🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [56f9f889]
🛡️ TRENDHOOV5 BTCUSDT 50M @gentlesir
TREND FOLOWING
50 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 16 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-07 23:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.32
- Sortino Ratio: 0.64
- Calmar: -0.94
- Longest DD Days: 75.00
- Volatility: 65.59
- Skew: 0.31
- Kurtosis: -1.61
- Expected Daily: 0.51
- Expected Monthly: 11.20
- Expected Yearly: 257.51
- Kelly Criterion: 6.12
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.16
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.48
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-07 16:20:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 5
- Number Winning Trades 156
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 211
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.94
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.17
- Payoff Ratio: 1.58
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.17
- Tail Ratio: 1.88
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 3.44
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.13
- Serenity Index: 5.39
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 363.15% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 35.86% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.318 |
Profit Factor | 1.17 |
Maximum Drawdown | 38.85% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 65.59% |
The strategy produces a solid cumulative return of 363.15% and an annualized return of 35.86%, which is commendable given the volatile nature of the crypto market. The Sharpe ratio of 0.318 is below the 0.5 threshold generally considered good for crypto, suggesting potential improvement is needed in risk-adjusted returns. However, the maximum drawdown of 38.85% is respectable and just below the threshold. The Profit Factor of 1.17 suggests that for every $1 of loss, the strategy makes $1.17, which is positive but has room for enhancement.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy demonstrates potential viability for real-world trading, especially given its cumulative return and sustainable drawdown level. Nevertheless, the conditions under which this strategy excels should be carefully examined and compared to the current market climate to ensure optimal performance and viability in real-world conditions.
Risk Management
The strategy shows commendable risk management with a good maximum drawdown limit, which can be optimized further using the following measures:
- Reduce leverage to decrease potential drawdowns further.
- Incorporate stop-losses efficiently to mitigate downside risk.
- Explore dynamic position sizing to adjust for periods of higher volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's performance and robustness, the following recommendations could prove beneficial:
- Optimize the parameters and trading frequency to increase the Sharpe ratio.
- Introduce additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals.
- Conduct backtesting with broader data sets to ensure robustness across different market conditions.
- Employ comprehensive stress testing to foresee and manage potential risks better.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy displays encouraging returns and maintains a safe maximum drawdown level. While the risk-adjusted metrics such as Sharpe ratio could see improvement, the strategy remains promising with the appropriate optimization and risk management adjustments.
Recommendation: The strategy is worth further development and refinement. Proceed with proposed enhancements and more rigorous testing to ensure resilience and stability across varying market scenarios.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.82% | 1.31% | -9.20% | 14.21% | -5.53% | 4.34% | 12.13% | 5.99% | 26.47% |
2021 | -4.32% | 7.81% | -0.22% | 7.86% | -15.45% | 7.59% | 0.34% | 2.75% | 10.19% | 4.77% | 5.64% | 8.58% |
2022 | 19.00% | 4.38% | -0.36% | 2.24% | 5.71% | 1.10% | -4.49% | 6.31% | 1.47% | 10.57% | 9.64% | 0.80% |
2023 | 11.94% | 13.78% | 11.00% | 13.25% | -6.58% | 9.36% | -1.43% | -2.87% | -6.65% | 16.97% | -8.66% | 7.50% |
2024 | 6.37% | 17.73% | -7.13% | -1.30% | 0.30% | -4.43% | 1.50% | -2.97% | -14.55% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
87
Number of Trades
-13.25%
Cumulative Returns
34.48%
Win Rate
2023-12-19
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-6.57%
30 Days
-2.22%
60 Days
-8.34%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 462209.57 | 462.21 | 375766.73 | 375.77 | 86442.85 | 86.44 |
Gross Profit | 1674708.67 | 1674.71 | 941589.41 | 941.59 | 733119.26 | 733.12 |
Gross Loss | 1212499.09 | 1212.5 | 565822.68 | 565.82 | 646676.41 | 646.68 |
Commission Paid | 80814.55 | 41232.64 | 39581.91 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 489298.09 | 489.3 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 571600.31 | 87.44 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 86990.38 | 25.61 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 36.0 | 32.0 | 36.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 280.0 | 141.0 | 139.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 126.0 | 66.0 | 60.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 154.0 | 75.0 | 79.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 45.0 | 46.81 | 43.17 | |||
Avg P&l | 1650.75 | 0.52 | 2665.01 | 0.7 | 621.89 | 0.34 |
Avg Winning Trade | 13291.34 | 3.8 | 14266.51 | 3.89 | 12218.65 | 3.7 |
Avg Losing Trade | 7873.37 | 2.16 | 7544.3 | 2.11 | 8185.78 | 2.21 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.688 | 1.891 | 1.493 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 33689.79 | 33689.79 | 31698.92 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.23 | 3.92 | 5.23 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 18625.79 | 18625.79 | 18425.56 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.07 | 3.8 | 6.07 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 35.0 | 40.0 | 29.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 35.0 | 46.0 | 23.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 34.0 | 34.0 | 35.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.489 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.123 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.381 | 1.664 | 1.134 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 363145.21 | 363.15 | 426566.3 | 426.57 | -63421.09 | -63.42 |
Gross Profit | 2521263.04 | 2521.26 | 1411342.74 | 1411.34 | 1109920.3 | 1109.92 |
Gross Loss | 2158117.83 | 2158.12 | 984776.44 | 984.78 | 1173341.39 | 1173.34 |
Commission Paid | 134051.61 | 67531.18 | 66520.43 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1059208.47 | 1059.21 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 672078.24 | 89.11 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 287817.99 | 38.85 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 36.0 | 32.0 | 36.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 367.0 | 184.0 | 183.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 156.0 | 82.0 | 74.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 211.0 | 102.0 | 109.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 42.51 | 44.57 | 40.44 | |||
Avg P&l | 989.5 | 0.39 | 2318.3 | 0.58 | -346.56 | 0.2 |
Avg Winning Trade | 16161.94 | 3.82 | 17211.5 | 3.9 | 14998.92 | 3.74 |
Avg Losing Trade | 10228.05 | 2.15 | 9654.67 | 2.09 | 10764.6 | 2.2 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.58 | 1.783 | 1.393 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 39507.93 | 39507.93 | 38175.21 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.23 | 3.92 | 5.23 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 41580.91 | 23238.44 | 41580.91 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 6.07 | 3.8 | 6.07 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 36.0 | 42.0 | 29.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 38.0 | 48.0 | 27.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 34.0 | 38.0 | 30.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.318 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.644 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.168 | 1.433 | 0.946 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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