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chibuku trendhoo avaxusdt 45m 23.4

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TREND FOLOWING 45 minutes @chibuku
● Live

🚀 Trendhoo [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [836ca155]

🛡️ TRENDHOO AVAXUSDT 45M 23.4

Trading Pair
AVAX
Base Currency
by DaviddTech - May 9, 2024
0
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Performance Overview

Live Trading
Last 7 days: +13.51% Updated 5 hours ago
Total Return Primary
49.03%
Net Profit Performance
Win Rate Success
84.88%
Trade Success Ratio
Max Drawdown Risk
34.64%
Risk Control
Profit Factor Efficiency
1.082
Risk-Reward Ratio
Incubation Delta Live
-14.76%
Live vs Backtest
Total Trades Volume
1415
Executed Trades

Equity Curve Analysis

Performance comparison between backtest and live trading results

Backtest Performance
Live Trading
First Trade
Sep 20, 2021
1,555
Days
1415
Trades
Last Trade
Dec 23, 2025
ℹ️ All backtests include realistic trading fees and slippage

Strategy Analysis & Data

Comprehensive performance metrics and detailed analysis

Performance Metrics

Detailed trading performance analysis and key metrics

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-09-20 00:45:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.12
  • Sortino Ratio: 0.19
  • Calmar: -0.31
  • Longest DD Days: 425.00
  • Volatility: 20.80
  • Skew: -5.20
  • Kurtosis: 37.56
  • Expected Daily: 0.04
  • Expected Monthly: 0.80
  • Expected Yearly: 9.97
  • Kelly Criterion: 6.67
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -1.99
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -4.70
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-12-23 13:30:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 33
  • Number Winning Trades 1,201
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 3
  • Number Losing Trades: 214
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.31
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.09
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.19
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.09
  • Tail Ratio: 0.54
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 8.47
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.86
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.12
  • Serenity Index: 0.72

Trade Analysis

Individual trade breakdown and analysis

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

Monthly Profit & Loss

Monthly performance breakdown with profit/loss indicators

☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

⚡ Live Performance Analytics Dashboard

Last 7 Days
+3.64%
COMPOUNDED
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
-8.29%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 90 Days
-7.30%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 60 Days
-12.75%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 180 Days
-0.78%
COMPOUNDED
LOSS
Last 7 Days
+16.76%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 30 Days
+18.21%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 90 Days
+111.14%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 60 Days
+51.73%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Last 180 Days
+293.39%
SIMPLE SUM
PROFIT
Win Rate
84.8%
Total Trades
1416
Cumulative
50.50%
COMPOUNDED
Simple Total
2,435.30%
SUM OF P&L

📊 Detailed Monthly Performance Analysis

Comprehensive monthly breakdown showing both cumulative (compounded) returns and simple P&L sums. Each cell displays both metrics for complete transparency.

