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davidec29 macdliquidityspectrum btcusdt 1h 16.4

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MOMENTUM 1 hour @davidec29
● Live

MACD Liquidity Spectrum by @DaviddTech 🤖 [c37935d3]

🛡️ MACDLIQUIDITYSPECTRUM BTCUSDT 1H 16.4

Trading Pair
BTC
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +0% Updated 4 hours ago
Total Return Primary
8946.91%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
41.3%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.256
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
20180.7%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
385
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Apr 2, 2019
2,461
Days
385
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 19, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2019-04-02 06:00:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.44
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.17
  • Calmar: -0.21
  • Longest DD Days: 108.00
  • Volatility: 4.92
  • Skew: 1.18
  • Kurtosis: 3.70
  • Expected Daily: 0.02
  • Expected Monthly: 0.48
  • Expected Yearly: 5.91
  • Kelly Criterion: 8.11
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.43
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.60
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-19 06:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 6
  • Number Winning Trades 159
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 11
  • Number Losing Trades: 226
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.21
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.24
  • Payoff Ratio: 1.77
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.24
  • Tail Ratio: 1.63
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.37
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.30
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.02
  • Serenity Index: 0.40

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+0.00%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+3,333.10%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
-23,898.90%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-25,899.60%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-15,894.00%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+0.00%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+92.01%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+4,654.24%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+2,811.30%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+7,966.97%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
96.9%
Total Trades
385
Cumulative
87,068.40%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
70,301.10%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2019
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+4,089.80%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+1,124.50%
+31.58%
Simple P&L
+3,296.90%
+57.13%
Simple P&L
+2,782.50%
+67.28%
Simple P&L
-1,083.20%
+19.09%
Simple P&L
-173.20%
+28.45%
Simple P&L
-2,046.50%
+51.54%
Simple P&L
-128.60%
+11.81%
Simple P&L
-480.90%
+26.82%
Simple P&L
-136.60%
+22.49%
Simple P&L
2020
+1,817.60%
+37.17%
Simple P&L
-263.10%
+34.82%
Simple P&L
-4,200.50%
+70.51%
Simple P&L
+4,132.10%
+92.88%
Simple P&L
+419.50%
+66.81%
Simple P&L
-12.50%
+49.72%
Simple P&L
+2,102.00%
+65.22%
Simple P&L
+147.50%
+73.44%
Simple P&L
-547.00%
+63.97%
Simple P&L
+1,965.90%
+69.10%
Simple P&L
+6,476.60%
+134.09%
Simple P&L
+8,104.00%
+153.84%
Simple P&L
2021
+3,842.10%
+232.89%
Simple P&L
+13,409.80%
+349.96%
Simple P&L
+6,052.20%
+264.59%
Simple P&L
-244.40%
+250.75%
Simple P&L
-14,269.70%
+796.74%
Simple P&L
-5,403.00%
+605.50%
Simple P&L
+9,932.50%
+470.90%
Simple P&L
+7,896.90%
+416.73%
Simple P&L
-5,918.50%
+284.03%
Simple P&L
+19,648.50%
+386.41%
Simple P&L
-8,926.70%
+433.43%
Simple P&L
-6,975.80%
+189.67%
Simple P&L
2022
-7,758.90%
+775.61%
Simple P&L
-1,712.60%
+472.16%
Simple P&L
+6,880.00%
+175.94%
Simple P&L
-4,711.50%
+332.31%
Simple P&L
-9,951.90%
+1,027.38%
Simple P&L
-7,873.60%
+990.22%
Simple P&L
+1,719.50%
+791.15%
Simple P&L
-3,220.50%
+326.24%
Simple P&L
-403.40%
+900.60%
Simple P&L
+1,059.50%
+437.45%
Simple P&L
-4,377.00%
+953.13%
Simple P&L
+488.00%
+547.86%
Simple P&L
2023
+6,347.00%
+1,760.12%
Simple P&L
+557.00%
+820.74%
Simple P&L
+5,594.80%
+2,027.89%
Simple P&L
-1,684.80%
+424.91%
Simple P&L
-291.10%
+724.10%
Simple P&L
+3,034.60%
+797.90%
Simple P&L
-986.10%
+763.06%
Simple P&L
-1,347.00%
+716.51%
Simple P&L
-713.00%
+291.30%
Simple P&L
+6,458.60%
+2,048.67%
Simple P&L
+3,544.40%
+1,036.40%
Simple P&L
+4,741.10%
+724.79%
Simple P&L
2024
-2,424.80%
+3,254.07%
Simple P&L
+23,145.80%
+4,009.85%
Simple P&L
+8,410.40%
+3,695.43%
Simple P&L
-7,413.90%
+1,923.60%
Simple P&L
+6,122.40%
+1,296.23%
Simple P&L
-7,317.40%
+1,233.06%
Simple P&L
+5,734.40%
+2,450.41%
Simple P&L
-9,649.00%
+2,863.97%
Simple P&L
+5,950.60%
+703.52%
Simple P&L
+1,716.40%
+1,519.27%
Simple P&L
+29,759.50%
+3,223.46%
Simple P&L
-79.50%
+1,852.17%
Simple P&L
2025
+6,460.00%
+641.60%
Simple P&L
-18,011.50%
+2,179.45%
Simple P&L
-1,133.20%
+2,516.85%
Simple P&L
+9,775.10%
+742.61%
Simple P&L
+11,729.00%
+1,956.36%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

