AI vs. Ninja Turtle by @DaviddTech 🤖 [faabf7a1]
🛡️ AIVSNT RUNEUSDT 15M 11.06
@henrik2685
⌛15 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 19 mins agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-10 14:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.93
- Sortino Ratio: 5.76
- Calmar: -41.72
- Longest DD Days: 82.00
- Volatility: 94.87
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 1.03
- Expected Monthly: 24.04
- Expected Yearly: 1,226.25
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-15 04:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 539
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 444
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -41.72
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | $325,336.58 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.902 |
Sortino Ratio | 5.037 |
Profit Factor | 1.236 |
Maximum Drawdown | -41.97% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 94.92% |
Percent Profitable | 54.69% |
The strategy shows robust profitability with a net profit of $325,336.58 and a respectable Sharpe Ratio of 0.902, indicating good risk-adjusted returns given the volatile nature of the crypto market. However, the maximum drawdown of 41.97% is slightly above the desired threshold, which suggests potential risk exposure during downward market movements.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading in volatile market environments like cryptocurrency. The Sharpe Ratio is above 0.5, showing strong performance relative to risk. However, caution is advised due to the drawdown slightly exceeding optimal levels, highlighting the importance of adapting to market trends to ensure consistent performance.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management could benefit from enhancements, as the drawdown indicates room for improvement. Here are some recommendations:
- Consider reducing leverage to decrease drawdown levels, which can help stabilize returns and exposure during high volatility periods.
- Implement tighter stop-loss mechanisms and potentially incorporate trailing stops to secure profits and minimize losses.
- Optimize position sizing dynamically to adjust for market volatility and decrease sudden large losses.
Improvement Suggestions
To refine the strategy further and improve its robustness, consider the following actions:
- Fine-tune strategy parameters to balance profitability with reduced drawdown.
- Incorporate additional technical indicators to enhance trade entry and exit timing.
- Engage in forward-testing and out-of-sample testing to confirm the strategy's resilience across various market conditions.
- Enhance the risk management framework with advanced techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis and scenario planning.
Final Opinion
Overall, the strategy displays promising characteristics with notable profitability and risk-adjusted returns. Despite the slightly high drawdown, employing refined risk management practices and further testing can enhance its robustness against market volatility.
Recommendation: Proceed with additional testing and optimization, focusing on risk management improvements and parameter refinement to sustain profitability while mitigating exposure to large drawdowns.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 27.49% | 11.76% | 83.95% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 27.85% | 15.78% | 27.36% | 28.14% | 0.55% | 19.90% | 16.31% | -11.55% | 42.93% | 67.81% | 79.20% | 20.63% |
2022 | 30.11% | 4.60% | 36.83% | 79.53% | 48.35% | 29.73% | 54.35% | 29.03% | -6.13% | 29.05% | 5.93% | -1.61% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 29.17% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
133
Number of Trades
86.38%
Cumulative Returns
53.38%
Win Rate
2024-06-11
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
34.27%
30 Days
69.8%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 205,801,204.02 USD | 205,801.20 | 177,927,345.63 USD | 177,927.35 | 27,873,858.39 USD | 27,873.86 |
Gross Profit | 635,084,987.57 | 635,084.99 | 361,679,406.19 | 361,679.41 | 273,405,581.38 | 273,405.58 |
Gross Loss | 429,283,783.55 | 429,283.78 | 183,752,060.56 | 183,752.06 | 245,531,722.99 | 245,531.72 |
Max Run-up | 242,997,045.73 | 99.96 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 39,160,664.72 | 41.97 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −26,530.32 | −26.53 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.969 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 9.501 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.479 | 1.968 | 1.114 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 84,509,565 | 80,625,756 | 84,509,565 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 30,957,271.52 | 15,977,085.74 | 14,980,185.78 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 850 | 434 | 416 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 468 | 258 | 210 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 382 | 176 | 206 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.06 | 59.45 | 50.48 | |||
Avg Trade | 242,119.06 | 0.54 | 409,970.84 | 0.79 | 67,004.47 | 0.27 |
Avg Winning Trade | 1,357,019.20 | 3.06 | 1,401,858.16 | 2.95 | 1,301,931.34 | 3.18 |
Avg Losing Trade | 1,123,779.54 | 2.55 | 1,044,045.80 | 2.37 | 1,191,901.57 | 2.70 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.208 | 1.343 | 1.092 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 16,560,791.63 | 6.01 | 14,851,380.94 | 5.50 | 16,560,791.63 | 6.01 |
Largest Losing Trade | 12,948,562.79 | 4.79 | 12,948,562.79 | 4.39 | 11,460,311.23 | 4.79 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 35 | 29 | 42 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 36 | 29 | 44 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 35 | 28 | 40 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 385,701,475.17 USD | 385,701.48 | 400,039,376.82 USD | 400,039.38 | −14,337,901.65 USD | −14,337.90 |
Gross Profit | 1,765,348,032.16 | 1,765,348.03 | 1,041,333,179.45 | 1,041,333.18 | 724,014,852.70 | 724,014.85 |
Gross Loss | 1,379,646,556.99 | 1,379,646.56 | 641,293,802.64 | 641,293.80 | 738,352,754.35 | 738,352.75 |
Max Run-up | 448,018,171.15 | 99.98 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 123,062,883.50 | 41.97 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −27,080.39 | −27.08 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.93 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 5.764 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.28 | 1.624 | 0.981 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 210,198,515 | 189,972,587 | 210,198,515 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 88,030,808.35 | 49,274,779.19 | 38,756,029.16 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 983 | 509 | 474 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 539 | 301 | 238 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 444 | 208 | 236 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.83 | 59.14 | 50.21 | |||
Avg Trade | 392,371.80 | 0.51 | 785,931.98 | 0.76 | −30,248.74 | 0.23 |
Avg Winning Trade | 3,275,228.26 | 3.05 | 3,459,578.67 | 2.94 | 3,042,079.21 | 3.19 |
Avg Losing Trade | 3,107,312.07 | 2.58 | 3,083,143.28 | 2.39 | 3,128,613.37 | 2.75 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.054 | 1.122 | 0.972 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 37,536,296.64 | 6.51 | 30,417,339.72 | 5.50 | 37,536,296.64 | 6.51 |
Largest Losing Trade | 29,389,001.73 | 4.79 | 26,156,448.75 | 4.39 | 29,389,001.73 | 4.79 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 35 | 28 | 41 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 35 | 29 | 41 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 35 | 28 | 41 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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