AI (Neural network) X 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [65cf3bae]
🛡️ AINEURALNETWORK BTCUSDT 30M 04.06 @igorek
EXTERNAL INDICATORS
30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 4 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-31 00:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.42
- Sortino Ratio: 2.75
- Calmar: -6.13
- Longest DD Days: 100.00
- Volatility: 79.77
- Skew: 4.74
- Kurtosis: 28.71
- Expected Daily: 0.75
- Expected Monthly: 16.92
- Expected Yearly: 552.61
- Kelly Criterion: 18.70
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.71
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.80
- Last Trade Date: 2024-02-27 01:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 200
- Max Consecutive Losses: 22
- Number Losing Trades: 321
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -6.13
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.96
- Payoff Ratio: 3.17
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.96
- Tail Ratio: 3.22
- Outlier Win Ratio: 6.71
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 12.10
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.09
- Serenity Index: 186.78
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Net Profit | 2928.51% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 139.11% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.418 |
Profit Factor | 2.164 |
Maximum Drawdown | -23.12% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 79.77% |
The strategy exhibits strong cumulative net profit of 2928.51% and a respectable annualized return of 139.11%. The Profit Factor of 2.164 is impressive, suggesting that the strategy earns more than two times what it loses. Although the Sharpe Ratio of 0.418 is slightly below the desired 0.5 level, it is worth noting the strategy operates in the highly volatile crypto market, which inherently has added risk factors. The maximum drawdown of -23.12% is well within acceptable ranges, indicating manageable risk levels.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy is viable for real-world trading, mainly due to its high returns and robust profit factor. While the Sharpe ratio indicates there is room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance, the strategy's capacity to sustain low drawdowns relative to potential gains makes it a promising choice in volatile crypto markets. It’s essential to consider that market conditions could influence future performance, and continuous monitoring will be vital.
Risk Management
The strategy has evident strengths in risk management, as suggested by the gain-pain ratio of 1.96 and low drawdown figures. However, given the high annualized volatility of 79.77%, there remains potential for further enhancement:
- Reduce leverage to lower maximum drawdown potential, improving the overall risk profile.
- Implement tighter stop-loss mechanisms to minimize potential large losses on individual trades.
- Consider a diversified range of trading assets or approaches to buffer against systemic market downturns.
Improvement Suggestions
To amplify performance and fortify strategy robustness, here are several actionable suggestions:
- Optimize strategy parameters for better alignment with current market conditions, thereby increasing returns and lowering drawdowns.
- Expand the methodological base to include more advanced technical indicators, refining entry and exit signals.
- Conduct out-of-sample and forward-testing to ensure the strategy holds across varied and evolving market situations.
- Enhance the risk management framework via value-at-risk (VaR) adjustments and stress testing, preparing for unexpected market moves.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy shows strong performance with high returns and a favorable profit factor, managing risk effectively through controlled drawdowns. Despite some volatility and a slightly below-target Sharpe ratio, these issues are addressable with the outlined improvements.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement the suggested improvements to enhance robustness and refine the risk management framework to better handle market volatility.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.07% | 26.30% | -0.60% | 0.11% | 0.00% | -2.40% | 1.17% | 0.58% | -5.63% | -6.97% |
2021 | 15.21% | 4.93% | -0.91% | 4.62% | -5.01% | 0.77% | -1.09% | 58.74% | -0.62% | 84.84% | -7.95% | -3.10% |
2022 | 0.14% | 21.78% | 22.16% | -7.26% | 1.83% | -7.13% | 50.84% | 17.60% | -2.47% | 13.28% | -2.95% | 17.40% |
2023 | 6.76% | -1.43% | -11.27% | 29.52% | 6.70% | 29.00% | -2.48% | -1.86% | 1.90% | 22.55% | 2.13% | 4.20% |
2024 | -0.52% | 15.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | Login to see results | Login to see results |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
0
Number of Trades
0%
Cumulative Returns
0%
Win Rate
2024-06-04
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0%
30 Days
0%
60 Days
0%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 2928514.21 | 2928.51 | 2928514.21 | 2928.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 5443531.71 | 5443.53 | 5443531.71 | 5443.53 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 2515017.5 | 2515.02 | 2515017.5 | 2515.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 254303.23 | 254303.23 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1016960.41 | 1016.96 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3050507.56 | 96.83 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 574334.06 | 23.12 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 327.0 | 327.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 521.0 | 521.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 200.0 | 200.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 321.0 | 321.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 38.39 | 38.39 | ||||
Avg P&l | 5620.95 | 0.25 | 5620.95 | 0.25 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 27217.66 | 3.34 | 27217.66 | 3.34 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 7834.95 | 1.67 | 7834.95 | 1.67 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.474 | 3.474 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 777358.08 | 777358.08 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 17.57 | 17.57 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 183370.15 | 183370.15 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.54 | 6.54 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 41.0 | 41.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 57.0 | 57.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 31.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.418 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.75 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.164 | 2.164 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 2928514.21 | 2928.51 | 2928514.21 | 2928.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 5443531.71 | 5443.53 | 5443531.71 | 5443.53 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 2515017.5 | 2515.02 | 2515017.5 | 2515.02 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 254303.23 | 254303.23 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1614313.07 | 1614.31 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 3050507.56 | 96.83 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 574334.06 | 23.12 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 327.0 | 327.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 521.0 | 521.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 200.0 | 200.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 321.0 | 321.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 38.39 | 38.39 | ||||
Avg P&l | 5620.95 | 0.25 | 5620.95 | 0.25 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 27217.66 | 3.34 | 27217.66 | 3.34 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 7834.95 | 1.67 | 7834.95 | 1.67 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.474 | 3.474 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 777358.08 | 777358.08 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 17.57 | 17.57 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 183370.15 | 183370.15 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.54 | 6.54 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 41.0 | 41.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 57.0 | 57.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 31.0 | 31.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.418 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.75 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.164 | 2.164 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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