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DaviddTech
Traders should know
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gentlesir triplet3starlight btcusdt 1h 9.4

  • Homepage
1 hour @gentlesir
● Live

Triple T3 Starlight by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b1b99a1f]

🛡️ TRIPLET3STARLIGHT BTCUSDT 1H 9.4

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1
  • icon 1

Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +-2.71% Updated 8 hours ago
Total Return Primary
1151.76%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
31.78%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
59.32%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.179
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-330.74%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
472
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Jun 12, 2020
2,004
Days
472
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 5, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2020-06-12 01:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.33
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.77
  • Calmar: -0.99
  • Longest DD Days: 158.00
  • Volatility: 85.01
  • Skew: 1.24
  • Kurtosis: 0.73
  • Expected Daily: 0.68
  • Expected Monthly: 15.38
  • Expected Yearly: 456.86
  • Kelly Criterion: 4.85
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.94
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.59
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-05 21:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 5
  • Number Winning Trades 150
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 322
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.99
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.18
  • Payoff Ratio: 2.53
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.18
  • Tail Ratio: 2.39
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 1.86
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.27
  • Serenity Index: 13.91

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
-74.71%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-155.21%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+72.58%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-15.57%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+223.54%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 7 Days
-3.81%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 30 Days
-9.86%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 90 Days
+2.01%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
-2.05%
SIMPLE SUM
LOSS
Last 180 Days
+15.51%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
31.8%
Total Trades
472
Cumulative
1,151.76%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
195.70%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2020
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
-7.02%
-6.51%
Simple P&L
-6.40%
-1.18%
Simple P&L
-5.49%
-10.49%
Simple P&L
+3.68%
+2.40%
Simple P&L
+11.96%
+9.38%
Simple P&L
+24.65%
+18.45%
Simple P&L
+31.89%
+18.66%
Simple P&L
2021
-16.64%
-8.70%
Simple P&L
+33.97%
+18.96%
Simple P&L
-13.12%
-12.71%
Simple P&L
-13.82%
-0.80%
Simple P&L
-8.31%
-6.19%
Simple P&L
+39.08%
+16.58%
Simple P&L
-17.30%
-7.79%
Simple P&L
+21.93%
+10.05%
Simple P&L
+7.71%
+0.81%
Simple P&L
+45.65%
+16.43%
Simple P&L
+19.08%
+5.09%
Simple P&L
+50.88%
+4.45%
Simple P&L
2022
+89.48%
+25.93%
Simple P&L
+41.29%
+4.73%
Simple P&L
-44.48%
-7.90%
Simple P&L
+78.05%
+12.11%
Simple P&L
+10.13%
+2.39%
Simple P&L
+74.51%
+14.29%
Simple P&L
-59.93%
-9.12%
Simple P&L
+78.66%
+2.80%
Simple P&L
+9.02%
+9.32%
Simple P&L
-26.26%
-3.92%
Simple P&L
+77.92%
+13.52%
Simple P&L
-36.19%
-3.18%
Simple P&L
2023
+204.33%
+21.76%
Simple P&L
-14.16%
-0.91%
Simple P&L
+134.09%
+17.68%
Simple P&L
+20.19%
+1.97%
Simple P&L
+78.17%
+9.18%
Simple P&L
+138.81%
+8.64%
Simple P&L
-153.34%
-10.57%
Simple P&L
+35.26%
+2.22%
Simple P&L
+42.29%
-1.90%
Simple P&L
+467.43%
+19.92%
Simple P&L
-174.47%
+2.11%
Simple P&L
+96.81%
+5.80%
Simple P&L
2024
-164.66%
-4.03%
Simple P&L
+783.92%
+17.66%
Simple P&L
-422.96%
-8.95%
Simple P&L
-192.02%
-18.74%
Simple P&L
-178.02%
-3.08%
Simple P&L
-84.28%
-3.41%
Simple P&L
+31.70%
+1.48%
Simple P&L
-117.33%
-9.63%
Simple P&L
-102.77%
-8.05%
Simple P&L
-124.34%
-5.11%
Simple P&L
+145.05%
+11.86%
Simple P&L
-85.66%
-0.94%
Simple P&L
2025
-10.00%
-3.51%
Simple P&L
+253.34%
+20.54%
Simple P&L
-177.45%
-8.45%
Simple P&L
+67.80%
+3.40%
Simple P&L
-44.51%
-1.33%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