Incubation Period
Live Trading

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
2021
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+0.00%
+0.00%
Simple P&L
+3.14%
+32.65%
Simple P&L
-0.66%
+38.52%
Simple P&L
-7.68%
+37.52%
Simple P&L
+9.74%
+88.28%
Simple P&L
2022
+11.46%
+94.82%
Simple P&L
+12.57%
+83.48%
Simple P&L
-17.85%
+13.29%
Simple P&L
-1.89%
+9.00%
Simple P&L
+11.26%
+85.29%
Simple P&L
+4.54%
+72.65%
Simple P&L
+24.89%
+110.88%
Simple P&L
+17.66%
+107.11%
Simple P&L
+1.12%
+5.26%
Simple P&L
-0.58%
+55.97%
Simple P&L
-15.56%
+24.15%
Simple P&L
-8.66%
-0.39%
Simple P&L
2023
+28.39%
+143.67%
Simple P&L
+3.69%
+59.23%
Simple P&L
-21.40%
-2.69%
Simple P&L
+10.02%
+15.90%
Simple P&L
+0.92%
+36.15%
Simple P&L
+6.99%
+50.15%
Simple P&L
-4.42%
+39.21%
Simple P&L
-9.11%
+26.64%
Simple P&L
+1.04%
-5.39%
Simple P&L
-9.11%
+54.77%
Simple P&L
+19.72%
+78.14%
Simple P&L
+7.94%
+50.00%
Simple P&L
2024
+4.92%
+69.00%
Simple P&L
-1.18%
+30.69%
Simple P&L
-20.57%
-1.94%
Simple P&L
-18.66%
+41.14%
Simple P&L
-7.07%
-39.81%
Simple P&L
+0.53%
+34.40%
Simple P&L
-11.01%
+26.46%
Simple P&L
+11.80%
+107.39%
Simple P&L
+17.77%
+83.02%
Simple P&L
+3.63%
+32.77%
Simple P&L
+0.39%
+58.14%
Simple P&L
-6.39%
+49.18%
Simple P&L
2025
+5.40%
+55.97%
Simple P&L
+11.04%
+54.93%
Simple P&L
+11.66%
+79.59%
Simple P&L
-15.74%
+34.26%
Simple P&L
+2.60%
+39.41%
Simple P&L
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Live Trading Statistics

Real-time trading performance and statistics

Live Trades Stats

1416

Number of Trades

50.5%

Cumulative Returns

84.82%

Win Rate

2024-04-23

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

18.21%

30 Days

51.73%

60 Days

111.14%

90 Days

Strategy Audit & Screenshots

Visual verification of strategy performance with TradingView screenshots

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l-20144.7-12.19
Net Profit65221.4865.2270084.5570.08-4863.07-4.86
Gross Profit385935.02385.94205820.43205.82180114.59180.11
Gross Loss320713.55320.71135735.89135.74184977.66184.98
Commission Paid18743.299534.629208.67
Buy & Hold Return-44767.06-44.77
Max Contracts Held78717450.07871.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration21 days
Avg Equity Run-up8471.358.47
Max Equity Run-up93770.0250.8
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration25 days
Avg Equity Drawdown14957.4814.96
Max Drawdown41484.4422.58
Total Closed Trades950.0473.0477.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades824.0414.0410.0
Number Losing Trades126.059.067.0
Percent Profitable86.7487.5385.95
Avg P&l68.651.62148.171.88-10.21.37
Avg Winning Trade468.372.66497.152.79439.32.53
Avg Losing Trade2545.355.142300.614.532760.865.68
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.1840.2160.159
Largest Winning Trade5023.075023.073853.24
Largest Winning Trade Percent21.0421.0415.79
Largest Losing Trade23292.4818875.0423292.48
Largest Losing Trade Percent29.1423.8429.14
Avg # Bars In Trades38.033.042.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades34.030.039.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades59.056.062.0
Sharpe Ratio0.166
Sortino Ratio0.277
Profit Factor1.2031.5160.974
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Initial Capital100000
Open P&l1495.171.0
Net Profit49030.9749.0382659.6282.66-33628.65-33.63
Gross Profit649810.1649.81318949.81318.95330860.29330.86
Gross Loss600779.12600.78236290.19236.29364488.93364.49
Commission Paid29688.6914723.8814964.81
Buy & Hold Return-82748.04-82.75
Max Contracts Held78717450.07871.0
Avg Equity Run-up Duration32 days
Avg Equity Run-up10019.9110.02
Max Equity Run-up96845.8251.6
Avg Equity Drawdown Duration43 days
Avg Equity Drawdown19769.6419.77
Max Drawdown63641.3134.64
Total Closed Trades1415.0698.0717.0
Total Open Trades1.00.01.0
Number Winning Trades1201.0591.0610.0
Number Losing Trades214.0107.0107.0
Percent Profitable84.8884.6785.08
Avg P&l34.651.72118.421.83-46.91.61
Avg Winning Trade541.063.0539.683.02542.392.99
Avg Losing Trade2807.385.512208.324.733406.446.29
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.1930.2440.159
Largest Winning Trade5023.075023.073853.24
Largest Winning Trade Percent21.0421.0415.79
Largest Losing Trade24979.9918875.0424979.99
Largest Losing Trade Percent34.3523.8434.35
Avg # Bars In Trades43.040.046.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades39.036.041.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades67.061.074.0
Sharpe Ratio0.12
Sortino Ratio0.185
Profit Factor1.0821.350.908
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

