🚀 Super FVMA + Zero Lag [v5] by @DaviddTech 🤖 [77f67f2c]
🛡️ SUPERFVMA+ZL ETHUSD 1H 9.4 @bunie33
TREND FOLOWING
1 hour
⚪️ Deep Backtest
Last updated: 2 hours agoTrades per Day
Key Performance Metrics
- First Traded Date: 2019-04-20 21:00:00
- Sharpe Ratio: 0.50
- Sortino Ratio: 2.42
- Calmar: -1.18
- Longest DD Days: 40.00
- Volatility: 2.26
- Skew: 2.64
- Kurtosis: 10.87
- Expected Daily: 0.02
- Expected Monthly: 0.47
- Expected Yearly: 5.77
- Kelly Criterion: 18.82
- Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.13
- Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.18
- Last Trade Date: 2025-04-02 21:00:00
- Max Consecutive Wins: 7
- Number Winning Trades 135
- Max Consecutive Losses: 8
- Number Losing Trades: 185
- Gain/Pain Ratio: -1.18
- Gain/Pain (1M): 1.81
- Payoff Ratio: 2.47
- Common Sense Ratio: 1.81
- Tail Ratio: 2.54
- Outlier Win Ratio: 4.20
- Outlier Loss Ratio: 7.66
- Recovery Factor: 0.00
- Ulcer Index: 0.00
- Serenity Index: 3.90
AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst
Performance Analysis
Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, the performance metrics present an intriguing picture of the strategy:
Metric | Strategy |
---|---|
Sharpe Ratio | 0.502 |
Profit Factor | 1.799 |
Maximum Drawdown | -14.17% |
Annualized Return (CAGR %) | 1.19% |
Total Trades | 320 |
Percent Profitable | 42.19% |
Volatility (Annualized) | 2.26% |
The strategy shows a moderate Sharpe Ratio of 0.502, indicating acceptable risk-adjusted returns, and a profit factor of 1.799, which suggests that the strategy is profitable as it earns $1.799 for every $1 lost. The maximum drawdown of -14.17% is within an acceptable range for crypto trading, displaying effective risk control. Overall, the strategy demonstrates promising potential in risk-adjusted performance.
Strategy Viability
Based on the analysis, this strategy appears viable for real-world trading. It performs well under the tested market conditions, exhibiting a controlled maximum drawdown and a reasonable Sharpe ratio. However, it's important to consider the strategy's relatively low CAGR of 1.19%, which suggests room for improvement in capturing returns. The strategy aligns with positive market conditions and could benefit from sustained favorable conditions.
Comparing this strategy to industry benchmarks, it shows potential but requires further optimization to enhance its annualized return while maintaining its drawdown within acceptable limits.
Risk Management
The strategy employs robust risk management as demonstrated by its low maximum drawdown and absence of margin calls. Furthermore, it manages risk effectively with a gain/pain ratio of 1.81 and a passive risk of ruin. To advance its risk management capabilities, the following can be considered:
- Decreasing leverage usage to further reduce maximum drawdown risks.
- Implementing tighter stop-loss strategies and trailing stops to safeguard against unexpected losses.
- Continuing to actively manage positions with defensive measures against potential market volatility.
Improvement Suggestions
To enhance the strategy’s robustness and performance, consider the following recommendations:
- Optimize strategy parameters to improve the annualized return while maintaining low drawdowns.
- Integrate additional technical indicators to refine entry and exit signals.
- Conduct out-of-sample backtesting to ensure strategy resilience across different market conditions.
- Optimize position sizing and leverage management to further mitigate risk and enhance returns.
Final Opinion
In summary, the strategy exhibits moderate performance with a good balance between returns and risks. Its low drawdown and adequate risk-adjusted metrics suggest effective risk management. Although the strategy shows potential, it needs optimization and further validation to ensure robustness across diverse market conditions.
Recommendation: Proceed with further testing and optimization of the strategy. Implement suggested improvements to enhance performance, especially regarding annualized returns, while ensuring continued effective risk management.
Standard Monthly Profit
This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.
