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algo_trading michonneV5 atomusdt 30m 04.06

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Michonne [v5] by @DavidTech 🧠 by @DaviddTech 🤖 [8798c6ec]

🛡️ MICHONNEV5 ATOMUSDT 30M 04.06 @algo_trading

TREND FOLOWING
30 minutes

by DaviddTech - June 5, 2024
0
ℹ️ All backtest include trading fees.


⚪️ Deep Backtest

Last updated: 3 hours ago

618.11%

Net Profit

67.81%

Win Rate

553

Total Closed Trades

1.273

Profit Factor

🛡️ %

Max Drawdown

104.68% 🔥

Incubation Delta

Trades per Day

Key Performance Metrics

  • First Traded Date: 2021-12-26 01:30:00
  • Sharpe Ratio: 0.49
  • Sortino Ratio: 1.21
  • Calmar: -0.73
  • Longest DD Days: 71.00
  • Volatility: 1.79
  • Skew: -0.80
  • Kurtosis: 0.74
  • Expected Daily: 0.01
  • Expected Monthly: 0.23
  • Expected Yearly: 2.79
  • Kelly Criterion: 14.58
  • Daily Value-at-Risk: -0.21
  • Expected Shortfall (cVaR): -0.27
  • Last Trade Date: 2025-05-12 10:00:00
  • Max Consecutive Wins: 12
  • Number Winning Trades 375
  • Max Consecutive Losses: 6
  • Number Losing Trades: 178
  • Gain/Pain Ratio: -0.73
  • Gain/Pain (1M): 1.27
  • Payoff Ratio: 0.60
  • Common Sense Ratio: 1.27
  • Tail Ratio: 0.83
  • Outlier Win Ratio: 3.27
  • Outlier Loss Ratio: 2.45
  • Recovery Factor: 0.00
  • Ulcer Index: 0.01
  • Serenity Index: 2.44

AI Trading Bot Quantitative Analyst

Typing...

Performance Analysis

Upon reviewing the provided QuantStats report, several performance metrics stand out that require attention:

Metric Strategy
Cumulative Return 618.11%
Annualized Return (CAGR %) 1.79%
Sharpe Ratio 0.486
Profit Factor 1.273
Maximum Drawdown 32.26%
Volatility (Annualized) 1.79%
Percent Profitable 67.81%

The strategy exhibits reasonable returns with a cumulative gain of 618.11%. Despite an annualized return of 1.79%, the Sharpe Ratio of 0.486 is slightly below the desired threshold of 0.5 for crypto markets, indicating room for improvement in risk-adjusted performance. With a maximum drawdown of 32.26%, the strategy effectively stays within limits, suggesting solid risk management practices.

Strategy Viability

Based on the data provided, this strategy could be viable for real-world trading under certain conditions. The profitability is notable with a percent profitable of 67.81%. Even though the current metrics slightly underperform against some typical standards, especially the Sharpe Ratio, the strategy showcases resilience with no margin calls and swift recovery. It’s crucial to understand the market conditions where this strategy excels and ensure they are likely to persist.

Risk Management

The strategy's risk management appears effective given the non-exceeding maximum drawdown and absence of margin calls. However, improvements can be made to manage the relatively higher volatility and skew witnessed:

  • Consider reducing leverage to maintain drawdowns even lower while preserving return levels.
  • Introduce more advanced stop-loss mechanisms to restrict potential losses quickly.
  • Enhance position sizing techniques that adapt dynamically based on market conditions.

Improvement Suggestions

To better the strategy’s performance and ensure robustness, consider the following:

  • Optimize strategy parameters, particularly focusing on entry/exit signals to increase the Sharpe Ratio beyond 0.5.
  • Integrate more precise indicators to capture market trends timely and effectively.
  • Conduct additional out-of-sample testing and forward-testing to validate robustness across diverse market scenarios.
  • Implement stress testing to adjust the strategy parameters under extreme market conditions.

Final Opinion

In conclusion, the strategy demonstrates good capacity with a strong cumulative return and proficient management of drawdown levels. While the current metrics, like the Sharpe Ratio, show room for enhancement, the solid performance in profitability indicates a promising basis.

Recommendation: Continue with the optimization and refinement of the strategy. Implement the proposed enhancements to increase the Sharpe Ratio and decrease volatility impacts, ensuring further stability and profitability in varying market conditions.

AI Quant, can you analyze this strategy?
☰ Note: Multiple Take Profits might enhance the appearance of results. Check the TradingView chart for clarity.