TradingView Screenshots

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AI Quantitative Analysis

Advanced AI-powered insights and strategy analysis

AI Quantitative Analyst

Ready to analyze
Risk Analysis
Performance Metrics
Market Insights
🤖
Hello! I'm your AI Quantitative Analyst. I can provide deep insights into this trading strategy's performance, risk metrics, and market behavior. What would you like to know?
Just now
📊

Comprehensive Strategy Analysis

AI Generated

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 49.03%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 10%
Sharpe Ratio 0.119
Profit Factor 1.082
Maximum Drawdown 34.64%
Volatility (Annualized) 20.8%

The strategy has shown moderate cumulative returns of 49.03% over the observed period, with a manageable maximum drawdown of 34.64%, fitting within the acceptable range for crypto strategies. However, the low Sharpe ratio of 0.119 indicates that the risk-adjusted returns could be improved.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy appears to be somewhat viable for real-world trading, particularly considering its high win rate of 84.88%. While the Sharpe ratio is below the desired threshold, the low maximum drawdown suggests potential for controlled risk exposure. The Profit Factor is slightly above 1, indicating slightly more gains than losses.

Risk Management

The strategy demonstrates reasonable risk management given the manageable drawdown and absence of margin calls. Suggestions for minimizing risks further could include controlling leverage to reduce drawdowns and enhancing stop-loss protocols. Consider the following enhancements:

  • Utilize dynamic position sizing strategies to align with fluctuating market volatility.
  • Implement additional or tighter stop-loss thresholds to curtail potential losses.
  • Review and adjust leverage levels to mitigate exacerbated drawdowns.

Improvement Suggestions

To further enhance the strategy’s performance and robustness, consider the following recommendations:

  • Optimize strategy parameters to improve risk-adjusted returns, focusing on improving the Sharpe ratio.
  • Incorporate additional market indicators to refine entry and exit timing.
  • Conduct further testing, including out-of-sample and forward testing, to validate robustness under various market conditions.
  • Explore diversification across multiple assets to spread risk and reduce the impact of potential downturns in single markets.

Final Opinion

In summary, while the strategy demonstrates moderate returns with controlled drawdown levels, improvements in risk-adjusted returns are needed to enhance viability. The high win rate is promising, yet further optimizations and validations are essential.

Recommendation: Proceed with the strategy accompanied by rigorous testing and optimization. Focus on improving the Sharpe ratio and refining risk management techniques. Consider adopting additional indicators and varying parameters to increase robustness in diverse market conditions.

⚡ Generated in 3.2s
🎯 95% Confidence
📈 Risk-Reward Analysis
📊 Performance Metrics
🎯 Market Comparison
AI is analyzing the strategy...

Advanced Markov Motor Analysis

Sophisticated analysis of strategy edge degradation, rolling metrics, and Markov chain properties

Analysis Controls

Live Analysis
20 trades
1.2 PF
Rolling Performance Metrics
📈
Current Trend
Analyzing...
⚡
Edge Strength
Calculating...
Markov State Transitions
W L Win/Loss States
Transition Probabilities
From/To
Win
Loss
Win
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Loss
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Edge Decay Analysis
Edge Intact
Consistency Score
--
Stability Index
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Trend Strength
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Return Distribution Analysis
Skewness --
Kurtosis --
Tail Risk --
Market Regime Detection
Analyzing...
Favorable Regime %
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Avg Regime Duration
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Markov Intelligence Insights

Analyzing strategy patterns...

📹 Strategy Deep Dive

Watch the detailed analysis and access the live chart for this strategy

Strategy Analysis Video

Live TradingView Chart

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