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DaviddTech
DaviddTech
Traders should know
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igorek AIneuralnetwork btcusdt 30m 04.06

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AI (Neural network) X 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [65cf3bae]

🛡️ AINEURALNETWORK BTCUSDT 30M 04.06 @igorek

EXTERNAL INDICATORS
30 minutes

by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 4 hours ago

2928.51%

Net Profit

38.39%

Win Rate

521

Total Closed Trades

2.164

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

0% 😐

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-03-31 00:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.42
  • Sortino Ratio: 2.75
  • Calmar: -6.13
  • Longest DD Days: 100.00
  • Volatility: 79.77
  • Skew: 4.74
  • Kurtosis: 28.71
  • Expected Daily: 0.75
  • Expected Monthly: 16.92
  • Expected Yearly: 552.61
  • Kelly Criterion: 18.70
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.71
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.80
  • Last Trade Date: 2024-02-27 01:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 7
  • Number Winning Trades 200
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 22
  • Number Losing Trades: 321
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -6.13
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.96
  • Payoff Ratio: 3.17
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.96
  • Tail Ratio: 3.22
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 6.71
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 12.10
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.09
  • Serenity Index: 186.78

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Net Profit 2928.51%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 139.11%
Sharpe Ratio 0.418
Profit Factor 2.164
Maximum Drawdown -23.12%
Volatility (Annualized) 79.77%

The strategy exhibits strong cumulative net profit of 2928.51% and a respectable annualized return of 139.11%. The Profit Factor of 2.164 is impressive, suggesting that the strategy earns more than two times what it loses. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.418 is slightly below the desired 0.5 level, it is worth noting the strategy operates in the highly volatile crypto market, which inherently has added risk factors. The maximum drawdown of -23.12% is well within acceptable ranges, indicating manageable risk levels.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy is viable for real-world trading, mainly due to its high returns and robust profit factor. While the Sharpe ratio indicates there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance, the strategy's capacity to sustain low drawdowns relative to potential gains makes it a promising choice in volatile crypto markets. It’s essential to consider that market conditions could influence future performance, and continuous monitoring will be vital.

Risk Management

The strategy has evident strengths in risk management, as suggested by the gain-pain ratio of 1.96 and low drawdown figures. However, given the high annualized volatility of 79.77%, there remains potential for further enhancement:

  • Reduce leverage to lower maximum drawdown potential, improving the overall risk profile.
  • Implement tighter stop-loss mechanisms to minimize potential large losses on individual trades.
  • Consider a diversified range of trading assets or approaches to buffer against systemic market downturns.

Improvement Suggestions

To amplify performance and fortify strategy robustness, here are several actionable suggestions:

  • Optimize strategy parameters for better alignment with current market conditions, thereby increasing returns and lowering drawdowns.
  • Expand the methodological base to include more advanced technical indicators, refining entry and exit signals.
  • Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure the strategy holds across varied and evolving market situations.
  • Enhance the risk management framework via value-at-risk (VaR) adjustments and stress testing, preparing for unexpected market moves.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy shows strong performance with high returns and a favorable profit factor, managing risk effectively through controlled drawdowns. Despite some volatility and a slightly below-target Sharpe ratio, these issues are addressable with the outlined improvements.

Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement the suggested improvements to enhance robustness and refine the risk management framework to better handle market volatility.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20200.00%0.00%11.07%26.30%-0.60%0.11%0.00%-2.40%1.17%0.58%-5.63%-6.97%
202115.21%4.93%-0.91%4.62%-5.01%0.77%-1.09%58.74%-0.62%84.84%-7.95%-3.10%
20220.14%21.78%22.16%-7.26%1.83%-7.13%50.84%17.60%-2.47%13.28%-2.95%17.40%
20236.76%-1.43%-11.27%29.52%6.70%29.00%-2.48%-1.86%1.90%22.55%2.13%4.20%
2024-0.52%15.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%Login to see resultsLogin to see results

Live Trades Stats

BTC

Base Currency

0

Number of Trades

0%

Cumulative Returns

0%

Win Rate

2024-06-04

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

0%

30 Days

0%

60 Days

0%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit2928514.212928.512928514.212928.510.00.0
Gross Profit5443531.715443.535443531.715443.530.00.0
Gross Loss2515017.52515.022515017.52515.020.00.0
Commission Paid254303.23254303.230.0
Buy & Hold Return1016960.411016.96
Max Equity Run-up3050507.5696.83
Max Drawdown574334.0623.12
Max Contracts Held327.0327.00.0
Total Closed Trades521.0521.00.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades200.0200.00.0
Number Losing Trades321.0321.00.0
Percent Profitable38.3938.39
Avg P&l5620.950.255620.950.25
Avg Winning Trade27217.663.3427217.663.34
Avg Losing Trade7834.951.677834.951.67
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss3.4743.474
Largest Winning Trade777358.08777358.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent17.5717.57
Largest Losing Trade183370.15183370.15
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.546.54
Avg # Bars In Trades41.041.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades57.057.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades31.031.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.418
Sortino Ratio2.75
Profit Factor2.1642.164
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit2928514.212928.512928514.212928.510.00.0
Gross Profit5443531.715443.535443531.715443.530.00.0
Gross Loss2515017.52515.022515017.52515.020.00.0
Commission Paid254303.23254303.230.0
Buy & Hold Return1614313.071614.31
Max Equity Run-up3050507.5696.83
Max Drawdown574334.0623.12
Max Contracts Held327.0327.00.0
Total Closed Trades521.0521.00.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades200.0200.00.0
Number Losing Trades321.0321.00.0
Percent Profitable38.3938.39
Avg P&l5620.950.255620.950.25
Avg Winning Trade27217.663.3427217.663.34
Avg Losing Trade7834.951.677834.951.67
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss3.4743.474
Largest Winning Trade777358.08777358.08
Largest Winning Trade Percent17.5717.57
Largest Losing Trade183370.15183370.15
Largest Losing Trade Percent6.546.54
Avg # Bars In Trades41.041.00.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades57.057.00.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades31.031.00.0
Sharpe Ratio0.418
Sortino Ratio2.75
Profit Factor2.1642.164
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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