Supertrend The Works [v5] 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [4d448369]
🛡️ SUPERTRENDTHEWORKS BTCUSDT 2H 16.4
@davidec29
⌛2 hours
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2020-05-10 02:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.50
- Sortino Ratio: 2.41
- Calmar: 0.00
- Longest DD Days: 0.00
- Volatility: 0.00
- Skew: 0.00
- Kurtosis: 0.00
- Expected Daily: 0.00
- Expected Monthly: 0.00
- Expected Yearly: 0.00
- Kelly Criterion: 0.00
- Daily Value-at-Risk: 0.00
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): 0.00
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-09 21:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 0
- Number Winning Trades 52
- Max Consecutive Losses: 0
- Number Losing Trades: 59
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the strategy demonstrates an interesting array of performance metrics, particularly in the crypto market context:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 27433.4 |
Gross Profit | 42510.64 |
Gross Loss | 15077.24 |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.498 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.409 |
Profit Factor | 2.82 |
Maximum Drawdown | 31.91% |
Percent Profitable | 46.85% |
The strategy exhibits robust profitability, with a net profit of 27433.4 and a remarkable profit factor of 2.82, indicating strong efficiency in generating profits relative to losses. The maximum drawdown of 31.91% is within acceptable limits for crypto markets, signaling manageable risk exposure, although slightly higher than ideal. Meanwhile, the Sharpe Ratio stands at 0.498, slightly under the 0.5 benchmark but still indicative of competitive performance with suitable adjustments.
Strategy Viability
This strategy presents a promising profile for real-world trading, especially under current volatile market conditions common in the crypto sector. While the Sharpe Ratio is marginally below the preferred threshold, the attractive profit factor and controlled drawdown suggest it could be viable. The strategy's performance is particularly noteworthy during times of high market momentum, which are frequent in crypto markets.
Risk Management
The strategy exhibits effective risk management with no margin calls reported and a favorable reward-to-risk dynamic due to the Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss of 3.199. However, there's room for improvement in managing daily volatility and optimizing the Sharpe Ratio, possibly through:
- Reducing leverage slightly to decrease maximum drawdown risk.
- Refining stop-loss orders to limit potential downside more effectively.
- Incorporating volatility-targeted position sizing for steadier performance.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy's robustness and overall returns, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize trade parameters to increase risk-adjusted returns and tighten drawdown limits.
- Integrate additional technical indicators to fine-tune entry and exit timing.
- Conduct comprehensive out-of-sample testing across various market conditions for better adaptability.
- Explore advanced risk management strategies like Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) for enhanced protection.
Final Opinion
In summary, this strategy demonstrates solid profitability with a commendable profit factor and manageable drawdown, making it a robust candidate within the crypto trading landscape, where market dynamics are often rapid and unpredictable. Despite a slightly underwhelming Sharpe Ratio, the strategy holds significant promise with strategic improvements.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and testing phases. Implement the suggested improvements to bolster performance metrics and elevate the strategy's efficacy in handling market volatility.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -0.04% | 35.48% | 49.34% | 13.85% | -1.34% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 65.48% | -2.57% | 4.58% | 4.53% | -2.04% | 23.11% | -8.99% | 0.00% | -7.36% | 6.78% | 54.48% | 6.53% |
2022 | 0.00% | -2.53% | -5.23% | 8.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.60% | 6.80% | -10.39% | -8.14% | 10.60% | -1.96% |
2021 | 67.37% | 98.26% | 6.00% | 13.63% | -13.79% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 58.76% | -27.92% | 59.06% | 2.47% | 0.00% |
2020 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -7.01% | 7.74% | -5.82% | 39.39% | -0.92% | 34.40% | 62.87% | 55.00% |
Live Trades Stats
BTC
Base Currency
17
Number of Trades
75.27%
Cumulative Returns
58.82%
Win Rate
2024-04-16
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
68.14%
30 Days
89.84%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 16,638.41 USDT | 15,602.41 | 16,638.41 USDT | 15,602.41 | 0 USDT | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 27,561.72 | 25,845.57 | 27,561.72 | 25,845.57 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 10,923.32 | 10,243.17 | 10,923.32 | 10,243.17 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 19,898.39 | 99.51 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 2,594.97 | 31.91 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 640.59 | 600.70 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.524 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.447 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.523 | 2.523 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 497.06 | 497.06 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 94 | 94 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 42 | 42 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 52 | 52 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 44.68 | 44.68 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 177.00 | 3.93 | 177.00 | 3.93 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 656.23 | 12.62 | 656.23 | 12.62 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 210.06 | 3.08 | 210.06 | 3.08 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.124 | 3.124 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 5,189.67 | 64.27 | 5,189.67 | 64.27 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,913.23 | 7.12 | 1,913.23 | 7.12 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 86 | 86 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 132 | 132 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 48 | 48 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 29,254.98 USDT | 27,433.40 | 29,254.98 USDT | 27,433.40 | 0 USDT | 0.00 |
Gross Profit | 45,333.35 | 42,510.64 | 45,333.35 | 42,510.64 | 0 | 0.00 |
Gross Loss | 16,078.37 | 15,077.24 | 16,078.37 | 15,077.24 | 0 | 0.00 |
Max Run-up | 34,182.55 | 99.72 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 4,702.95 | 31.91 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | 1,053.12 | 987.55 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.498 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.409 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.82 | 2.82 | N/A | |||
Max Contracts Held | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 963.13 | 963.13 | 0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 111 | 111 | 0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 52 | 52 | 0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 59 | 59 | 0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 46.85 | 46.85 | N/A | |||
Avg Trade | 263.56 | 3.70 | 263.56 | 3.70 | N/A | |
Avg Winning Trade | 871.80 | 11.28 | 871.80 | 11.28 | N/A | |
Avg Losing Trade | 272.51 | 2.98 | 272.51 | 2.98 | N/A | |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.199 | 3.199 | N/A | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 12,350.67 | 64.27 | 12,350.67 | 64.27 | N/A | |
Largest Losing Trade | 1,913.23 | 7.12 | 1,913.23 | 7.12 | N/A | |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 84 | 84 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 126 | 126 | 0 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 46 | 46 | 0 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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