385

Number of Trades

87068.4%

Cumulative Returns

96.88%

Win Rate

2024-04-16

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

92.01%

30 Days

2811.3%

60 Days

4654.24%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l255.812.08
Net Profit12204.8812204.8810430.5510430.551774.331774.33
Gross Profit26369.6226369.6218225.1318225.138144.498144.49
Gross Loss14164.7414164.747794.587794.586370.166370.16
Expected Payoff43.1372.4312.76
Commission Paid1645.02989.25655.77
Buy & Hold Return1447.191447.19
Buy & Hold % Gain1447.19
Strategy Outperformance10757.69
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)142.9136.0271.68
Return On Initial Capital12204.8810430.551774.33
Account Size Required1998.32
Return On Account Size Required610.76521.9788.79
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)28 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)747.15747.15
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3183.43183.4
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)14373.2899.31
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)14373.28
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)42 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)423.81423.81
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown6.245.351.02
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)1811.21811.2
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)1998.3229.72
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)1998.32
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss1204.371446.95175.09
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit6.058.759.63
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss7.159.2515.91
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Total Closed Trades283.0144.0139.0
Number Winning Trades129.070.059.0
Number Losing Trades154.074.080.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable45.5848.6142.45
Avg P&l43.131.4272.431.8912.760.94
Avg Winning Trade204.426.38260.366.86138.045.81
Avg Losing Trade91.982.72105.332.879.632.65
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss2.2222.4721.734
Largest Winning Trade1594.641594.64784.14
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.838.837.35
Largest Losing Trade1013.39720.871013.39
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.195.185.19
Avg # Bars In Trades54.066.041.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades70.092.045.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades40.041.039.0
Sharpe Ratio0.613
Sortino Ratio2.613
Profit Factor1.8622.3381.279
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100
Open P&l00.0
Net Profit8946.918946.9110064.5710064.57-1117.65-1117.65
Gross Profit43931.0643931.0625959.0625959.0617972.017972.0
Gross Loss34984.1534984.1515894.4915894.4919089.6519089.65
Expected Payoff23.2455.0-5.53
Commission Paid3411.251712.171699.07
Buy & Hold Return2034.72034.7
Buy & Hold % Gain2034.7
Strategy Outperformance6912.21
Max Contracts Held00.00.0
Annualized Return (cagr)88.2591.350.0
Return On Initial Capital8946.9110064.57-1117.65
Account Size Required7070.39
Return On Account Size Required126.54142.35-15.81
Avg Margin Used0
Max Margin Used0
Margin Efficiency00.00.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration (close-to-close)36 days
Avg Equity Run-up (close-to-close)786.33786.33
Max Equity Run-up (close-to-close)3183.43183.4
Max Equity Run-up (intrabar)14373.2899.31
Max Equity Run-up As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)14373.28
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration (close-to-close)59 days
Avg Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)656.3656.3
Return Of Max Equity Drawdown1.271.42-0.16
Max Equity Drawdown (close-to-close)6926.056926.05
Max Equity Drawdown (intrabar)7070.3950.04
Max Equity Drawdown As % Of Initial Capital (intrabar)7070.39
Net Profit As % Of Largest Loss882.871273.71-110.29
Largest Winner As % Of Gross Profit3.636.146.48
Largest Loser As % Of Gross Loss2.94.975.31
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Total Closed Trades385.0183.0202.0
Number Winning Trades159.081.078.0
Number Losing Trades226.0102.0124.0
Even Trades0.00.00.0
Percent Profitable41.344.2638.61
Avg P&l23.241.055.01.47-5.530.58
Avg Winning Trade276.36.15320.486.71230.415.57
Avg Losing Trade154.82.62155.832.7153.952.56
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss1.7852.0571.497
Largest Winning Trade1594.641594.641164.26
Largest Winning Trade Percent8.848.847.35
Largest Losing Trade1013.39790.181013.39
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.195.185.19
Avg # Bars In Trades54.068.041.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades72.097.045.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades41.044.039.0
Sharpe Ratio0.435
Sortino Ratio1.169
Profit Factor1.2561.6330.941
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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⚪️ Other Backtest

AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Value
Cumulative Return (%) Net Profit: 10117.85%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 1.46%
Sharpe Ratio 0.451
Profit Factor 1.299
Maximum Drawdown 50.04%
Volatility 4.9%

The strategy shows strong cumulative returns but with a more modest annualized return rate. The Sharpe ratio, while slightly below 0.5, indicates areas for potential improvement in risk-adjusted returns. The profit factor above 1 suggests overall profitability, but the maximum drawdown is rather high and could be concerning if not managed properly.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, the strategy has potential viability for real-world trading; however, some caution is advised. While it shows a remarkable net profit, the high maximum drawdown could pose a risk in volatile markets. The strategy's market compatibility should be evaluated further to determine if conditions that favor its performance are likely to continue. It may benefit from adjusting its parameters to better fit different market phases.

Risk Management

The risk management aspects of the strategy could be improved. The high maximum drawdown suggests that position sizing and leverage might need adjustments. Some recommendations include:

  • Reducing leverage to lower drawdown risk and increase capital preservation.
  • Implementing stricter stop-loss mechanisms to guard against significant downturns.
  • Making use of a broader set of assets to diversify risk.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance performance and ensure stability, consider these suggestions:

  • Optimize the entry and exit parameters to minimize drawdowns while maximizing returns.
  • Incorporate more robust technical indicators to refine trade decisions.
  • Undertake systematic backtesting with out-of-sample data to validate strategy resilience.
  • Integrate advanced risk management techniques, such as stress testing and Value-at-Risk (VaR) tools.

Final Opinion

In summary, the strategy presents compelling performance potential with successful overall profitability but is shadowed by a significant drawdown. With thoughtful optimizations and improved risk management practices, it offers promising prospects for future robustness and adaptability in the crypto space.

Recommendation: Proceed with modifications focused on reducing drawdown using leverage management and parameter optimization strategies. Further testing under varying market conditions is advised to enhance confidence in its real-world application.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
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Edge Strength
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Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
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Edge Decay Analysis
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Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
--
Avg Regime Duration
--
Current Regime Age
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

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Strategy Analysis Video

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