🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [8f54cad5]
🛡️ TRENDHOO BTCUSDT 45M 7.05 @gentlesir
TREND FOLOWING
45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-03 00:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.48
- Sortino Ratio: 1.26
- Calmar: -2.14
- Longest DD Days: 22.00
- Volatility: 45.53
- Skew: 0.13
- Kurtosis: 1.02
- Expected Daily: 0.90
- Expected Monthly: 20.65
- Expected Yearly: 851.23
- Kelly Criterion: 28.92
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.29
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.91
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-10 21:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 13
- Number Winning Trades 142
- Max Consecutive Losses: 6
- Number Losing Trades: 74
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.14
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.78
- Payoff Ratio: 0.91
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.78
- Tail Ratio: 1.51
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.08
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.92
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.05
- Serenity Index: 27.25
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 562.78% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 45.71% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.481 |
Profit Factor | 1.722 |
Maximum Drawdown | -21.93% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 45.53% |
The strategy demonstrates a solid cumulative return of 562.78% with an annualized return of 45.71%. Although the Sharpe ratio of 0.481 is slightly below the desired threshold of 0.5, it is close enough to suggest respectable risk-adjusted returns. The Profit Factor of 1.722 indicates that the strategy is reasonably efficient in generating profits compared to losses. The maximum drawdown of -21.93% is within an acceptable range, indicating effective downside risk management.
Strategy Viability
The data suggests that this strategy holds great potential for real-world trading, particularly due to its solid overall returns and efficient profit generation. The strategy’s performance appears promising, even in varying market conditions, as suggested by its substantial cumulative gain and profit factor. It’s important, however, to keep monitoring market conditions to ensure alignment with strategy strengths.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management framework appears effective, particularly given the acceptable maximum drawdown and the absence of margin calls. However, the volatility at 45.53% indicates that there may be room for improvement in controlling daily fluctuations. Enhancements could include:
- Reducing leverage usage, which can help lower the overall drawdown.
- Implementing more sophisticated stop-loss mechanisms tailored to market conditions.
- Exploring diversification across different asset classes to reduce unsystematic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s effectiveness, consider the following suggestions:
- Refine strategy parameters and consider variations in technical indicators to enhance the precision of entry and exit decisions.
- Focus on decreasing the leverage used to mitigate drawdown risks and observation-based calibrations to the position sizing framework.
- Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample and forward-testing to certify the strategy’s robustness against different market conditions.
- Introduce a more adaptive risk management framework that can respond dynamically to shifts in market volatility.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy showcases strong cumulative gains and a reasonable risk profile. While the Sharpe ratio slightly underperforms, the overall performance metrics suggest that the strategy is robust and has a good foundation. Improvements are advised mainly in terms of risk management enhancements and robustness validation across varied market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and extensive testing. Implement proposed improvements to bolster the strategy's resilience and ensure it aligns with diverse market environments. Overall, the strategy presents a strong opportunity for further development.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 18.38% | -5.63% | -1.00% | 1.34% | -6.01% | -0.27% | 9.01% | 4.54% | 5.14% |
2021 | -2.59% | 14.46% | -4.44% | 2.75% | -0.76% | 4.34% | 8.90% | 6.88% | -3.22% | 10.47% | 3.39% | 3.61% |
2022 | 0.00% | 9.44% | 9.72% | -2.26% | 0.73% | 3.17% | 7.40% | -5.01% | 4.68% | 5.10% | 2.03% | 3.22% |
2023 | 16.58% | 13.69% | 12.31% | 6.23% | -5.17% | 5.00% | 0.00% | 4.20% | 0.65% | 17.44% | 6.74% | 5.97% |
2024 | 2.91% | 13.31% | 2.56% | -3.50% | 4.23% | 1.84% | 1.52% | 2.06% | -8.64% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
38
Number of Trades
-8.7%
Cumulative Returns
47.37%
Win Rate
2024-05-07
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-0.69%
30 Days
-16.56%
60 Days
-15.01%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 635407.45 | 635.41 | 635407.45 | 635.41 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 995640.51 | 995.64 | 995640.51 | 995.64 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 360233.05 | 360.23 | 360233.05 | 360.23 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 59087.9 | 59087.9 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 856753.95 | 856.75 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 692882.83 | 87.39 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 61853.43 | 13.54 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 27.0 | 27.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 178.0 | 178.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 124.0 | 124.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 54.0 | 54.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 69.66 | 69.66 | ||||
Avg P&l | 3569.7 | 0.83 | 3569.7 | 0.83 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 8029.36 | 1.95 | 8029.36 | 1.95 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 6670.98 | 1.74 | 6670.98 | 1.74 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.204 | 1.204 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 63187.39 | 63187.39 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.03 | 8.03 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 19450.72 | 19450.72 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.06 | 4.06 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 19.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 21.0 | 21.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 16.0 | 16.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.634 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.073 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.764 | 2.764 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 562781.09 | 562.78 | 562781.09 | 562.78 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Profit | 1342620.45 | 1342.62 | 1342620.45 | 1342.62 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Gross Loss | 779839.36 | 779.84 | 779839.36 | 779.84 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Commission Paid | 91112.56 | 91112.56 | 0.0 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1164942.77 | 1164.94 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 752382.41 | 88.27 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 186222.4 | 21.93 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 27.0 | 27.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 216.0 | 216.0 | 0.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 142.0 | 142.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 74.0 | 74.0 | 0.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 65.74 | 65.74 | ||||
Avg P&l | 2605.47 | 0.67 | 2605.47 | 0.67 | ||
Avg Winning Trade | 9455.07 | 1.94 | 9455.07 | 1.94 | ||
Avg Losing Trade | 10538.37 | 1.78 | 10538.37 | 1.78 | ||
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.897 | 0.897 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade | 63187.39 | 63187.39 | ||||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 8.03 | 8.03 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade | 54820.53 | 54820.53 | ||||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 4.92 | 4.92 | ||||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 19.0 | 19.0 | 0.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.481 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.263 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.722 | 1.722 | ||||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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