🚀 SuperF Dead [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [49f16ff7]
🛡️ SUPERFDEADV5 BTCUSDT 30M 9.4
@gentlesir
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 3 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-16 07:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.24
- Sortino Ratio: 0.52
- Calmar: -0.79
- Longest DD Days: 104.00
- Volatility: 48.95
- Skew: -0.12
- Kurtosis: -1.26
- Expected Daily: 0.33
- Expected Monthly: 7.19
- Expected Yearly: 130.13
- Kelly Criterion: 7.98
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.47
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.87
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 08:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 12
- Number Winning Trades 264
- Max Consecutive Losses: 10
- Number Losing Trades: 215
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.79
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.17
- Payoff Ratio: 0.95
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.17
- Tail Ratio: 1.05
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.05
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.15
- Serenity Index: 4.43
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | -2.64% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | -2.41% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.023 |
Profit Factor | 0.99 |
Maximum Drawdown | 38.30% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 52.57% |
The strategy shows slightly negative returns with a cumulative performance of -2.64% and an annualized return of -2.41%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.023 indicates a need for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor of 0.99 is just below breakeven, suggesting that overall losses are slightly outweighing profits. However, the maximum drawdown of 38.30% is within acceptable limits for the crypto market.
Strategy Viability
Based on the current data, the strategy faces challenges that need addressing to become viable for real-world trading under current conditions. Its negative returns and low Sharpe ratio raise concerns about its long-term profitability. The market conditions may have adversely impacted the strategy, and further analysis is needed to assess if these conditions are temporary or persistent.
Risk Management
While the strategy’s maximum drawdown is at a manageable level given the crypto market's volatility, there is room to enhance risk management. Possible areas for improvement include:
- Reducing leverage to lower drawdown risk further.
- Implementing stricter stop-loss measures to prevent significant losses.
- Enhancing position sizing strategies to better adjust risk exposure.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimizing strategy parameters to seek better entries and exits, thus improving profitability.
- Incorporating a broader range of technical indicators to refine trade decision-making.
- Running additional backtesting and forward-testing under various market conditions to assess robustness.
- Revamping the risk management framework with more advanced techniques, such as volatility-adjusted stop-loss levels.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy currently faces significant challenges, particularly in terms of returns and risk-adjusted metrics. However, it presents a solid basis on which improvements can be built. With adjustments to risk management practices, parameter optimization, and comprehensive testing, the strategy could potentially be refined to achieve desired outcomes.
Recommendation: Proceed with modifications and further testing of the strategy. Focus on improving the risk and return profile by implementing suggested enhancements and ensuring the strategy can adapt to varying market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 13.55% | 4.60% | -7.60% | 12.25% | 0.32% | 2.68% | 12.04% | 19.10% | 6.97% |
2021 | 1.56% | 1.77% | -2.90% | 4.36% | -1.25% | 0.00% | 12.18% | -12.41% | 2.29% | 0.34% | -6.04% | -3.27% |
2022 | -11.86% | 15.85% | 18.41% | -6.49% | 0.20% | -6.51% | 4.27% | -2.30% | -9.30% | 3.91% | -6.43% | -2.70% |
2023 | 22.24% | -2.77% | 5.23% | 2.97% | -3.13% | 12.12% | -0.11% | -7.21% | 3.35% | 34.32% | 12.18% | 13.34% |
2024 | 16.07% | 22.00% | -2.13% | -13.39% | 14.67% | -11.26% | 3.19% | -10.18% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
96
Number of Trades
-27.45%
Cumulative Returns
46.88%
Win Rate
2024-04-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-3.59%
30 Days
-36.56%
60 Days
-14.18%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 2348.94 | 0.45 | ||||
Net Profit | 418970.34 | 418.97 | 373012.95 | 373.01 | 45957.39 | 45.96 |
Gross Profit | 1388336.39 | 1388.34 | 1330882.34 | 1330.88 | 57454.05 | 57.45 |
Gross Loss | 969366.05 | 969.37 | 957869.38 | 957.87 | 11496.67 | 11.5 |
Commission Paid | 75079.5 | 72714.26 | 2365.23 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 943881.37 | 943.88 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 499539.11 | 83.8 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 90879.58 | 28.07 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 20.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 384.0 | 368.0 | 16.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 220.0 | 208.0 | 12.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 164.0 | 160.0 | 4.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 57.29 | 56.52 | 75.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 1091.07 | 0.34 | 1013.62 | 0.31 | 2872.34 | 1.17 |
Avg Winning Trade | 6310.62 | 2.47 | 6398.47 | 2.47 | 4787.84 | 2.38 |
Avg Losing Trade | 5910.77 | 2.51 | 5986.68 | 2.51 | 2874.17 | 2.47 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.068 | 1.069 | 1.666 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 27233.42 | 27233.42 | 11479.0 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.77 | 5.77 | 3.38 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 28551.68 | 28551.68 | 3898.09 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.89 | 5.89 | 2.71 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 58.0 | 58.0 | 60.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 56.0 | 55.0 | 65.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 61.0 | 62.0 | 45.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.359 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.967 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.432 | 1.389 | 4.997 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 2424.32 | 0.65 | ||||
Net Profit | 273132.69 | 273.13 | 273635.25 | 273.64 | -502.56 | -0.5 |
Gross Profit | 1946090.29 | 1946.09 | 1869301.36 | 1869.3 | 76788.93 | 76.79 |
Gross Loss | 1672957.6 | 1672.96 | 1595666.11 | 1595.67 | 77291.49 | 77.29 |
Commission Paid | 113447.99 | 108440.1 | 5007.89 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1178583.47 | 1178.58 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 499539.11 | 83.8 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 232677.47 | 39.38 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 20.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 479.0 | 456.0 | 23.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 264.0 | 250.0 | 14.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 215.0 | 206.0 | 9.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.11 | 54.82 | 60.87 | |||
Avg P&l | 570.21 | 0.24 | 600.08 | 0.23 | -21.85 | 0.46 |
Avg Winning Trade | 7371.55 | 2.49 | 7477.21 | 2.5 | 5484.92 | 2.37 |
Avg Losing Trade | 7781.2 | 2.53 | 7745.95 | 2.53 | 8587.94 | 2.52 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.947 | 0.965 | 0.639 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 27233.42 | 27233.42 | 11479.0 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 5.77 | 5.77 | 3.38 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 28551.68 | 28551.68 | 22108.87 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.89 | 5.89 | 3.06 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 60.0 | 60.0 | 66.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 57.0 | 56.0 | 61.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 65.0 | 65.0 | 72.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.243 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.519 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.163 | 1.171 | 0.993 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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