AI vs. Ninja Turtle by @DaviddTech 🤖 [faabf7a1]
🛡️ AIVSNT RUNEUSDT 15M 11.06
@henrik2685
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-10 14:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.79
- Sortino Ratio: 3.38
- Calmar: -17.61
- Longest DD Days: 134.00
- Volatility: 97.22
- Skew: -0.03
- Kurtosis: -1.52
- Expected Daily: 0.93
- Expected Monthly: 21.41
- Expected Yearly: 926.17
- Kelly Criterion: 5.83
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -7.62
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.45
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-25 10:45:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 11
- Number Winning Trades 594
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 512
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -17.61
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.12
- Payoff Ratio: 0.97
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.12
- Tail Ratio: 1.27
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.04
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.18
- Serenity Index: 60,531.54
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Net Profit | $378,987.49 |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 1134.4% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.811 |
Profit Factor | 1.147 |
Maximum Drawdown | -60.74% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 97.24% |
The strategy has achieved a substantial cumulative net profit of $378,987.49 with an impressive CAGR of 1134.4%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.811 indicates solid risk-adjusted returns surpassing the crypto industry benchmark of 0.5. However, the maximum drawdown of -60.74% suggests the presence of periods with significant losses. The high volatility points towards potential for large value fluctuations.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy shows real-world trading potential, especially considering its strong profitability and acceptable Sharpe ratio. While the high drawdown could pose risks, the robust annualized returns offer compensating benefits. Must identify market conditions favorable for this strategy, ensuring they persist or adapt well over time.
Risk Management
The current risk management approach reveals certain vulnerabilities, with a marked maximum drawdown and high volatility:
- Leverage management: Consider reducing leverage to decrease drawdowns.
- Diversified asset pools: Minimize risk by diversifying across various crypto assets, reducing unsystematic risk.
- Volatility measures: Employ volatility-based position sizing to adjust risks in volatile periods.
Improvement Suggestions
To augment the strategy's performance and sustainability, consider implementing the following enhancements:
- Optimize entry and exit parameters to refine trade precision.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to improve market entry and exit signals.
- Strengthen risk management protocols with advanced techniques like stress testing and dynamic stop loss settings.
- Implement forward and out-of-sample testing to validate strategy robustness across diverse market scenarios.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates promising performance metrics with outstanding profitability and favorable risk-adjusted returns. Yet, it is critical to adjust the risk management strategies to control high drawdown and volatility levels. The proposed augmentations, when executed properly, could yield a more balanced and resilient trading strategy.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing, optimization, and diversification measures to fortify the strategy against market fluctuations, aiming for sustainable profitability and improved risk metrics.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.17% |
2022 | 30.11% | 4.60% | 36.83% | 79.53% | 48.35% | 29.73% | 54.35% | 29.03% | -6.13% | 29.05% | 5.93% | -1.61% |
2023 | 27.85% | 15.78% | 27.36% | 28.14% | 0.55% | 19.90% | 16.31% | -11.55% | 42.93% | 67.81% | 79.20% | 20.63% |
2024 | 27.49% | 11.76% | 83.95% | 45.92% | 51.21% | -26.00% | 43.97% | 14.84% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
256
Number of Trades
99.61%
Cumulative Returns
49.22%
Win Rate
2024-06-11
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-0.85%
30 Days
35.14%
60 Days
45.23%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 205801204.02 | 205801.2 | 177927345.63 | 177927.35 | 27873858.39 | 27873.86 |
Gross Profit | 635084987.57 | 635084.99 | 361679406.19 | 361679.41 | 273405581.38 | 273405.58 |
Gross Loss | 429283783.55 | 429283.78 | 183752060.56 | 183752.06 | 245531722.99 | 245531.72 |
Commission Paid | 30957271.52 | 15977085.74 | 14980185.78 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -26530.32 | -26.53 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 242997045.73 | 99.96 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 39160664.72 | 41.97 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 84509565.0 | 80625756.0 | 84509565.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 850.0 | 434.0 | 416.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 468.0 | 258.0 | 210.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 382.0 | 176.0 | 206.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.06 | 59.45 | 50.48 | |||
Avg P&l | 242119.06 | 0.54 | 409970.84 | 0.79 | 67004.47 | 0.27 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1357019.2 | 3.06 | 1401858.16 | 2.95 | 1301931.34 | 3.18 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1123779.54 | 2.55 | 1044045.8 | 2.37 | 1191901.57 | 2.7 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.208 | 1.343 | 1.092 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 16560791.63 | 14851380.94 | 16560791.63 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.01 | 5.5 | 6.01 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 12948562.79 | 12948562.79 | 11460311.23 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.79 | 4.39 | 4.79 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 35.0 | 29.0 | 42.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 36.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 35.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.969 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 9.501 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.479 | 1.968 | 1.114 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 322821075.97 | 322821.08 | 350397498.67 | 350397.5 | -27576422.7 | -27576.42 |
Gross Profit | 2962104996.47 | 2962105.0 | 1661703829.82 | 1661703.83 | 1300401166.65 | 1300401.17 |
Gross Loss | 2639283920.5 | 2639283.92 | 1311306331.15 | 1311306.33 | 1327977589.35 | 1327977.59 |
Commission Paid | 145598142.14 | 81187348.81 | 64410793.33 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -82397.74 | -82.4 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 481180509.64 | 99.98 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 271349547.66 | 60.74 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 683791376.0 | 683791376.0 | 677097577.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1106.0 | 576.0 | 530.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 594.0 | 330.0 | 264.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 512.0 | 246.0 | 266.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 53.71 | 57.29 | 49.81 | |||
Avg P&l | 291881.62 | 0.46 | 608328.99 | 0.67 | -52030.99 | 0.23 |
Avg Winning Trade | 4986708.75 | 3.13 | 5035466.15 | 3.0 | 4925761.99 | 3.29 |
Avg Losing Trade | 5154851.41 | 2.64 | 5330513.54 | 2.47 | 4992396.95 | 2.8 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.967 | 0.945 | 0.987 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 42211017.66 | 38500520.2 | 42211017.66 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 6.51 | 5.52 | 6.51 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 34265749.74 | 34265749.74 | 29389001.73 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.79 | 4.39 | 4.79 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 34.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 34.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 34.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.791 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.375 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.122 | 1.267 | 0.979 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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