Year/Month | January | February | March | April | May | June | July | August | September | October | November | December |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -1.28% | 40.88% | 8.42% | 27.38% | 0.86% | 10.78% | -1.41% | -3.38% | -1.06% |
2020 | 16.13% | 23.39% | 6.27% | 11.46% | -4.52% | 5.49% | -1.26% | 11.07% | 11.64% | -7.65% | 23.26% | -9.80% |
2021 | 41.77% | 22.38% | -6.76% | 13.56% | 64.42% | 15.99% | 6.88% | 9.42% | 7.57% | 3.91% | 0.10% | -6.74% |
2022 | 4.51% | 6.33% | 12.49% | 4.04% | 19.55% | 23.49% | 17.31% | 11.78% | -4.29% | 11.62% | 1.14% | 6.62% |
2023 | 13.97% | -4.79% | 7.44% | 9.67% | -1.04% | 1.28% | -1.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.05% | 6.23% | 1.71% |
2024 | -5.28% | 15.84% | -2.39% | 6.20% | -4.05% | -0.62% | 0.62% | 3.04% | -1.11% | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results |
2025 | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | Login to see results | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Live Trades Stats
ETH
Base Currency
41
Number of Trades
-7.78%
Cumulative Returns
34.15%
Win Rate
2024-04-09
🟠 Incubation started
🛡️
7 Days
-1.41%
30 Days
-8.52%
60 Days
-6.07%
90 Days
List of Trades
Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 8014.84 | 8014.84 | 4791.3 | 4791.3 | 3223.54 | 3223.54 |
Gross Profit | 13821.8 | 13821.8 | 9735.28 | 9735.28 | 4086.53 | 4086.53 |
Gross Loss | 5806.96 | 5806.96 | 4943.98 | 4943.98 | 862.98 | 862.98 |
Commission Paid | 416.77 | 341.01 | 75.76 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 1914.49 | 1914.49 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 9022.69 | 98.92 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 650.15 | 14.11 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 279.0 | 221.0 | 58.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 121.0 | 92.0 | 29.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 158.0 | 129.0 | 29.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 43.37 | 41.63 | 50.0 | |||
Avg P&l | 28.73 | 2.22 | 21.68 | 1.87 | 55.58 | 3.52 |
Avg Winning Trade | 114.23 | 7.8 | 105.82 | 7.17 | 140.91 | 9.77 |
Avg Losing Trade | 36.75 | 2.06 | 38.33 | 1.91 | 29.76 | 2.74 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 3.108 | 2.761 | 4.735 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 965.0 | 792.46 | 965.0 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 53.73 | 53.73 | 40.57 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 286.08 | 286.08 | 159.4 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 8.22 | 5.61 | 8.22 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 55.0 | 50.0 | 71.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 99.0 | 91.0 | 124.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 21.0 | 22.0 | 17.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.592 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 3.285 | |||||
Profit Factor | 2.38 | 1.969 | 4.735 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
All USD | All % | Long USD | Long % | Short USD | Short % | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Open P&l | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Net Profit | 7317.58 | 7317.58 | 4283.14 | 4283.14 | 3034.44 | 3034.44 |
Gross Profit | 16470.84 | 16470.84 | 11774.01 | 11774.01 | 4696.83 | 4696.83 |
Gross Loss | 9153.26 | 9153.26 | 7490.87 | 7490.87 | 1662.39 | 1662.39 |
Commission Paid | 632.07 | 519.94 | 112.13 | |||
Buy & Hold Return | 821.42 | 821.42 | ||||
Max Equity Run-up | 9359.03 | 98.96 | ||||
Max Drawdown | 1221.19 | 14.17 | ||||
Max Contracts Held | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | |||
Total Closed Trades | 320.0 | 255.0 | 65.0 | |||
Total Open Trades | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Number Winning Trades | 135.0 | 103.0 | 32.0 | |||
Number Losing Trades | 185.0 | 152.0 | 33.0 | |||
Percent Profitable | 42.19 | 40.39 | 49.23 | |||
Avg P&l | 22.87 | 1.9 | 16.8 | 1.6 | 46.68 | 3.09 |
Avg Winning Trade | 122.01 | 7.29 | 114.31 | 6.71 | 146.78 | 9.15 |
Avg Losing Trade | 49.48 | 2.03 | 49.28 | 1.87 | 50.38 | 2.78 |
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss | 2.466 | 2.32 | 2.914 | |||
Largest Winning Trade | 965.0 | 792.46 | 965.0 | |||
Largest Winning Trade Percent | 53.73 | 53.73 | 40.57 | |||
Largest Losing Trade | 389.11 | 286.08 | 389.11 | |||
Largest Losing Trade Percent | 8.22 | 5.61 | 8.22 | |||
Avg # Bars In Trades | 51.0 | 47.0 | 67.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades | 95.0 | 88.0 | 117.0 | |||
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades | 20.0 | 20.0 | 18.0 | |||
Sharpe Ratio | 0.502 | |||||
Sortino Ratio | 2.42 | |||||
Profit Factor | 1.799 | 1.572 | 2.825 | |||
Margin Calls | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
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