THE DEAD ZONE [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [4abe17a1]
🛡️ DEADZONEV5 MATICUSDT 30M
@chibuku
⌛30 minutes
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2021-07-13 06:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.56
- Sortino Ratio: 2.66
- Calmar: -2.54
- Longest DD Days: 27.00
- Volatility: 124.10
- Skew: 1.55
- Kurtosis: 2,110.91
- Expected Daily: 2.63
- Expected Monthly: 72.62
- Expected Yearly: 69,914.37
- Kelly Criterion: 28.49
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -6.13
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -12.10
- Last Trade Date: 2024-08-25 09:30:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 12
- Number Winning Trades 77
- Max Consecutive Losses: 5
- Number Losing Trades: 44
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -2.54
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.83
- Payoff Ratio: 1.08
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.83
- Tail Ratio: 2.81
- Outlier Win Ratio: 3.45
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 5.31
- Recovery Factor: 21.73
- Ulcer Index: 0.52
- Serenity Index: 20.56
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that merit attention:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Net Profit | 1037.07% |
Sharpe Ratio | 0.56 |
Sortino Ratio | 2.661 |
Profit Factor | 1.9 |
Maximum Drawdown | 46.26% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 124.10% |
Win Rate | 63.64% |
The strategy exhibits a strong net profit of 1037.07% with a Sharpe Ratio above the threshold of 0.5, indicating satisfactory risk-adjusted performance despite high volatility. A win rate of 63.64% is a positive indicator of consistent profitability across trades. However, the maximum drawdown of 46.26% is slightly above the optimal threshold, suggesting the need for enhanced risk management.
Strategy Viability
This strategy seems viable for real-world trading given its profitable performance and risk-adjusted metrics. While it operates under volatile conditions, the profitability factor and win rate suggest that the strategy can navigate market changes effectively. However, achieving a lower maximum drawdown through careful leverage management will be crucial to ensuring long-term viability and reducing capital risks.
Risk Management
The strategy displays better than average risk management through its positive Gain/Pain Ratio (1.83) and effective trade management as indicated by the high profit factor. Nevertheless, additional improvements in managing drawdowns could be beneficial:
- Reducing leverage can help keep the drawdown within the 40% threshold, enhancing capital preservation.
- Consider implementing more strategic stop-loss placements to curtail losses during adverse market conditions.
- Explore diversification into other crypto assets to spread risk and reduce unsystematic exposure.
Improvement Suggestions
To further enhance strategy performance and ensure robustness, consider the following suggestions:
- Fine-tune the trading parameters based on recent market dynamics to boost returns while minimizing drawdowns.
- Integrate a broader selection of indicators for more precise entry and exit signals.
- Engage in rigorous out-of-sample and cross-validation testing for assessment under different future market scenarios.
- Strengthen the risk management framework by incorporating Value-at-Risk (VaR) metrics and stress testing.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy showcases strong profitability and acceptable risk-adjusted performance, making it a promising candidate for further development. Despite the higher-than-ideal drawdown, the robustness can be improved through strategic optimizations and reduced exposure.
Recommendation: Proceed with further optimization and backtesting of the strategy. Focus on fine-tuning risk management strategies to reduce drawdowns. Implement suggested improvements to enhance overall strategy endurance and adaptability to future market conditions.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | -3.22% | -5.54% | 0.00% | 3.02% | 0.24% | -2.30% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2023 | 15.00% | 0.55% | 3.82% | 4.36% | 8.38% | 29.07% | 8.95% | 0.43% | 1.12% | 10.12% | -1.38% | -1.67% |
2022 | 30.01% | 6.82% | 0.00% | 10.39% | 8.32% | -0.34% | 5.94% | 27.58% | 11.78% | 10.75% | 10.48% | -13.90% |
2021 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 15.88% | 43.13% | 17.69% | 2.01% | 30.58% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
MATIC
Base Currency
24
Number of Trades
-9.77%
Cumulative Returns
37.5%
Win Rate
2024-01-03
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
0%
30 Days
0%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,162,319.92 USD | 1,162.32 | 530,291.59 USD | 530.29 | 632,028.33 USD | 632.03 |
Gross Profit | 1,920,676.96 | 1,920.68 | 1,069,211.43 | 1,069.21 | 851,465.53 | 851.47 |
Gross Loss | 758,357.04 | 758.36 | 538,919.84 | 538.92 | 219,437.20 | 219.44 |
Max Run-up | 1,286,313.22 | 96.00 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 126,920.01 | 48.65 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −20.65 | −0.02 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.704 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.502 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.533 | 1.984 | 3.88 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 3,602,305 | 3,602,305 | 2,623,247 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 68,055.71 | 43,249.00 | 24,806.70 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 97 | 60 | 37 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 68 | 39 | 29 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 29 | 21 | 8 | |||
Percent Profitable | 70.10 | 65.00 | 78.38 | |||
Avg Trade | 11,982.68 | 1.70 | 8,838.19 | 1.18 | 17,081.85 | 2.53 |
Avg Winning Trade | 28,245.25 | 3.87 | 27,415.68 | 3.64 | 29,360.88 | 4.19 |
Avg Losing Trade | 26,150.24 | 3.40 | 25,662.85 | 3.39 | 27,429.65 | 3.45 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.08 | 1.068 | 1.07 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 84,122.08 | 17.53 | 35,499.66 | 6.07 | 84,122.08 | 17.53 |
Largest Losing Trade | 36,755.84 | 5.35 | 34,333.95 | 5.35 | 36,755.84 | 5.35 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 27 | 28 | 26 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 28 | 28 | 28 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 25 | 27 | 20 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Profit | 1,037,070.94 USD | 1,037.07 | 352,409.66 USD | 352.41 | 684,661.27 USD | 684.66 |
Gross Profit | 2,188,784.64 | 2,188.78 | 1,163,108.06 | 1,163.11 | 1,025,676.58 | 1,025.68 |
Gross Loss | 1,151,713.71 | 1,151.71 | 810,698.40 | 810.70 | 341,015.31 | 341.02 |
Max Run-up | 1,286,313.22 | 96.00 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 238,974.34 | 48.65 | ||||
Buy & Hold Return | −60,586.35 | −60.59 | ||||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.56 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.661 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.9 | 1.435 | 3.008 | |||
Max Contracts Held | 3,602,305 | 3,602,305 | 2,623,247 | |||
Open PL | 0 | 0.00 | ||||
Commission Paid | 85,794.43 | 54,353.49 | 31,440.95 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 121 | 73 | 48 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 77 | 42 | 35 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 44 | 31 | 13 | |||
Percent Profitable | 63.64 | 57.53 | 72.92 | |||
Avg Trade | 8,570.83 | 1.24 | 4,827.53 | 0.72 | 14,263.78 | 2.03 |
Avg Winning Trade | 28,425.77 | 3.85 | 27,693.05 | 3.60 | 29,305.05 | 4.15 |
Avg Losing Trade | 26,175.31 | 3.33 | 26,151.56 | 3.19 | 26,231.95 | 3.68 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 1.086 | 1.059 | 1.117 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 84,122.08 | 17.53 | 35,499.66 | 6.07 | 84,122.08 | 17.53 |
Largest Losing Trade | 36,755.84 | 5.50 | 34,647.00 | 5.35 | 36,755.84 | 5.50 |
Avg # Bars in Trades | 29 | 29 | 29 | |||
Avg # Bars in Winning Trades | 31 | 31 | 31 | |||
Avg # Bars in Losing Trades | 24 | 26 | 21 | |||
Margin Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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