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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
  • Home
  • Free Indicators
  • Docs & Tools
    • Documentation
    • Risk Calculator
    • Win Rate Calendar
    • Submit A Feature/Bug
    • Bug & Feature Tracker
    • Bybit Slippage Calculator

mcginley trend btcusdt 1h

  • Homepage
TREND FOLOWING 1 hour @jerryV
● Live

🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [09b15d48]

🛡️ MCGINLEY TREND BTCUSDT 1H

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - January 17, 2024
0

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +3.98% Updated 1 hour ago
Total Return Primary
179.99%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
18.1%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
🔒
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.189
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-58.61%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
569
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 12, 2020
1,898
Days
569
Trades
Last Trade
May 22, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-04-12 22:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.23
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.47
  • Calmar: -0.90
  • Longest DD Days: 118.00
  • Volatility: 49.25
  • Skew: 3.52
  • Kurtosis: 16.71
  • Expected Daily: 0.24
  • Expected Monthly: 5.25
  • Expected Yearly: 84.77
  • Kelly Criterion: 3.14
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.83
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -2.34
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-22 08:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 3
  • Number Winning Trades 103
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 26
  • Number Losing Trades: 466
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.90
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.21
  • Payoff Ratio: 5.36
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.21
  • Tail Ratio: 3.49
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 1.96
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.11
  • Serenity Index: 3.62

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators


Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%0.00%10.01%-5.60%-6.02%5.97%-3.79%0.87%8.36%4.81%15.67%
20214.57%22.02%-5.56%1.34%10.95%0.46%-7.66%-7.30%-7.32%19.34%3.58%-10.42%
202211.97%-4.31%-4.81%0.65%-5.16%25.20%2.99%5.90%-3.12%-3.81%6.20%-1.67%
20237.89%7.33%1.79%15.19%1.97%8.97%-3.14%-2.73%-6.02%11.52%0.00%17.12%
2024-4.27%10.23%-4.72%-10.51%4.27%4.66%5.33%2.61%-6.07%-0.61%5.99%••••Login to see results
2025••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results••••Login to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

163

Number of Trades

-16%

Cumulative Returns

15.95%

Win Rate

2024-01-03

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-6.58%

30 Days

25.62%

60 Days

-16.13%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit238598.7238.6199352.76199.3539245.9439.25
Gross Profit759699.95759.7427540.93427.54332159.03332.16
Gross Loss521101.25521.1228188.16228.19292913.09292.91
Commission Paid42960.6618632.9424327.72
Buy & Hold Return554258.6554.26
Max Equity Run-up274101.6474.25
Max Drawdown42174.3822.96
Max Contracts Held11.010.011.0
Total Closed Trades407.0181.0226.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades77.032.045.0
Number Losing Trades330.0149.0181.0
Percent Profitable18.9217.6819.91
Avg P&l586.240.471101.40.86173.650.15
Avg Winning Trade9866.237.7313360.6510.487381.315.77
Avg Losing Trade1579.091.231531.461.21618.31.25
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss6.2488.7244.561
Largest Winning Trade51365.0151365.0122116.68
Largest Winning Trade Percent32.8332.8314.86
Largest Losing Trade5926.965221.115926.96
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.334.334.04
Avg # Bars In Trades28.041.017.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades68.0132.023.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades18.021.016.0
Sharpe Ratio0.344
Sortino Ratio0.843
Profit Factor1.4581.8741.134
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit179993.23179.99193180.04193.18-13186.8-13.19
Gross Profit1131716.31131.72617474.94617.47514241.36514.24
Gross Loss951723.07951.72424294.9424.29527428.17527.43
Commission Paid75717.7133177.9342539.78
Buy & Hold Return1421717.311421.72
Max Equity Run-up332878.6477.79
Max Drawdown129468.8631.62
Max Contracts Held11.010.011.0
Total Closed Trades569.0253.0316.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades103.041.062.0
Number Losing Trades466.0212.0254.0
Percent Profitable18.116.2119.62
Avg P&l316.330.3763.560.62-41.730.04
Avg Winning Trade10987.547.2215060.3610.078294.225.34
Avg Losing Trade2042.321.232001.391.212076.491.25
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss5.387.5253.994
Largest Winning Trade51365.0151365.0129589.42
Largest Winning Trade Percent32.8332.8314.86
Largest Losing Trade9966.659077.299966.65
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.334.334.04
Avg # Bars In Trades26.039.015.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades60.0120.020.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades18.023.014.0
Sharpe Ratio0.225
Sortino Ratio0.473
Profit Factor1.1891.4550.975
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several key performance metrics stand out:

Metric Strategy Value
Cumulative Return 185.53%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 24.13%
Sharpe Ratio 0.229
Profit Factor 1.196
Maximum Drawdown -30.27%
Volatility (Annualized) 49.25%
Percent Profitable 18.2%

The strategy showcases a solid cumulative return of 185.53% with an annualized return of 24.13%. However, the Sharpe ratio of 0.229 indicates that there may be room for improvement in terms of risk-adjusted returns. Additionally, the maximum drawdown of -30.27% is within acceptable levels but suggests careful monitoring. The profit factor of 1.196 indicates that for every $1 lost, you earn approximately $1.20, showing a positive edge.

Strategy Viability

Based on these metrics, the strategy demonstrates potential for real-world application, given its robust cumulative return. However, the Sharpe ratio and profit factor denote the need for improvements in optimizing risk-adjusted profitability. The low win rate suggests that the strategy relies heavily on large winning trades to drive returns, which could be risky in fluctuating market environments. Market conditions under which the strategy operates optimally need further exploration to ensure long-term viability.

Risk Management

The strategy maintains a reasonable maximum drawdown, which can be further optimized by employing the following risk management approaches:

  • Reducing leverage to decrease excess exposure, which can easily lower the max drawdown.
  • Incorporating more robust stop-loss mechanisms to safeguard against larger losses.
  • Implementing dynamic position sizing based on volatility and market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

For enhancing strategy performance and resilience, consider these recommendations:

  • Optimize entry and exit parameters to increase the Sharpe ratio and profitability.
  • Assess diversification across different cryptocurrencies to mitigate unsystematic risk.
  • Conduct out-of-sample testing to ensure robustness in varying market environments.
  • Incorporate advanced risk assessment tools or indicators to better align with market trends.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy has strong aspects with a promising cumulative return and acceptable drawdown. Although the risk-adjusted returns currently lag behind optimal levels, addressing the focus areas above will likely yield improvements. Adjusting the leverage and optimizing various parameters could enhance the resilience and scalability of the strategy in real-world trading conditions.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications and optimizations as outlined, focusing on solidifying the risk management framework and exploring further enhancements to maximize the strategy's potential. Continued testing and assessment are essential in adapting to evolving market dynamics.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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How-to import CSV files.

After Downloading the optimiser and installing it on your chrome browser, follow the steps in this video to upload the settings.

The settings will of started to download in the background.

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Download Optimiser 🟢 https://chromewebstore.google.com/detail/the-optimiser-tradingview/emcpjechgmpcnjphefjekmdlaljbiegp

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To copy other members charts, is simple:

  • A new window in TradingView will of opened.
  • Simply navigate to the top right corner and click "copy" like in the image below.
  • This will copy the chart to your TradingView with all the shared settings.

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