MACD Liquidity Spectrum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [6f669011]
🛡️ MACDLIQUIDITYSPECTRUM DOGEUSDT 45M 25.06
@gentlesir
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-06-16 23:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.63
- Sortino Ratio: 1.52
- Calmar: -3.43
- Longest DD Days: 41.00
- Volatility: 99.79
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 1.56
- Expected Monthly: 38.42
- Expected Yearly: 4,845.75
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Risk of Ruin: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-10-14 22:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 113
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 95
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -3.43
- Gain/Pain (1M): 0.00
- Payoff Ratio: 0.00
- Common Sense Ratio: 0.00
- Tail Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 0.00
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 1422.54% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.622 |
Sortino Ratio | 1.492 |
Profit Factor | 1.523 |
Maximum Drawdown | 37.33% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 100.03% |
Percent Profitable | 54.11% |
The strategy exhibits substantial net profit with a gain of 1422.54%. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.622 is commendable in the crypto domain, indicating good risk-adjusted returns. The maximum drawdown, reaching 37.33%, is within a tolerable range but close to the upper limit, suggesting room for enhancing risk controls. The profit factor of 1.523 denotes that the strategy makes a $1.523 gain for every $1 loss, which speaks to its profitability.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy shows potential viability for real-world trading, particularly given its positive profit factor and Sharpe Ratio. The strategy has managed to maintain profitability even in volatile market conditions, as indicated by its historical performance. However, the closely approaching drawdown limit suggests a cautious approach moving forward.
Risk Management
The risk management analysis shows moderate efficiency with a maximum drawdown of 37.33% and zero margin calls, which is promising. Nonetheless, considering the high volatility (100.03%), there is scope for refining the strategy's risk management practices to ensure capital preservation:
- Reducing leverage can significantly decrease maximum drawdown, providing a more stable performance.
- Implementing more stringent stop-loss and take-profit levels could better control risk exposure.
- Incorporating volatility-based position sizing could minimize the negative impact of large market swings.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize trading parameters to further improve risk-adjusted returns.
- Explore additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals, potentially reducing volatility impacts.
- Perform robustness checks through out-of-sample testing and forward-testing across various market conditions.
- Adopt advanced risk management techniques like Value-at-Risk (VaR) and scenario analysis to better anticipate potential losses.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates promising performance metrics with excellent profitability and decent risk-adjusted returns. While the current volatility level suggests further risk reduction measures could be beneficial, there is a solid foundation upon which to build.
Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy while integrating suggested improvements and optimizations. Further testing and refinements will be crucial to ensure its ongoing success under varying market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 11.96% | 15.87% | 0.00% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% |
2023 | 11.21% | 7.20% | 29.24% | 4.78% | 15.13% | -16.40% | -7.62% | 12.53% | -9.03% | 15.66% | 6.06% | 9.05% |
2022 | 17.71% | 20.28% | 8.44% | -23.30% | 10.49% | 21.29% | 19.28% | 3.26% | 8.24% | 11.82% | 8.82% | 11.14% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -3.52% | 5.56% | -2.08% | 5.20% | -3.24% | 14.25% | 30.08% |
Live Trades Stats
DOGE
Base Currency
32
Number of Trades
25.24%
Cumulative Returns
43.75%
Win Rate
2024-06-25
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
13.1%
30 Days
23.64%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,191,570.33 USD | 1,191.57 | 476,114.38 USD | 476.11 | 715,455.95 USD | 715.46 |
Gross Profit | 2,921,490.02 | 2,921.49 | 1,172,471.98 | 1,172.47 | 1,749,018.03 | 1,749.02 |
Gross Loss | 1,729,919.69 | 1,729.92 | 696,357.61 | 696.36 | 1,033,562.08 | 1,033.56 |
Max Run-up | 1,197,978.44 | 92.75 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 365,042.29 | 41.45 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −63,371.27 | −63.37 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.676 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.558 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.689 | 1.684 | 1.692 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 19,830,054 | 17,400,804 | 19,830,054 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 62,441.19 | 25,518.22 | 36,922.97 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 177 | 65 | 112 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 99 | 39 | 60 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 78 | 26 | 52 | |||
Percent Profitable | 55.93 | 60.00 | 53.57 | |||
Avg Trade | 6,732.04 | 1.36 | 7,324.84 | 1.68 | 6,388.00 | 1.18 |
Avg Winning Trade | 29,510.00 | 6.47 | 30,063.38 | 6.22 | 29,150.30 | 6.63 |
Avg Losing Trade | 22,178.46 | 5.12 | 26,782.98 | 5.14 | 19,876.19 | 5.11 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.331 | 1.122 | 1.467 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 108,452.58 | 7.71 | 108,452.58 | 7.69 | 92,297.99 | 7.71 |
Largest Losing Trade | 77,531.97 | 6.07 | 77,531.97 | 6.07 | 71,697.40 | 6.06 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 96 | 72 | 110 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 107 | 76 | 127 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 82 | 66 | 91 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,456,022.00 USD | 1,456.02 | 369,005.53 USD | 369.01 | 1,087,016.47 USD | 1,087.02 |
Gross Profit | 4,178,803.99 | 4,178.80 | 1,832,997.60 | 1,833.00 | 2,345,806.39 | 2,345.81 |
Gross Loss | 2,722,781.99 | 2,722.78 | 1,463,992.06 | 1,463.99 | 1,258,789.92 | 1,258.79 |
Max Run-up | 1,701,732.39 | 94.79 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 365,042.29 | 41.45 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −64,041.83 | −64.04 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.633 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.524 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.535 | 1.252 | 1.864 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 20,327,600 | 20,327,600 | 19,830,054 | |||
Open PL | 33,736.73 | 2.17 | ||||
Commission Paid | 93,091.25 | 45,884.52 | 47,206.73 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 208 | 84 | 124 | |||
Total Open Trades | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 113 | 46 | 67 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 95 | 38 | 57 | |||
Percent Profitable | 54.33 | 54.76 | 54.03 | |||
Avg Trade | 7,000.11 | 1.18 | 4,392.92 | 1.04 | 8,766.26 | 1.27 |
Avg Winning Trade | 36,980.57 | 6.48 | 39,847.77 | 6.21 | 35,012.04 | 6.66 |
Avg Losing Trade | 28,660.86 | 5.13 | 38,526.11 | 5.21 | 22,084.03 | 5.07 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.29 | 1.034 | 1.585 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 152,794.01 | 7.71 | 152,794.01 | 7.69 | 141,338.72 | 7.71 |
Largest Losing Trade | 114,641.22 | 6.07 | 114,641.22 | 6.07 | 89,301.61 | 6.06 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 93 | 76 | 105 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 105 | 82 | 121 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 79 | 70 | 85 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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