Base Currency
192
Number of Trades
-180.39%
Cumulative Returns
37.5%
Win Rate
2024-01-03
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-24.01%
30 Days
-26.19%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 4,274.57 USD | 427.46 | 3,452.91 USD | 345.29 | 821.67 USD | 82.17 |
Gross Profit | 25,466.91 | 2,546.69 | 13,117.67 | 1,311.77 | 12,349.24 | 1,234.92 |
Gross Loss | 21,192.34 | 2,119.23 | 9,664.76 | 966.48 | 11,527.57 | 1,152.76 |
Max Run-up | 4,917.41 | 89.45 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1,337.39 | 69.31 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 254.89 | 25.49 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.269 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.566 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.202 | 1.357 | 1.071 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 3,645 | 3,645 | 3,035 | |||
Open PL | −181.65 | −3.44 | ||||
Commission Paid | 2,113.48 | 1,077.24 | 1,036.24 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 631 | 310 | 321 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 282 | 141 | 141 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 349 | 169 | 180 | |||
Percent Profitable | 44.69 | 45.48 | 43.93 | |||
Avg Trade | 6.77 | 0.06 | 11.14 | 0.07 | 2.56 | 0.04 |
Avg Winning Trade | 90.31 | 2.50 | 93.03 | 2.27 | 87.58 | 2.74 |
Avg Losing Trade | 60.72 | 1.92 | 57.19 | 1.76 | 64.04 | 2.07 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.487 | 1.627 | 1.368 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 457.91 | 5.88 | 456.82 | 5.29 | 457.91 | 5.88 |
Largest Losing Trade | 430.36 | 4.06 | 296.79 | 3.84 | 430.36 | 4.06 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 24 | 22 | 26 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 26 | 23 | 30 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 23 | 22 | 23 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | −440.85 USD | −44.08 | 748.25 USD | 74.83 | −1,189.10 USD | −118.91 |
Gross Profit | 34,300.17 | 3,430.02 | 17,375.06 | 1,737.51 | 16,925.12 | 1,692.51 |
Gross Loss | 34,741.02 | 3,474.10 | 16,626.80 | 1,662.68 | 18,114.22 | 1,811.42 |
Max Run-up | 4,917.41 | 89.45 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 4,851.39 | 89.67 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 815.20 | 81.52 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.085 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.143 | |||||
Profit Factor | 0.987 | 1.045 | 0.934 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 3,645 | 3,645 | 3,035 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 3,167.32 | 1,617.99 | 1,549.33 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 823 | 405 | 418 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 354 | 179 | 175 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 469 | 226 | 243 | |||
Percent Profitable | 43.01 | 44.20 | 41.87 | |||
Avg Trade | −0.54 | −0.02 | 1.85 | 0.03 | −2.84 | −0.06 |
Avg Winning Trade | 96.89 | 2.41 | 97.07 | 2.23 | 96.71 | 2.60 |
Avg Losing Trade | 74.07 | 1.85 | 73.57 | 1.71 | 74.54 | 1.98 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.308 | 1.319 | 1.297 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 457.91 | 5.88 | 456.82 | 5.29 | 457.91 | 5.88 |
Largest Losing Trade | 500.47 | 4.07 | 328.85 | 3.84 | 500.47 | 4.07 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 25 | 23 | 26 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 26 | 24 | 29 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 23 | 23 | 24 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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