Standard Monthly Profit

This shows the total profits or losses of the strategy after closing a trade and the percentage gain or loss of the strategy over time.

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Year/MonthJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugustSeptemberOctoberNovemberDecember
20210.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%6.18%
2022-5.17%11.25%-3.65%19.62%4.56%6.23%12.80%3.86%18.66%29.06%14.91%-1.62%
202317.91%-2.97%14.31%2.04%0.82%7.30%3.70%10.22%5.78%-7.94%20.51%-3.42%
20249.16%-6.78%-6.79%20.12%-8.77%6.84%-2.41%12.27%9.63%-6.62%Login to see resultsLogin to see results
2025Login to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see resultsLogin to see results0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Live Trades Stats

ATOM

Base Currency

165

Number of Trades

20.61%

Cumulative Returns

64.85%

Win Rate

2024-06-04

🟠 Incubation started

🛡️

7 Days

12.78%

30 Days

6.12%

60 Days

6.28%

90 Days

List of Trades

Key : Pink Background = Live Trades | Black Background = Backtest Trades

  • Performance (Backtest)
  • Performance (Forward Test)
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit5134.34513.43966.0196.64168.33416.83
Gross Profit16195.271619.536962.26696.239233.01923.3
Gross Loss11060.941106.095996.25599.625064.69506.47
Commission Paid696.92383.44313.48
Buy & Hold Return-707.42-70.74
Max Equity Run-up5887.6585.58
Max Drawdown1210.9618.27
Max Contracts Held1030.0918.01030.0
Total Closed Trades388.0185.0203.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades268.0123.0145.0
Number Losing Trades120.062.058.0
Percent Profitable69.0766.4971.43
Avg P&l13.232.315.221.9920.532.59
Avg Winning Trade60.434.4456.64.0763.684.75
Avg Losing Trade92.172.4596.712.1387.322.79
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6560.5850.729
Largest Winning Trade229.31176.51229.31
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.8813.8810.09
Largest Losing Trade303.4303.4286.65
Largest Losing Trade Percent4.764.694.76
Avg # Bars In Trades52.030.073.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades50.031.066.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades58.027.090.0
Sharpe Ratio0.642
Sortino Ratio2.228
Profit Factor1.4641.1611.823
Margin Calls0.00.00.0
All USDAll %Long USDLong %Short USDShort %
Open P&l0.00.0
Net Profit6181.09618.11601.0660.115580.03558.0
Gross Profit28851.052885.111744.761174.4817106.291710.63
Gross Loss22669.962267.011143.71114.3711526.261152.63
Commission Paid1297.66669.96627.7
Buy & Hold Return-832.09-83.21
Max Equity Run-up7647.9988.52
Max Drawdown2743.4332.26
Max Contracts Held2658.02253.02658.0
Total Closed Trades553.0258.0295.0
Total Open Trades0.00.00.0
Number Winning Trades375.0168.0207.0
Number Losing Trades178.090.088.0
Percent Profitable67.8165.1270.17
Avg P&l11.182.182.331.8518.922.48
Avg Winning Trade76.944.3869.913.9982.644.71
Avg Losing Trade127.362.45123.822.14130.982.77
Ratio Avg Win / Avg Loss0.6040.5650.631
Largest Winning Trade274.76271.26274.76
Largest Winning Trade Percent13.8813.8810.09
Largest Losing Trade413.8413.8386.74
Largest Losing Trade Percent5.385.384.76
Avg # Bars In Trades49.028.067.0
Avg # Bars In Winning Trades48.029.063.0
Avg # Bars In Losing Trades52.026.077.0
Sharpe Ratio0.486
Sortino Ratio1.206
Profit Factor1.2731.0541.484
Margin Calls0.00.00.0

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© All rights reserved DaviddTech 2024.
Disclaimer: The performance outcomes presented on davidd.tech are theoretical and subject to many limitations. It should not be assumed that any accounts will or can replicate the profits or losses similar to those depicted. Theoretical performance is often created looking back, which does not account for all the variables that can impact trading outcomes. Various market dynamics or the execution of specific trading strategies may introduce discrepancies that are not reflected in these theoretical results, potentially influencing actual trading negatively. Historical success does not guarantee future returns. Market conditions evolve, suggesting that the effectiveness of these strategies may diminish over time, necessitating new approaches. Additionally, performance can vary significantly among different brokers, and there is no expectation for backtested results to align precisely with actual market performance.
Charting is displayed using TradingView's technology, a platform, where you can track the latest events in the Economic calendar, watch live prices, and more

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