MACD Liquidity Spectrum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [aefd6bd9]
🛡️ MACDLIQUIDITYSPECTRUM BTCUSDT 1H 23.4
@fx156
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 21 minutes agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-04-16 09:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.47
- Sortino Ratio: 1.11
- Calmar: -1.93
- Longest DD Days: 26.00
- Volatility: 82.33
- Skew: -0.16
- Kurtosis: -1.71
- Expected Daily: 1.59
- Expected Monthly: 39.17
- Expected Yearly: 5,179.69
- Kelly Criterion: 19.02
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -5.30
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.35
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-26 19:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 10
- Number Winning Trades 103
- Max Consecutive Losses: 9
- Number Losing Trades: 79
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.93
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.51
- Payoff Ratio: 1.16
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.51
- Tail Ratio: 1.47
- Outlier Win Ratio: 0.00
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 0.00
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.11
- Serenity Index: 29.04
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
CAGR (Annualized Return %) | 69.24% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.474 |
Profit Factor | 1.532 |
Maximum Drawdown | 35.6% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 82.45% |
Percent Profitable | 56.91% |
Gain/Pain Ratio | 1.51 |
The strategy's annualized return of 69.24% shows a strong potential for generating profits. Although the Sharpe Ratio is slightly below the target threshold of 0.5, it’s close enough to suggest that with minor modifications, it could be surpassed. The maximum drawdown of 35.6% is within acceptable limits in crypto markets, and the profit factor of 1.532 indicates the strategy’s ability to generate profits relative to losses.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to have potential for real-world trading. The current performance metrics show that it performs relatively well under existing market conditions. Since the maximum drawdown remains under the 40% threshold, and there is a good profit factor, the strategy could be viable, particularly with slight adjustments to improve the Sharpe ratio.
Risk Management
The strategy employs a reasonable risk management framework, evidenced by the maximum drawdown and absence of margin calls. Nonetheless, the volatility is quite high, indicative of substantial price swings and potential risk, which could be reduced by:
- Reducing leverage to decrease the maximum drawdown risk.
- Implementing more rigorous stop-loss strategies.
- Incorporating volatility-based position sizing.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to increase the Sharpe ratio above 0.5, aiming for better risk-adjusted returns.
- Explore incorporating additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals.
- Conduct out-of-sample testing to ensure robustness in various market scenarios.
- Enhance risk management by including advanced techniques like portfolio diversification to reduce unsystematic risk.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy demonstrates optimistic prospects with commendable returns and a manageable maximum drawdown. The overall metrics suggest strong potential, albeit with room for improvements to surpass industry benchmarks. By focusing on enhancing the Sharpe ratio and adjusting risk management, the strategy could become an excellent choice for real-world trading.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy while implementing suggested improvements. This balanced approach can increase its robustness and adaptability in various market conditions, ensuring sustained performance.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 3.94% | -2.49% | -7.94% | -0.96% | -9.53% | -7.69% | 4.79% | 25.71% | 19.09% |
2021 | 7.55% | 31.13% | 5.16% | 3.60% | 22.58% | 10.10% | 0.53% | 5.73% | -3.10% | 6.76% | 13.87% | 7.58% |
2022 | 3.76% | 1.13% | 5.16% | 2.48% | 7.87% | 10.05% | 7.69% | 9.13% | -2.96% | 0.55% | 7.67% | 0.17% |
2023 | 18.18% | 0.71% | 9.21% | -2.49% | 6.41% | 0.47% | 0.00% | -5.04% | -2.18% | 6.22% | 7.82% | 4.57% |
2024 | 10.29% | 26.51% | 17.87% | -10.79% | 3.97% | 5.53% | 0.28% | 2.19% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
35
Number of Trades
6.41%
Cumulative Returns
42.86%
Win Rate
2024-04-23
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
4.11%
30 Days
3.44%
60 Days
-15.25%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1183557.08 | 1183.56 | 885718.53 | 885.72 | 297838.55 | 297.84 |
Gross Profit | 2333347.6 | 2333.35 | 1392031.05 | 1392.03 | 941316.55 | 941.32 |
Gross Loss | 1149790.53 | 1149.79 | 506312.52 | 506.31 | 643478.01 | 643.48 |
Commission Paid | 54722.02 | 29547.67 | 25174.36 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 898120.94 | 898.12 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1496788.97 | 95.45 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 245444.04 | 35.6 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 36.0 | 34.0 | 36.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 147.0 | 81.0 | 66.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 88.0 | 53.0 | 35.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 59.0 | 28.0 | 31.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 59.86 | 65.43 | 53.03 | |||
Avg P&l | 8051.41 | 1.87 | 10934.8 | 2.44 | 4512.71 | 1.18 |
Avg Winning Trade | 26515.31 | 5.88 | 26264.74 | 5.85 | 26894.76 | 5.94 |
Avg Losing Trade | 19487.98 | 4.11 | 18082.59 | 4.01 | 20757.36 | 4.19 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.361 | 1.452 | 1.296 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 101708.04 | 101708.04 | 98617.11 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 7.72 | 7.71 | 7.72 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 71916.43 | 58764.96 | 71916.43 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.28 | 5.28 | 5.28 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 91.0 | 102.0 | 78.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 84.0 | 96.0 | 66.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 102.0 | 114.0 | 91.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.577 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.93 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.029 | 2.749 | 1.463 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1209158.33 | 1209.16 | 879143.68 | 879.14 | 330014.65 | 330.01 |
Gross Profit | 3559567.67 | 3559.57 | 2005040.09 | 2005.04 | 1554527.58 | 1554.53 |
Gross Loss | 2350409.34 | 2350.41 | 1125896.41 | 1125.9 | 1224512.93 | 1224.51 |
Commission Paid | 94841.56 | 51118.68 | 43722.88 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1194123.0 | 1194.12 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1707462.39 | 95.99 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 593789.42 | 35.6 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 36.0 | 34.0 | 36.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 182.0 | 99.0 | 83.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 103.0 | 60.0 | 43.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 79.0 | 39.0 | 40.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 56.59 | 60.61 | 51.81 | |||
Avg P&l | 6643.73 | 1.55 | 8880.24 | 2.01 | 3976.08 | 1.01 |
Avg Winning Trade | 34558.91 | 5.88 | 33417.33 | 5.85 | 36151.8 | 5.92 |
Avg Losing Trade | 29752.02 | 4.09 | 28869.14 | 3.91 | 30612.82 | 4.27 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.162 | 1.158 | 1.181 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 127642.18 | 127642.18 | 102921.63 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 7.72 | 7.71 | 7.72 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 91862.4 | 91862.4 | 76461.23 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 5.28 | 5.28 | 5.28 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 91.0 | 102.0 | 78.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 89.0 | 99.0 | 76.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 93.0 | 106.0 | 81.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.469 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.106 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.514 | 1.781 | 1.27 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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