🚀 McGinley Trend Followers [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [b49f6866]
🛡️ MCGINLEY BTCUSDT 1H 16.4
@gentlesir
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 46 mins agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-13 07:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.42
- Sortino Ratio: 1.20
- Calmar: -2.41
- Longest DD Days: 30.00
- Volatility: 54.78
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 0.92
- Expected Monthly: 21.30
- Expected Yearly: 915.08
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-14 21:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 115
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 66
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.41
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 341.43% |
Annualized Return | 882.63% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.411 |
Sortino Ratio | 1.164 |
Profit Factor | 1.653 |
Maximum Drawdown | 17.76% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 55.04% |
The strategy exhibits promising returns with a net profit of 341.43% and an annualized return of 882.63%. While the profit factor of 1.653 is indicative of positive expectancy, the Sharpe ratio of 0.411 suggests room for improvement in risk-adjusted returns. Notably, the maximum drawdown of 17.76% is within acceptable limits, highlighting decent downside protection.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, the strategy shows potential for real-world trading, especially given its ability to capture substantial profits. However, the risk-adjusted performance, as depicted by the Sharpe ratio, warrants attention. The strategy's success under specific market conditions implies the need to evaluate its resilience across varying scenarios. Its drawdown being relatively low underscores an inherent robustness, yet exploring opportunities to enhance risk-adjusted returns would be beneficial.
Risk Management
The strategy's risk management is effective in maintaining a low maximum drawdown. Yet, the volatility level (55.04%) suggests further refinement could enhance stability. Recommendations include:
- Adjusting leverage to lower drawdowns further and smooth out the equity curve.
- Fine-tuning stop-loss strategies to minimize losses per trade while preserving winning potential.
- Exploring diversification by integrating additional asset classes to spread risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s performance and ensure robustness, consider implementing the following improvements:
- Optimize parameters and calibrate entry/exit points to boost profitability and reduce risk exposure.
- Incorporate more technical indicators or machine learning models to refine decision-making processes.
- Conduct comprehensive forward-testing and scenario analysis to validate the strategy's adaptability to varied market environments.
- Integrate advanced risk management techniques such as achieving dynamic position sizing or utilizing options hedging strategies.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates potential with robust profit generation and manageable drawdowns. While there is room to bolster risk-adjusted returns, the strategy's existing framework provides a solid foundation for further refinement and optimization.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy by implementing suggested optimizations and continuing its testing across different market conditions. Focus on enhancing risk management to achieve more consistent, smoother performance.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -0.16% | 13.78% | 2.53% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 20.54% | 6.60% | 3.34% | 3.98% | -7.08% | 6.80% | -3.60% | -6.27% | 1.41% | 21.27% | 5.21% | 7.57% |
2022 | -3.79% | 7.01% | 7.31% | 0.15% | 0.00% | -8.07% | 12.66% | 1.91% | -0.69% | 7.31% | 0.00% | 5.77% |
2021 | -1.33% | -1.64% | 4.53% | 1.20% | 0.00% | 13.67% | 11.29% | 9.42% | 2.84% | 6.59% | 0.62% | -4.60% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.13% | 0.59% | -5.05% | 11.65% | -1.29% | 1.80% | 5.54% | 6.84% | -0.80% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
21
Number of Trades
2.13%
Cumulative Returns
52.38%
Win Rate
2024-04-16
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
3.76%
30 Days
5.26%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 354,445.19 USD | 354.45 | 354,445.19 USD | 354.45 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 748,945.32 | 748.95 | 748,945.32 | 748.95 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 394,500.13 | 394.50 | 394,500.13 | 394.50 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 377,270.97 | 80.43 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 59,956.34 | 17.76 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 791,661.35 | 791.66 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.457 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.338 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.898 | 1.898 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 37,452.06 | 37,452.06 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 160 | 160 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 104 | 104 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 56 | 56 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 65.00 | 65.00 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 2,215.28 | 0.73 | 2,215.28 | 0.73 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 7,201.40 | 2.48 | 7,201.40 | 2.48 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 7,044.65 | 2.52 | 7,044.65 | 2.52 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.022 | 1.022 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 26,777.98 | 5.45 | 26,777.98 | 5.45 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 19,520.60 | 4.16 | 19,520.60 | 4.16 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 22 | 22 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 23 | 23 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 360,174.85 USD | 360.17 | 360,174.85 USD | 360.17 | 0 USD | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 882,474.24 | 882.47 | 882,474.24 | 882.47 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 522,299.40 | 522.30 | 522,299.40 | 522.30 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 397,709.83 | 81.25 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 67,371.32 | 17.76 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 842,554.44 | 842.55 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.423 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.199 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.69 | 1.69 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 47,073.62 | 47,073.62 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 181 | 181 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 115 | 115 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 66 | 66 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 63.54 | 63.54 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 1,989.92 | 0.65 | 1,989.92 | 0.65 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 7,673.69 | 2.44 | 7,673.69 | 2.44 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 7,913.63 | 2.48 | 7,913.63 | 2.48 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.97 | 0.97 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 26,777.98 | 5.45 | 26,777.98 | 5.45 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 21,835.16 | 4.16 | 21,835.16 | 4.16 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 20 | 20 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 21 | 21 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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