Trigger Happy 2 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [81806ef3]
🛡️ TRIGGERHAPPY2 RUNEUSDT 45M 7.05
@chibuku
⌛45 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-12-04 12:30:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.69
- Sortino Ratio: 6.37
- Calmar: -12.12
- Longest DD Days: 35.00
- Volatility: 53.93
- Skew: 0.09
- Kurtosis: -0.21
- Expected Daily: 0.82
- Expected Monthly: 18.68
- Expected Yearly: 680.82
- Kelly Criterion: 21.11
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -4.81
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -5.72
- Last Trade Date: 2024-12-09 16:15:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 10
- Number Winning Trades 259
- Max Consecutive Losses: 4
- Number Losing Trades: 165
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -12.12
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.52
- Payoff Ratio: 0.96
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.52
- Tail Ratio: 1.30
- Outlier Win Ratio: 2.71
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.66
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.05
- Serenity Index: 588.71
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the QuantStats report for the given trading strategy, several key performance metrics provide insight into its effectiveness:
Metric | Value |
---|---|
CAGR | 219.66% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.738 |
Profit Factor | 1.624 |
Maximum Drawdown | 15.51% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 53.41% |
Percent Profitable | 61.58% |
Net Profit | 2746.36 |
This strategy demonstrates impressive returns with a high CAGR of 219.66%. A Sharpe Ratio of 0.738 indicates good risk-adjusted returns, especially for the crypto markets. The strategy maintains a maximum drawdown of 15.51%, well within acceptable limits, further enhancing its attractiveness.
Strategy Viability
Based on the performance data, the strategy appears viable for real-world trading, especially in crypto markets known for higher volatility. The Maximum Drawdown of just 15.51% provides a robust downside protection mechanism. The profitable trades ratio of 61.58% also supports its effectiveness. Conditions favoring the strategy should be monitored to ensure continued success during changing market environments.
Risk Management
The efforts in risk management are visible in the strategy’s low maximum drawdown and avoidance of margin calls. However, its annualized volatility of 53.41% suggests scope for better managing daily price swings:
- Incorporate dynamic position sizing based on market volatilites.
- Improve stop-loss implementations to potentially reduce drawdowns further.
- Consider adding diversification to reduce idiosyncratic risk.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance both performance and robustness of the trading strategy, consider the following enhancements:
- Fine-tune strategy parameters with advanced optimization techniques to improve Sharpe and Calmar ratios.
- Explore additional indicators for better entry/exit timing to capitalize on more favorable market movements.
- Perform more comprehensive backtests that consider out-of-sample to validate in varying market conditions.
- Consider the use of leverage with caution; possibly reduce leverage to lower volatility and drawdowns.
Final Opinion
This strategy portrays potent returns with commendable risk-adjusted performance metrics. Its resilience against drawdowns and ability to maintain profitability despite crypto market volatility illustrate its solid base. However, to ensure robustness and improve marginal gains, it will benefit from continuous optimization and prudent risk management adjustments.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and fine-tuning of this strategy. Carefully implement recommended improvements, particularly in risk management, to secure and extend its effectiveness across diverse market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 3.17% | 24.99% | -1.22% | 2.41% | 16.57% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 6.35% | -4.80% | 12.92% | 3.87% | 3.15% | -1.21% | -0.47% | 29.80% | 2.53% | 44.75% | 15.01% | -1.14% |
2022 | 5.74% | 1.09% | 54.83% | 35.90% | 14.25% | 15.29% | 19.07% | 4.91% | -2.18% | -0.73% | 0.70% | 9.55% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 18.78% |
Live Trades Stats
RUNE
Base Currency
77
Number of Trades
37.11%
Cumulative Returns
55.84%
Win Rate
2024-05-07
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-4.13%
30 Days
3.21%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,842,541.80 USD | 1,842.54 | 1,377,339.26 USD | 1,377.34 | 465,202.54 USD | 465.20 |
Gross Profit | 4,675,379.40 | 4,675.38 | 2,864,018.01 | 2,864.02 | 1,811,361.39 | 1,811.36 |
Gross Loss | 2,832,837.60 | 2,832.84 | 1,486,678.75 | 1,486.68 | 1,346,158.85 | 1,346.16 |
Max Run-up | 1,955,954.93 | 95.14 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 273,575.26 | 15.51 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −40,567.17 | −40.57 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.732 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 9.897 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.65 | 1.926 | 1.346 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 546,342 | 479,248 | 546,342 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 102,540.38 | 52,162.74 | 50,377.64 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 347 | 159 | 188 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 216 | 88 | 128 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 131 | 71 | 60 | |||
Percent Profitable | 62.25 | 55.35 | 68.09 | |||
Avg Trade | 5,309.92 | 1.50 | 8,662.51 | 2.28 | 2,474.48 | 0.83 |
Avg Winning Trade | 21,645.28 | 5.88 | 32,545.66 | 8.19 | 14,151.26 | 4.29 |
Avg Losing Trade | 21,624.71 | 5.72 | 20,939.14 | 5.04 | 22,435.98 | 6.54 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.001 | 1.554 | 0.631 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 145,218.47 | 15.65 | 145,218.47 | 15.65 | 88,594.06 | 13.16 |
Largest Losing Trade | 137,051.16 | 11.73 | 102,589.87 | 9.64 | 137,051.16 | 11.73 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 43 | 51 | 37 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 40 | 49 | 34 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 49 | 53 | 44 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 2,592,529.76 USD | 2,592.53 | 2,107,733.11 USD | 2,107.73 | 484,796.65 USD | 484.80 |
Gross Profit | 7,896,985.00 | 7,896.98 | 4,642,898.13 | 4,642.90 | 3,254,086.86 | 3,254.09 |
Gross Loss | 5,304,455.23 | 5,304.46 | 2,535,165.02 | 2,535.17 | 2,769,290.21 | 2,769.29 |
Max Run-up | 3,065,270.99 | 96.84 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 591,566.43 | 19.26 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −29,190.85 | −29.19 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.689 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 6.374 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.489 | 1.831 | 1.175 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 588,644 | 507,133 | 588,644 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 180,096.35 | 86,607.17 | 93,489.18 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 424 | 193 | 231 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 259 | 104 | 155 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 165 | 89 | 76 | |||
Percent Profitable | 61.08 | 53.89 | 67.10 | |||
Avg Trade | 6,114.46 | 1.37 | 10,920.90 | 2.16 | 2,098.69 | 0.71 |
Avg Winning Trade | 30,490.29 | 5.86 | 44,643.25 | 8.25 | 20,994.11 | 4.25 |
Avg Losing Trade | 32,148.21 | 5.69 | 28,485.00 | 4.97 | 36,438.03 | 6.53 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 0.948 | 1.567 | 0.576 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 186,201.82 | 15.65 | 186,201.82 | 15.65 | 140,104.53 | 13.16 |
Largest Losing Trade | 189,183.75 | 11.73 | 108,440.41 | 9.64 | 189,183.75 | 11.73 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 43 | 52 | 36 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 41 | 53 | 32 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 47 | 51 | 43 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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