TTMS Trend by @DaviddTech 🤖 [ccc4554d]
🛡️ TTMSTREND AAVEUSDT 1H 04.06
@chibuku
⌛1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 1 hour agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-06-12 02:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.48
- Sortino Ratio: 1.22
- Calmar: -2.97
- Longest DD Days: 52.00
- Volatility: 58.75
- Skew: -0.15
- Kurtosis: 2.14
- Expected Daily: 0.74
- Expected Monthly: 16.85
- Expected Yearly: 548.01
- Kelly Criterion: 22.08
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.72
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -8.55
- Last Trade Date: 2025-03-24 14:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 14
- Number Winning Trades 309
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 118
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.97
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.44
- Payoff Ratio: 0.55
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.44
- Tail Ratio: 1.07
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.36
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.91
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.10
- Serenity Index: 83.81
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Cumulative Return | 1659.39% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 114.46% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.476 |
Profit Factor | 1.45 |
Maximum Drawdown | 43.79% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 58.89% |
The strategy demonstrates substantial cumulative and annualized returns of 1659.39% and 114.46%, respectively. While the Sharpe ratio of 0.476 falls slightly below the generally desirable threshold of 0.5, it is still within a potentially competitive range given the volatile nature of crypto markets. The maximum drawdown of 43.79% suggests opportunities for improvement, particularly through risk management techniques.
Strategy Viability
Based on the data provided, this strategy has potential for real-world trading, although with caution. It yields impressive returns, yet the relative risk-adjusted performance as indicated by the Sharpe and Calmar ratios highlights a need for careful risk management. The slight underperformance of the Sharpe ratio against the threshold can be attributed to the elevated volatility in crypto, which the strategy might capitalize on in favorable conditions. Assessing whether these market conditions will persist is crucial.
Risk Management
Risk management appears to be a critical area for enhancement. The high maximum drawdown suggests that the strategy may be vulnerable to significant losses during downturns. Key recommendations include:
- Implementing stricter stop-loss strategies and position sizing techniques to limit downside risk.
- Reducing leverage to decrease drawdown susceptibility, thereby enhancing stability.
- Monitoring market volatility closely to adjust trades dynamically, ensuring adaptability to current conditions.
Improvement Suggestions
To bolster the strategy's performance and resilience, consider the following enhancements:
- Refine parameters to balance risk and return, thereby improving the Sharpe ratio.
- Integrate additional technical indicators that may enhance timing of entry and exit points.
- Engage in backtesting across multiple market scenarios to validate strategy robustness.
- Further diversify to minimize unsystematic risk and optimize asset allocation.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy exhibits strong cumulative and annualized returns on the surface. However, higher-than-ideal drawdowns and volatility-related adjustments are necessary to fortify risk-adjusted performance. The implementation of comprehensive risk management protocols can elevate this strategy's reliability.
Recommendation: Proceed by iterating on risk management improvements and conducting further testing. These actions will likely enhance the Sharpe ratio, ensuring the strategy not only remains viable but thrives in dynamic crypto markets.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.71% | 6.36% | -27.59% | 20.18% | 12.91% | -3.85% | 8.08% |
2022 | 18.84% | 14.80% | 22.83% | 11.23% | -1.64% | 54.76% | 33.79% | 0.89% | 0.52% | 5.25% | 8.59% | -4.51% |
2023 | 6.79% | 14.86% | 11.91% | 3.62% | -0.91% | 2.10% | 14.37% | 12.56% | -0.50% | 14.84% | 14.29% | 11.29% |
2024 | 0.02% | 4.68% | -8.88% | 7.27% | -6.43% | -1.94% | 33.29% | 11.42% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
AAVE
Base Currency
99
Number of Trades
28.1%
Cumulative Returns
70.71%
Win Rate
2024-06-04
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-14.89%
30 Days
-19.24%
60 Days
-3.54%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1337469.59 | 1337.47 | 1155819.53 | 1155.82 | 181650.06 | 181.65 |
Gross Profit | 2726136.41 | 2726.14 | 1734836.65 | 1734.84 | 991299.76 | 991.3 |
Gross Loss | 1388666.82 | 1388.67 | 579017.13 | 579.02 | 809649.7 | 809.65 |
Commission Paid | 95281.3 | 42139.44 | 53141.86 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -66548.93 | -66.55 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 1594085.06 | 95.08 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 190311.76 | 32.56 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 29253.0 | 25202.0 | 29253.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 328.0 | 139.0 | 189.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 239.0 | 103.0 | 136.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 89.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 72.87 | 74.1 | 71.96 | |||
Avg P&l | 4077.65 | 2.17 | 8315.25 | 2.87 | 961.11 | 1.66 |
Avg Winning Trade | 11406.43 | 4.11 | 16843.07 | 5.03 | 7288.97 | 3.41 |
Avg Losing Trade | 15603.0 | 3.02 | 16083.81 | 3.31 | 15276.41 | 2.83 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.731 | 1.047 | 0.477 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 105316.63 | 105316.63 | 65198.77 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 13.69 | 13.69 | 11.15 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 110043.71 | 85471.12 | 110043.71 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 9.49 | 8.37 | 9.49 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 16.0 | 21.0 | 13.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 16.0 | 21.0 | 13.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 16.0 | 22.0 | 12.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.565 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.725 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.963 | 2.996 | 1.224 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 1664316.83 | 1664.32 | 1302096.38 | 1302.1 | 362220.44 | 362.22 |
Gross Profit | 5448869.45 | 5448.87 | 3419113.86 | 3419.11 | 2029755.59 | 2029.76 |
Gross Loss | 3784552.62 | 3784.55 | 2117017.48 | 2117.02 | 1667535.14 | 1667.54 |
Commission Paid | 191138.57 | 97080.96 | 94057.61 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | -38298.33 | -38.3 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 2490584.98 | 96.79 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1124525.6 | 43.79 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 29253.0 | 26161.0 | 29253.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 427.0 | 190.0 | 237.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 309.0 | 137.0 | 172.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 118.0 | 53.0 | 65.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 72.37 | 72.11 | 72.57 | |||
Avg P&l | 3897.7 | 2.05 | 6853.14 | 2.57 | 1528.36 | 1.63 |
Avg Winning Trade | 17633.88 | 4.06 | 24957.04 | 4.91 | 11800.9 | 3.39 |
Avg Losing Trade | 32072.48 | 3.23 | 39943.73 | 3.47 | 25654.39 | 3.03 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.55 | 0.625 | 0.46 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 194434.16 | 194434.16 | 148302.83 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 13.69 | 13.69 | 11.15 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 259326.99 | 254877.76 | 259326.99 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 9.49 | 8.37 | 9.49 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 18.0 | 23.0 | 14.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 18.0 | 22.0 | 14.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 18.0 | 25.0 | 13.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.477 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 1.221 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.44 | 1.615 | 1.217 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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