472

Number of Trades

1151.76%

Cumulative Returns

31.78%

Win Rate

2024-04-09

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

-9.86%

30 Days

-2.05%

60 Days

2.01%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-19541.97-1.24
Net Profit1481868.041481.871350749.031350.75131119.01131.12
Gross Profit4604043.884604.043118597.353118.61485446.531485.45
Gross Loss3122175.843122.181767848.321767.851354327.521354.33
Commission Paid185619.04114820.7670798.28
Buy & Hold Return683654.36683.65
Max Contracts Held6563.065.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration24 days
Avg Equity Run-up136909.37136.91
Max Equity Run-up2032650.2696.23
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration28 days
Avg Equity Drawdown93741.6793.74
Max Drawdown523539.4630.53
Total Closed Trades324.0183.0141.0
Total Open Trades1.01.00.0
Number Winning Trades108.065.043.0
Number Losing Trades216.0118.098.0
Percent Profitable33.3335.5230.5
Avg P&l4573.670.637381.140.71929.920.52
Avg Winning Trade42630.046.1747978.425.7334545.276.83
Avg Losing Trade14454.522.1414981.772.0513819.672.25
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.9493.2022.5
Largest Winning Trade315460.06315460.0685437.04
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.1712.5513.17
Largest Losing Trade94249.2294249.2275314.41
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.514.514.51
Avg # Bars In Trades44.038.051.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades58.058.059.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades36.027.048.0
Sharpe Ratio0.48
Sortino Ratio1.352
Profit Factor1.4751.7641.097
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit1151760.421151.761379522.321379.52-227761.9-227.76
Gross Profit7582877.677582.884314113.064314.113268764.613268.76
Gross Loss6431117.256431.122934590.742934.593496526.513496.53
Commission Paid357165.32188864.87168300.45
Buy & Hold Return879881.58879.88
Max Contracts Held6563.065.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration39 days
Avg Equity Run-up147325.8147.33
Max Equity Run-up2032650.2696.23
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration37 days
Avg Equity Drawdown122864.14122.86
Max Drawdown1235165.3559.32
Total Closed Trades472.0253.0219.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades150.087.063.0
Number Losing Trades322.0166.0156.0
Percent Profitable31.7834.3928.77
Avg P&l2440.170.415452.660.56-1040.010.25
Avg Winning Trade50552.525.849587.515.3451885.156.43
Avg Losing Trade19972.412.0917678.261.9522413.632.24
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.5312.8052.315
Largest Winning Trade315460.06315460.06192158.44
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.1712.5513.17
Largest Losing Trade104095.5294249.22104095.52
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.514.514.51
Avg # Bars In Trades43.038.049.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades60.058.063.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades35.027.044.0
Sharpe Ratio0.329
Sortino Ratio0.774
Profit Factor1.1791.470.935
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
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📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit close attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 1188.16%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 61.74%
Sharpe Ratio 0.342
Profit Factor 1.19
Maximum Drawdown -59.32%
Volatility (Annualized) 85.01%

The strategy demonstrates a strong cumulative return of 1188.16% and a respectable annualized return of 61.74%. Despite these returns, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.342 is below the desired level. The maximum drawdown of -59.32% indicates significant risk exposure, above the recommended level for Crypto trading.

Strategy Viability

Based on the current data, while the strategy shows promising returns, the high maximum drawdown presents a concern for viability in real-world trading as it significantly exposes the capital to potential declines. To better harness these returns, an adjustment in risk management is critical. It's crucial to assess if the prevalent market conditions which favored such returns would persist and under what volatility circumstances the strategy faces risks.

Risk Management

The risk management metrics point to areas for concern, particularly with the high drawdown and volatility figures. While no margin calls have occurred, a more strategic approach could be beneficial. Considerations could include:

  • Reducing leverage usage to mitigate exposure and lower potential drawdowns.
  • Implementing tighter stop-loss mechanisms to protect against large losses.
  • Exploring hedging strategies to cushion against market fluctuations.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and risk profile, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize leverage and capital allocation to control higher drawdowns.
  • Incorporate additional technical indicators or machine learning-based insights to refine entry and exit timing.
  • Conduct stress testing across historical periods of high volatility to ensure robustness and adaptability.
  • Broaden diversification within the trading assets to spread risk effectively.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy achieves strong returns but is accompanied by significant risk. The high drawdowns and below-par Sharpe Ratio suggest the need for improved risk management and strategic refinement. Despite these issues, the profit factor indicates commendable performance in terms of profitability relative to risk taken.

Recommendation: Revise and optimize the strategy before considering real-world implementation. Focus on reducing downside risk through improved position sizing, less leverage, and enhanced risk management mechanisms to create a more balanced approach that remains robust across different market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Win
Loss
Win
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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The settings will of started to download in the background.

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