🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [3efceee5]
🛡️ TRENDHOO ETHUSDT 30M 21.05 @kubajs
TREND FOLOWING
90 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-11-06 01:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.36
- Sortino Ratio: 0.99
- Calmar: -1.40
- Longest DD Days: 88.00
- Volatility: 38.55
- Skew: 0.65
- Kurtosis: 2.54
- Expected Daily: 0.35
- Expected Monthly: 7.59
- Expected Yearly: 140.71
- Kelly Criterion: 13.89
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.02
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.58
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-10 17:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 9
- Number Winning Trades 173
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 165
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.40
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.37
- Payoff Ratio: 1.31
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.37
- Tail Ratio: 1.47
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.29
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.50
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.07
- Serenity Index: 6.94
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 201.45% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 28.29% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.358 |
Profit Factor | 1.37 |
Maximum Drawdown | 21.07% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 38.55% |
The strategy presents a cumulative return of 201.45% and an annualized return of 28.29%, indicating a solid performance. However, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.358 suggests there is room for improvement in the risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown of 21.07% is within acceptable limits, making the strategy more resilient to losing periods. The Profit Factor of 1.37, which indicates a reasonable distribution of profits over losses, supports a positive outlook for the strategy.
Strategy Viability
Based on the provided metrics, this strategy holds potential for real-world trading. While it shows a favorable performance in terms of return, the below-average Sharpe Ratio indicates the need for optimization to improve risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown figure remains below critical levels, suggesting effective risk containment. The strategy is viable, especially in stable to bull market conditions where return-seeking behavior thrives, but it may require adjustments to handle varied market environments.
Risk Management
The strategy’s risk management appears fundamental, as indicated by its maximum drawdown of 21.07% and the Gain/Pain Ratio of 1.37. Here are potential improvements:
- Introducing less leverage could further decrease the maximum drawdown, maintaining capital resilience during downturns.
- Consider employing additional stop-loss mechanisms to limit exposure during high volatility.
- Implement a dynamic position sizing model that adjusts based on market conditions to reduce exposure during periods of elevated risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Refine strategy parameters such as entry and exit signals to improve the Sharpe Ratio.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators like moving averages or momentum oscillators to fine-tune market entry and exit points.
- Conduct more in-depth backtesting with out-of-sample data to improve confidence in the strategy's robustness.
- Further explore incorporating advanced risk measures, such as stress testing against extreme market events, to better understand potential risks.
Final Opinion
This trading strategy demonstrates good potential with considerable returns and acceptable drawdown levels. Nevertheless, boosting risk-adjusted performance and fine-tuning risk management are imperative to maximize its effectiveness. Increasing the Sharpe Ratio through optimization and better risk management tactics will enhance long-term viability.
Recommendation: Proceed with further in-depth analysis and refine the strategy parameters to improve risk-adjusted returns. Employ risk management enhancements to ensure robust performance across diverse market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.84% | -0.28% |
2021 | 7.89% | 11.93% | -4.05% | 1.49% | 15.18% | 4.22% | -2.77% | 2.82% | 8.17% | -3.30% | 4.76% | -4.71% |
2022 | 11.95% | -0.86% | 4.26% | 0.46% | 7.73% | 22.14% | -0.20% | 1.38% | -0.78% | 1.60% | 9.44% | 0.00% |
2023 | -2.30% | -1.19% | 0.21% | 2.34% | -2.63% | 0.73% | 1.48% | 1.70% | 0.17% | 1.05% | 2.22% | 2.49% |
2024 | 3.36% | 7.03% | 7.34% | -3.76% | 0.41% | -4.20% | -5.76% | -1.83% | -2.51% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
ETH
Base Currency
73
Number of Trades
0.4%
Cumulative Returns
46.58%
Win Rate
2024-05-21
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
7.22%
30 Days
10.98%
60 Days
11.81%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | -360.97 | -0.12 | ||||
Net Profit | 205035.28 | 205.04 | 115130.53 | 115.13 | 89904.75 | 89.9 |
Gross Profit | 575472.74 | 575.47 | 240692.19 | 240.69 | 334780.55 | 334.78 |
Gross Loss | 370437.47 | 370.44 | 125561.66 | 125.56 | 244875.8 | 244.88 |
Commission Paid | 13611.86 | 5377.43 | 8234.42 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 814952.36 | 814.95 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 223646.08 | 69.11 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 22674.59 | 11.95 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 105.0 | 105.0 | 92.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 265.0 | 108.0 | 157.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 139.0 | 54.0 | 85.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 126.0 | 54.0 | 72.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 52.45 | 50.0 | 54.14 | |||
Avg P&l | 773.72 | 1.1 | 1066.02 | 1.59 | 572.64 | 0.76 |
Avg Winning Trade | 4140.09 | 6.54 | 4457.26 | 7.38 | 3938.59 | 6.01 |
Avg Losing Trade | 2939.98 | 4.9 | 2325.22 | 4.2 | 3401.05 | 5.43 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.408 | 1.917 | 1.158 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 17457.07 | 17457.07 | 15294.58 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 26.93 | 26.93 | 26.35 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 14516.76 | 6592.83 | 14516.76 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 20.68 | 12.48 | 20.68 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 41.0 | 43.0 | 40.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 43.0 | 55.0 | 36.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 38.0 | 30.0 | 44.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.47 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.72 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.553 | 1.917 | 1.367 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 201448.44 | 201.45 | 106479.24 | 106.48 | 94969.2 | 94.97 |
Gross Profit | 745979.47 | 745.98 | 271374.93 | 271.37 | 474604.54 | 474.6 |
Gross Loss | 544531.03 | 544.53 | 164895.69 | 164.9 | 379635.34 | 379.64 |
Commission Paid | 18765.52 | 6610.49 | 12155.03 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 297600.03 | 297.6 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 223646.08 | 69.11 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 67495.19 | 21.07 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 105.0 | 105.0 | 92.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 338.0 | 129.0 | 209.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 173.0 | 61.0 | 112.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 165.0 | 68.0 | 97.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 51.18 | 47.29 | 53.59 | |||
Avg P&l | 596.0 | 0.86 | 825.42 | 1.3 | 454.4 | 0.58 |
Avg Winning Trade | 4312.02 | 6.28 | 4448.77 | 7.2 | 4237.54 | 5.78 |
Avg Losing Trade | 3300.19 | 4.83 | 2424.94 | 3.99 | 3913.77 | 5.42 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.307 | 1.835 | 1.083 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 17457.07 | 17457.07 | 15294.58 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 26.93 | 26.93 | 26.35 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 15249.46 | 7677.45 | 15249.46 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 20.68 | 12.48 | 20.68 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 39.0 | 44.0 | 36.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 39.0 | 54.0 | 31.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 39.0 | 35.0 | 41.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.358 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.987 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.37 | 1.646 | 1.25 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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