🚀 Precision Trend Matrix by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b8478f82]
🛡️ PRECISIONTRENDMATRIX BTCUSDT 30M 9.4 @gentlesir
TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 16 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-03-31 19:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.44
- Sortino Ratio: 0.94
- Calmar: -1.77
- Longest DD Days: 133.00
- Volatility: 34.42
- Skew: -0.11
- Kurtosis: -1.00
- Expected Daily: 0.25
- Expected Monthly: 5.33
- Expected Yearly: 86.47
- Kelly Criterion: 10.21
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -3.06
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -3.78
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-16 22:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 10
- Number Winning Trades 574
- Max Consecutive Losses: 9
- Number Losing Trades: 477
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.77
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.23
- Payoff Ratio: 1.02
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.23
- Tail Ratio: 1.08
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.39
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.50
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 47.56
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Net Profit | 917.41% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 58.35% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.441 |
Profit Factor | 1.226 |
Maximum Drawdown | 33.42% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 34.42% |
The strategy yields a significant cumulative net profit of 917.41%, with a satisfactory annualized return of 58.35%. It achieves a maximum drawdown of 33.42%, which is below our 40% threshold for concern, showcasing moderate downside risk management. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.441 suggests room for improvement in return relative to risk, while a profit factor of 1.226 indicates that the strategy is profitable, albeit not exceedingly so.
Strategy Viability
Both the absolute and risk-adjusted returns suggest that the strategy is viable for real-world trading. The moderate drawdown signals resilience against substantial losses, making it attractive in volatile markets such as crypto. However, the market conditions under which the strategy functions best should be clearly identified to ensure continued success.
Risk Management
The strategy demonstrates sound risk management, as reflected in its below-40% maximum drawdown and absence of margin calls. Nevertheless, there is room to bolster the approach by:
- Adjusting position sizes based on volatility to limit exposure during high-risk periods.
- Employing stricter stop-loss levels and diversified asset portfolios to mitigate potential downturns further.
- Utilizing less leverage, as this can effectively decrease maximum drawdowns.
Improvement Suggestions
To refine and potentially enhance the strategy's performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize the strategy's parameters to improve the Sharpe Ratio and overall risk-adjusted returns.
- Integrate additional indicators or sentiment analysis for better timing in trade decisions.
- Increase testing across varied market scenarios to ensure its robustness and adaptability.
- Incorporate advanced risk metrics like Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) for more comprehensive risk assessments.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy has displayed commendable profit potential paired with acceptable risk management measures. There's a clear opportunity to optimize for better risk-adjusted returns and enhance its resilience against market volatility.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy, but consider implementing the suggested improvements. This could lead to enhanced performance and sustainability over varying market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | -2.98% | 13.36% | -23.98% | -2.33% | 4.67% | 2.45% | -0.56% | 4.54% | -11.92% | 14.40% |
2021 | 11.40% | -3.78% | 7.87% | 7.70% | -3.04% | 6.35% | 2.35% | -8.17% | 3.47% | -3.12% | 10.36% | 4.41% |
2022 | 11.15% | 12.60% | 23.47% | -3.20% | 8.24% | 5.87% | 10.18% | 1.96% | 11.28% | 0.57% | -5.78% | -4.99% |
2023 | 13.81% | 6.44% | 12.18% | 21.73% | 1.09% | 3.88% | 2.39% | 1.93% | 5.74% | 13.62% | 2.17% | 14.36% |
2024 | 18.64% | 23.86% | 16.79% | 1.16% | -4.59% | 2.65% | 0.88% | 12.96% | -8.13% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
226
Number of Trades
-3.39%
Cumulative Returns
49.56%
Win Rate
2024-04-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0.87%
30 Days
-27.58%
60 Days
-23.54%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 998607.38 | 998.61 | 655445.46 | 655.45 | 343161.92 | 343.16 |
Gross Profit | 2596673.96 | 2596.67 | 1468753.41 | 1468.75 | 1127920.56 | 1127.92 |
Gross Loss | 1598066.58 | 1598.07 | 813307.94 | 813.31 | 784758.64 | 784.76 |
Commission Paid | 211740.81 | 118212.94 | 93527.87 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1002568.06 | 1002.57 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1125399.38 | 93.73 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 99772.89 | 33.42 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 28.0 | 27.0 | 28.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 825.0 | 448.0 | 377.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 462.0 | 255.0 | 207.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 363.0 | 193.0 | 170.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 56.0 | 56.92 | 54.91 | |||
Avg P&l | 1210.43 | 0.2 | 1463.05 | 0.23 | 910.24 | 0.16 |
Avg Winning Trade | 5620.51 | 1.66 | 5759.82 | 1.62 | 5448.89 | 1.7 |
Avg Losing Trade | 4402.39 | 1.66 | 4214.03 | 1.61 | 4616.23 | 1.72 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.277 | 1.367 | 1.18 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 46183.26 | 43792.14 | 46183.26 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 3.58 | 3.54 | 3.58 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 48846.2 | 29836.98 | 48846.2 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.34 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 19.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 18.0 | 17.0 | 19.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 19.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.559 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.31 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.625 | 1.806 | 1.437 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 917407.31 | 917.41 | 590733.31 | 590.73 | 326674.0 | 326.67 |
Gross Profit | 4970597.81 | 4970.6 | 2361738.43 | 2361.74 | 2608859.38 | 2608.86 |
Gross Loss | 4053190.51 | 4053.19 | 1771005.12 | 1771.01 | 2282185.38 | 2282.19 |
Commission Paid | 475373.26 | 224099.77 | 251273.49 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1195183.12 | 1195.18 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1396655.53 | 94.89 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 484098.91 | 33.42 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 34.0 | 31.0 | 34.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 1051.0 | 541.0 | 510.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 574.0 | 301.0 | 273.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 477.0 | 240.0 | 237.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.61 | 55.64 | 53.53 | |||
Avg P&l | 872.89 | 0.14 | 1091.93 | 0.18 | 640.54 | 0.1 |
Avg Winning Trade | 8659.58 | 1.6 | 7846.31 | 1.57 | 9556.26 | 1.63 |
Avg Losing Trade | 8497.25 | 1.62 | 7379.19 | 1.57 | 9629.47 | 1.67 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.019 | 1.063 | 0.992 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 55941.75 | 44413.27 | 55941.75 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 3.58 | 3.54 | 3.58 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 62966.2 | 52828.73 | 62966.2 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.34 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 18.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 18.0 | 17.0 | 18.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 19.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.441 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 0.938 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.226 | 1.334 | 1.143 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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